mgmhatesme
mgmhatesme · Member
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Adding Oakland +4.5, -105 bookmaker
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RUBIO CHRISTIE FIORINA Trump is very entertaining... I was rooting for more screen time for him, even though i think he is a poor candidate. Huckabee has a strong social agenda... he is passionate and a good speaker, but I dont think his strengt…
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Obi-One, you are my only hope on the game tonight. Thanks for the write-up. Agree with you on the under for tonight, 42 at bookmaker right now. I am passing on the side based on the -3, -120... but I do have a half unit wager on a teaser with…
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YTD: 5-7-1, -2.75 week 2: Under KC/Den 42 Hou +3, +105 (Mallet is in, doesnt change pick) Over TB/N.O. 47 Det +3, -120 Buff pick Chi +1.5 (or moneyline) Over Arz/Chi 45 (or parlay with above) Ten -1 Over Ten/Cle 41.5 good luck all
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(Quote) yes, thats exactly what I do. 1. Set the lines what I think they will be (not what I think they should be) after the prior games on Sunday... usually do this during Sun night game or Monday at work... and I make sure not to look at line…
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(Quote) Cant find the specific information on this I remember here, apologize if mistaken. When I look now, I get 26th at YPA, and further down for YPC. I had him at, or perhaps within 1-2 players, of the bottom in NFL last year in terms of Yard…
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I was in Vegas watching 5 games at the same time... and I havent had a chance to digest it completely. Certainly seemed to me that KC was dominant against a very good Houston D... although they are up now against a very dominant Denver D. Bu…
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Good point. I had them as an underrated team, but that was apparently a misevaluation as they didn't look good in the loss to KC and final score was not indicative of game. Makes more sense to stay away until we know what we have at QB there and…
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Yes, meant placed wagers on Minnesota moneyline.... Thanks
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ok, will grade those at -110 earlier to put the record at -0.55. Subbing Min -2, -110 for the moneyline. Good luck all.
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NFL YTD 5-5-1... -0.2 units. Poor game day decision making not taking the over in TB/TEN that I thought was great earlier and didn't play based on the Mike Evans injury. Subbed a loser in SEA/STL under that I had capped terribly wrong. In V…
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Adding 9/13 Minnesota Vikings money line -125, bookmaker Good luck all
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Adding Under STL/Sea 41.5, -110, bookmaker Good luck all
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Thanks, good luck to us both Rest of Sunday GB -6.5, -115 Detroit +3, -120 TEN money line +125 OAK money line +130 Den/Balt under 48, -110 Monitoring overs for Ten/TB and NYG/Dallas to add if lines have a bit more value
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Older I get the faster time goes... NFL YTD 0-1-1, -1.1 Bookmaker: Miami -3, -125 Buffalo +3, -135 Jacksonville +3, -105 Will have at least 6 more plays for NFL later Good luck all
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Like your picks... Prefer the over in Dallas game to the side, but can't fault it. Looks like I will be on much of the same, thanks for write-ups. Regarding KC/Den in week 2, I think we could be coming off a KC loss to Houston and a Denver cover…
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Chi/GB... Chance CHI WR Jeffery does not play, and if you like GB, better take any 6.5 lines you see now before they disappear. Not sure I am in this boat, but I do think -7 is the closing line. KC/HOU... No Foster for Houston is the headline…
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we need to live our lives based on probabilities, not possibilities though. Obviously there is a chance I am wrong (question is what is the chance? 40%?) At +7 I like Pitt here... I'll pass on the 6.5 if it stays there, or potentially buy onlin…
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(Quote) By the way, I think SF is in the 4-12 to 6-10 area this year. That division is too good... Kaepernick has not proven anything... LB Willis could be an injury risk after hearing that it takes him at least 2 hours to get ready for practic…
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updating with more thoughts on Thur night: THUR NIGHT NE -7, 51.5... line moved from -2.5, 49 when it was announced Brady would be active. Does all the cheating talk (deflate gate and new info on spy gate) motivate or just serve as a distractio…
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agree that SF offseason and negative media attention does feel a bit like Dallas last year. But I think the teams are vastly different, of course hindsight with Dallas, as I was bearish on them early last year (they convinced me when they beat SEA)…
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a few other notable injuries/suspensions missed/new: DAL - lost top CB Scandrick last night. KC - top CB Sean Smith suspended first 3 games DEN - LT Clady out for year MIA - S Delmas out for year PIT - C Pouncey out perhaps 8 games PIT - RB Bell sus…
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(Quote) Afterwards they did... Sports books surprisingly difficult to put in large wagers. Name was partially from difficulty in putting in large wagers there when I used to go to Vegas more... And it was created a long time ago on a different …
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(Quote) This past SB was at Wynn and a private online option. The other SB was at MGM and also online.
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I know most will call BS, but I dont care. 250k on Chicago +7.5 against IND in Super Bowl... LOSS, I think mainly because it rained and Rex Grossman's miniature hands could not hold the ball. 250k on SEA +1 against NE in this year's Super Bowl... …
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sides where the should be some pressure for the line to move (not suggesting I like these... only placed a wager on NYJ so far) GB -5.5, -110 at Chi NYJ -3, -107 vs CLE KC +1.5, -110 at Hou Indy -2.5, -110 at Buff Mia -2.5, -115 at Wash Car -4, -1…
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Thanks Richhhh, the rules of this idea were basically that: - find sides that you like - find a subset of those side where you feel the side is well correlated with the total…e.g. dominant pitching and under… good hitting, getting to an opposing p…
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clearly horrific picks on my part that was not the point of this thread. Trying to show whether a strategy of parlays compared to sides only makes sense, when the handicapper feels the side/total is well correlated. This data can be interprete…
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Adding Straight: 962 SD -101 Parlay: 962 SD -101 and under 7, -115.... 1 to win 2.721
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6/14 bookmaker Straight (following BG and adding SF and CWS) 952 NYM -128 954 MIA -141 960 SF -150 967 CWS -140 972 BOS -116 973 SEA +130 Parlays: 954 MIA -141 and under 7, +105..... 1 to win 2.504 960 SF -150 and under 7.5, -110... 1 to win 2.18…