Coll foots plays for Thursday ...
ChemicalAT
Senior Member
I must tell you all I love to be in action during college football. I
can't be disciplined and that's just how it has to be. I don't really vary
my bets much further than 1 and 2 unit plays, so it's not like I can get
killed (jinx). I just wanted to say that so I don't give the impression
that I am selective. Here are my opinions so far for Thursday.
Utah over $$$Texas A&M$$$ by 3 - My sheer disrespect for this line is the
main reason I am making this bet. I am a huge Utah fan this year. I think
this team plays sick defense and has a great coach. A legit top 10 team in
my opinion if they stay healthy. It's too early, however, for them to be
in this range. Lets just look at last year for example. The Aggies were a
9-point favorite on their home field. I remember this game because I bet
Utah and thought I was in huge trouble when the Utes were down like three
scores in the first. They made a big rally in the second half and I got
the money. My point is that I don't see what's happened between these two
teams since that game that justifies an 18-point turnaround in this line.
Since that game, Alex Smith has emerged as a solid QB, Utah went on to a
good season and beat SouMiss in its bowl. I think this is where we get
back into the old "last thing the public remembers about a team" theory.
Nobody likes A&M after last year's collapse. But the Aggies do have a
playmaker at QB that can create on the fly when blitzed. They do have a
good running back. They are in the second year of a coach and they aren't
that badly out-talented anywhere on the field. Franchione should have his
team breathing fire to quickly erase last year's bad memories and the way
Utah plays methodical defensive games, this looks like too much wood
between two relatively close teams.
$$$Boston College$$$ over Ball State by 31 - I don't think people realize
how good this BC team is. Personally, I think they are going to beat
WestVa this season and be the BCS's Big East rep. I know that doesn't do
much for those of us laying 18 in this spot, but I think the Eagles get
this number. Ball State had a piss-poor run defense last year that allowed
4 1/2 yards per carry. That's almost half a first down to you and me. That
unit has just four starters back, which means they could be better, but I
doubt it. Ball St. also has a new QB breaking in against a good Eagles
pass rush that did some damage on Colo State in last year's bowl. I just
know that if you give an O'Brien team a free pass running the ball, you're
going to get abused.
After getting waxed in Week 1 last year, I think the Eagles will be fully
cranked and ready to handle business to start the season. I also bet its
been mentioned by the DC that Ball State scored 29 points in last year's
game, which won't happen again. The physicality will be too much for BC.
And another good factor is the Eagles backup QB Porter has starting
experience and won't be too much of a dropoff if BC makes it to garbage
time with a big lead.
can't be disciplined and that's just how it has to be. I don't really vary
my bets much further than 1 and 2 unit plays, so it's not like I can get
killed (jinx). I just wanted to say that so I don't give the impression
that I am selective. Here are my opinions so far for Thursday.
Utah over $$$Texas A&M$$$ by 3 - My sheer disrespect for this line is the
main reason I am making this bet. I am a huge Utah fan this year. I think
this team plays sick defense and has a great coach. A legit top 10 team in
my opinion if they stay healthy. It's too early, however, for them to be
in this range. Lets just look at last year for example. The Aggies were a
9-point favorite on their home field. I remember this game because I bet
Utah and thought I was in huge trouble when the Utes were down like three
scores in the first. They made a big rally in the second half and I got
the money. My point is that I don't see what's happened between these two
teams since that game that justifies an 18-point turnaround in this line.
Since that game, Alex Smith has emerged as a solid QB, Utah went on to a
good season and beat SouMiss in its bowl. I think this is where we get
back into the old "last thing the public remembers about a team" theory.
Nobody likes A&M after last year's collapse. But the Aggies do have a
playmaker at QB that can create on the fly when blitzed. They do have a
good running back. They are in the second year of a coach and they aren't
that badly out-talented anywhere on the field. Franchione should have his
team breathing fire to quickly erase last year's bad memories and the way
Utah plays methodical defensive games, this looks like too much wood
between two relatively close teams.
$$$Boston College$$$ over Ball State by 31 - I don't think people realize
how good this BC team is. Personally, I think they are going to beat
WestVa this season and be the BCS's Big East rep. I know that doesn't do
much for those of us laying 18 in this spot, but I think the Eagles get
this number. Ball State had a piss-poor run defense last year that allowed
4 1/2 yards per carry. That's almost half a first down to you and me. That
unit has just four starters back, which means they could be better, but I
doubt it. Ball St. also has a new QB breaking in against a good Eagles
pass rush that did some damage on Colo State in last year's bowl. I just
know that if you give an O'Brien team a free pass running the ball, you're
going to get abused.
After getting waxed in Week 1 last year, I think the Eagles will be fully
cranked and ready to handle business to start the season. I also bet its
been mentioned by the DC that Ball State scored 29 points in last year's
game, which won't happen again. The physicality will be too much for BC.
And another good factor is the Eagles backup QB Porter has starting
experience and won't be too much of a dropoff if BC makes it to garbage
time with a big lead.
Comments
everyting you predict for BC. Just want to correct you on one little
fact. Quinton Porter last years starter/back-up is being red-shirted this
season. Matt Ryan, who looks pretty good this summer will handle the mop
up job this season.
I always appreciate your write ups in college football. Thanks. I also
like Utah's head coach but he freaks me out with his decisions at the end
of games. I recall late last season when his defensive coordinater
stopped the opposing team and assured Utah the win (maybe the UNLV game on
Thursday night). Wait, then Urban Meyer decided to throw on first and
second down for incompletions (I pissed my pants with each completion).
Regardless, Utah won and Urban Meyer is definitely legit.
Anyway, I love the Western conferences and appreciate the top ten
prediction but I'm not so sure they are that loaded. I'm looking into the
game as we speak. Thanks again.
RBs are quality, the receivers with Savoy's return, are excellent and the
front 7 on defense is top notch, too. Depth may be another concern.
I agree with you about Meyer kinda getting crazy. But I do like how
relies on that defense and doesn't ask Smith to do that much.
To prove how good I think this team, just go back to last year and check
out how they did against Cal and Oregon. Pretty good stuff defensively.
I am just hoping A&M "Ds" them up a little and makes this a 20-17 or
17-13 game. I think that's the pace both coaches want and they'll rely on
defense in the fourth quarter to preserve or deliver a win.
a bit. Talk to you soon.