srn828
srn828 · Member
About
- Username
- srn828
- Joined
- Visits
- 0
- Last Active
- Roles
- Active Members
Comments
-
I began playing DFS during the middle of last football season. I played relatively heavy volume through the NBA season. I am currently taking time off during the baseball season despite being rather successful over the past eight months (high five…
-
(Quote) Pinnacle and 5Dimes are books that offer the lowest juice; therefore, they have the lowest percentage hold. Heritage will have a higher percentage hold on the ML than those two books, but it is certainly well within industry standard. A …
-
(Quote) Yeah, he definitely deserved that one after the end of the Florida/Texas A&M endgame (something like 20 points in the final minute and change to go over). Keep up the much appreciated great work, BG
-
They also had a young man who lost his life during the prime of his career to a car accident. Drazen Petrovic whom I remember as a very young child in a great Yugoslavian team was the greatest shooter this game has ever seen for mine. Unfortunatel…
-
(Quote) Don't deny the possibility-- where there is big money at stake, there is bound to at least be some attempt at corruption. Even more reason to have an exchange where there is transparency with the betting patterns. In fact, several of the …
-
(Quote) In fact, the cricket world cup is about to start in a week. I am pretty certain one could get down millions on many matches during the tournament. The same tends to be the case for all of the grand slam tennis events. I will pay attentio…
-
(Quote) I did say governmentally run sports betting industry
-
(Quote) Depends on the event (major events, yes). It would not surprise me if someone could theoretically get 8 figures down on a big soccer game.
-
(Quote) Definitely not speaking of governmentally run industry (speaking of licensure and oversight). I am not aware of any governmental run sports betting industry around the world; therefore, I am highly skeptical that such a model would be impl…
-
(Quote) Agreed. That said, if Adam Silver were successful in lobbying for a regulated sports gambling industry, then would we likely see exchanges such as Betfair and a highly efficient market on all heavily traded sports? I think that it will ev…
-
(Quote) Don't disagree with you at all. The tease is indeed horrific. Just to clarify, I was just hypothesizing Kellen's justification. I am advocating neither playing the parlay (I believe there is a very small correlation but certainly not eno…
-
To be entirely fair, it can be argued that there is a certain amount of correlation to the play (Seattle and the under). If that is the reasoning, however, the correct play would be to parlay Seattle and the under at non-teased numbers. Certainly …
-
h82lose had a phenomenal record last year; no nonsense, just good solid +EV with high volume
-
If you already consider both favorites favorably priced, then teasing them adds to the value. If, however, you are assuming an efficient market and the lines stay the same (-7.5 and -6.5), then a six-point teaser at -110 in this scenario might be j…
-
(Quote) Not referring to RAS in particular, but this raises an interesting question: how exactly does one decipher whether one still maintains an edge in a constantly adapting market? Beyond introspection, how does one assess if another capper is…
-
Can certainly be worth it to move the line slightly one way and pound it the other. Consider it buying a half point on the cheap. The problem is this type of action is bound to draw suspicion and get you the boot. All depends on how valuable you …
-
wow, a pph that moves it's line a half point on $10 worth of action. Wonder why that local is even booking if he is that afraid of action...
-
Would have been very interesting to watch TCU in the playoffs...
-
We all make this mistake :p ... I kid, absolutely great to have someone through the good and the bad. Enjoy life together!
-
Time was extended; however, one cannot, obviously, pick a game that has already kicked off
-
10* Wisconsin +6.5 9* Arkansas St. +4 8* Boston College -2.5 7* Texas A&M +3.5 6* Baylor -2.5 5* Washington -5.5 4* Oklahoma -3.5 3* Cincinnati -2.5 2* Kansas State +1.5 1* Alabama -9
-
For the most part, it is pretty much industry standard to have huge vig on all futures bets (Pinnacle and 5Dimes being the exceptions). The layman usually has no idea of the vig when there are multiple betting options and the "no" is not …
-
I don't know one way or the other; I haven't backtested against the data.
-
Something to backtest? I suspect the correlation might be enough to provide a slight edge against lower big true parlay odds when two teams of contrasting pace are playing against one another.
-
The hockey puck line is not nearly as correlated as the soccer draw and under 2.5. There are subsets where correlation does exist. Given that you are working with very low vig odds at pinnacle, it does not take much correlation to overcome the jui…
-
there is significant +ev regardless of the odds on the draw (assuming you are getting close to market value); this is simply because if you know the result to be a draw, there is a very high likelihood the score was 0-0 or 1-1 and, therefore, under …
-
In soccer, draw and under 2.5 is strongly correlated
-
My local's hung up Tressel at +150, Frost +200, McElwain +300, Richt +400, Moglia +500, Bohl +600, Patterson +700, Kill, Fuente, and Calhoun all at +800...any +ev here, newcombe?
-
You and your family will be in my thoughts and prayers, Mike. Feel better...
-
Payouts are good, lines are great, and collars are very quick. And by collars, I mean $2 max bet...