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talkingpractice

talkingpractice · Junior Member

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talkingpractice
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  • (Quote) we historically dont do that either, because the info contained in whoever we are long/short on day x may give a clue as to what we're thinking for day x+1, or what we're thinking globally, etc. in general, when larger wagering groups give…
  • (Quote) never done it before, pretty sure its highly -ev for me. you can prolly make a good guess at some things im on (after the fact), if im complaining a lot about something one night...
  • it's probably a bad idea to follow any sort of NBA tout. i can't think of a scenario where anyone who could actually beat NBA would be posting picks and/or selling them to others for a fee.
  • the correlation between PPG and ROY voting is intense. find the guy who will score a lot (jabari) and youve likely found the ROY. even if noel is much better than the other rookies (likely), its very hard to win ROY if you dont score a lot. this …
  • (Quote) im very happy with citadel. i do their biannual conference calls, and theyre smart as hell. they seem to have learned their lesson wrt risk after the 2008 debacle, and have really gone the market neutral route since then. winton is very …
  • (Quote) im in their wellington fund. its "0"/20 (ie theres no direct mgmt fee, it comes right out of the kitty), and i pay an additional 0.5%/yr to the introducing broker who got me into it. i actually think the idea youre talking about …
  • (Quote) the ones that im in are all 'special', sorta. im in one from citadel, that i was able to get into in early 2013 after over a year of wrangling to do so, with a ton of help from an introducing broker. im in another one from winton capital …
  • oh what the heck... im going to start jumping in this thread, but im really boring about investing in the financial markets, so im not likely to be much fun. im a pretty big emh believer, so i only manage 10% of my own investments, and outsource th…
  • (Quote) i'm not sure if 3pt shooting or D is harder to add. but, one problem with wiggins is that his undervalued skill (the potential to be a lockdown wing defender) is something that is very undervalued throughout the league. therefore, it's ea…
  • i'm higher on wiggins than most of my pals in the analytics crowd due to his potential on defense, but id still make the trade. thinking of whats best post-lebron is not part of the equation imo... they have to do what they can to win nba champions…
  • the consensus in the community seems to be that he looked sorta/kinda better at the end of the year with LAC than he did with IND (when he definitely was struggling quite a bit). i guess given how inexpensive the signing was, it's probably lowish r…
  • i think that telfair and fisher are probably approximately a wash? now that mcbob seems to be committed to miami, it may pave the way for anthony morrow to okc. this may be a better (ie less injury prone) option than miller, and ibaka's rim protec…
  • So I guess he's starting. Amazing.
  • if he does play in either game 3 or 4, i assume it'll be something like david lee did in last season's playoffs, ie going out there for x minutes to get the team/crowd pumped up a bit..... sorta the willis reed thing.
  • (Quote) You're very right here and I was definitely silly to have said that yesterday. The comments in here just surprised me a lot.
  • i hadn't seen this thread back in april. tbh i'm really floored that there are people on here defending that bozo. the wagering community must see this issue as very different than the basketball/analytics community, as we've been uniformly disgust…
  • (Quote) ummm..... I'm very surprised to hear this. I can vouch for the validity of this as a method he may be using to get his trades off, as we do something much similar to this but on a much smaller scale. There's a group of (precisely 5 kids, …
  • (Quote) i want to be clear here that I dont know haralabob personally. and while i cant speak for his wagering record, i can say that his knowledge of the NBA is absolutely first class. that said, jeff van gundy has an absolutely first class know…
  • Obi - ty for the nice words, happy to help. Kahuna - a, assuming no new info, (a) if it was in the 2nd half of the season, then wed pass on the +4 in that situation probably about 80% of the time. we do sometimes wait for a number to reach us tho…
  • (Quote) Nope, not in my crew.
  • I assume everyone knows by now that he's out for the remainder of the playoffs. In terms of how OKC can still win, I think the plan would have to include a good amount of Durant at the 4. Granted this is not as exciting as Durant at the 4 alongsid…
  • Long time mega-lurker making first post. This thread is a good time to start posting imo, as my group was at one time the largest trader of NBA lines near the Pinny open, particularly in Oct/Nov/Dec (we bet too large to do that anymore, and so now …