sosoangry
sosoangry · Senior Member
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Whelp, so much for Illinois....
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Thanks. And just fyi, the two times the national champ was not rated #1-#3 by KenPom involved the same team: UConn (in 2014, rated #15 and in 2011 rated #10).
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Final post-season record: 10-3-1, +6.7 units The game more or less went as I expected at least with it coming down to D vs. D, with KC's poor D unable to stop TB, and yet TB's very good D made Mahomes & Co. look even worse than I (or anyone!) ex…
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I must say it is somewhat amazing how much win % becomes an ATS factor in the SB. I say somewhat because a primary conclusion I've gleaned over time re SB handicapping is: KISS (keep it simple stupid). The SB is needless to say HUGE, with Joe Public…
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Interesting, thanks. I will continue to use a fairly commonly available line. I sent the following to a friend, figured I'd post it here: OK, I've waited, figuring the consensus line would move to KC +3.5 or even higher, and yet I still see like 1/…
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Record: 9-3-1 TB +3 (but I got +3.5 -115, I've seen that line at more than a few legit places, but are we still just using Pinny, Bookmaker & BetOnline for records here? isn't it a different world since that was instituted years ago? just askin)
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GB/TB Over 51
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Record: 6-3-1 TB +3.5 Buff/KC Over 54
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Since 1990, there have been 218 post-season NFL games. In those 218 games, only 10 teams have lost SU when outgaining the other team by 120 or more total yards. 10/218 = 4.5%, meaning 95.5% of the time the team wins. Half of those 10 losing teams pr…
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I know how, been doing for 20+ years. I'm just curious re web sites. No harm. But agree, one must learn how to come up with your own picks.
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Rams +6.5 Rams Over 45.5
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Ravens +2.5
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Record: 4-0-1 Browns +10 Saints -3
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Final record: 6-7, -1.7 units
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Final regular season record: 115-113-7, -9.6 units Ugh, by far my worst record in any sport in recent memory, both regular or post-season. I was hoping things would turn around in the final 3 weeks of season, but alas I went 11-10-1 on sides and 19-…
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Buff/Ind Over 51
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Colts +6.5
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Browns +6 Ravens -3 -120
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Eagles +6.5
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Texas A&M -8
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Ohio State +7
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SF +7
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LAC -3.5 Ariz -3 Denver +3 -120 NYG +2 Colts -14 Denv/Raid Under 51 Atl/TB Under 50.5 NO/Car Under 47.5 Pitt/Clev Under 42 Wash/Phil Under 43.5
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Oregon/Iowa St Under 58.5
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Ball St/San Jose Under 64
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Florida +8.5 (couldn't resist an 11.5-pt middle oppty)
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Ohio State +7.5
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Thanks, and frankly I agree! This football season (both NCAA and NFL) has been VERY disappointing. I'll write more about this soon but two observations: 1) in the NCAA, methods I've used in the past worked just fine this regular season (63% ATS side…
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Texas -7 (couldn't resist a 6-pt middle oppty)