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when it's a tie game, bottom of the 9th, three balls, two strikes, the home crowd is on their feet and they are cheering. the home batter assumes that they are cheering for him. the road pitcher assumes that they are cheering against him. if the …
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(Quote) I think if you edit out the noise, danshan is just fine as a poster here. He has contributed picks that are meaningful to some, and has facilitated interesting conversation at times. The downside is that you must weed through a lot of garba…
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YTD: 140-137, -20.23u
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Brewers/Peralta -167 I'm loving the swing and miss stuff I'm seeing from young Freddy so far. For me...the ability to generate swings and misses is the king stat above all others for SPs and he's posted double digits in all 6 of his MLB starts thus…
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Rangers/Colon +355 I'll find some spare change in the couch for this one. Tigers/Zimmerman +125 Tigers/Rays o7.5 runs +105 Day Game + facing a lefty in Ryan Yarbrough with Hunter Wood leading off the game after throwing 30 pitches on Monday. Jord…
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YTD: 139-133, -16.56u
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YTD: 136-132, -18.99u Phillies/De Los Santos -109 I'm not sure if it's a lack of advance scouts or a lack of data communication between the minor league scouts and the report builders at the MLB level....but the Mets are notorious for being consis…
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(Quote) You are right that across MLB, the difference between night and day is negligible, but among individual pitchers, I think some guys are tougher to pick up during the day. For example, I think Jacob deGrom's day/night split has merit. But ma…
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Phillies/Nola -162 This is large pitching mismatch that deserves better odds than this in my opinion. Without Cespedes and his .429 AVG/1.538 OPS against Nola in the lineup, no other Mets player has really had any success against him besides Confor…
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YTD: 133-131, -20.99 Mets/Wheeler -102 Mets/Phillies u8 runs -110 This new split-finger fastball is becoming quite an effective weapon for Wheeler, so much so, that it is not even properly registering on Pitch F/X data. Batters are currently swing…
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Yankees/German -162 I still dont like German...but...the Yankees continue to crush lefty after lefty after lefty. They now have a 22-6 record vs southpaws (79%). At these odds against Borucki, who was posting a below average SwStr rate in AAA (8.1%…
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YTD: 132-129, -19.21
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YTD: 127-129, -24.27 Cardinals/Martinez -125 Self-rule of betting against guys making their 1st starts off the DL. This is actually a pretty easy one for me to side with considering Samardzija looked merely ok during his 4 game rehab assignment. H…
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White Sox/Rodon +292 White Sox/Astros o7.5 runs -105 The White Sox are not a good team and Carlos Rodon is still not 100% back to being Carlos Rodon. A lot of the data I am crunching says that Rodon is gonna get CRUSHED by the Astros tonight. They …
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YTD: 126-127, -23.22
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Blue Jays/Stroman -162 While Corey Oswalt was solid last season for (AA) Binghamton, he is not a major league SP right now and I cannot understand why the Mets chose him over Seth Lugo to make this start. He hasn't been missing bats all season, whe…
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YTD: 124-126, -23.6u
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Rays/Yarbrough -121 Yarbrough has some favorable circumstances on his side for this game. The Marlins are the 2nd worst team in the MLB vs LHP with a .636 OPS and are generally very strict about their lefty/righty platoon situations which means pos…
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YTD: 122-125, -24.6u
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YTD: 121-124, -24.91 Tigers/Fiers +131 The Detroit Tigers continue to have success in only 2 types of game condition situations....during the day (21-20) and vs LHP (12-9). Today they get both as they have a 1pm game vs LH rookie Ryan Borucki. Wh…
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YTD: 120-121, -22.13u Red Sox/Beeks -165 This could be a bad matchup for Matt Boyd when factoring in the expected weather conditions. Fenway Park is expected to have winds blowing out to the Green Monster above 15 mph today giving a nice boost to …
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YTD: 119-118, -19.85u Braves/Foltynewicz -128 Today is a pure bullpen day for the San Diego Padres with Matt Strahm opening things for them against the Braves. This is a major problem for the Padres considering they just got shelled last night by …
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Twins/Littell -165 Continued fading of Lucas Giolito who has just been flat out terrible. The stars are aligned for this to be Giolito's last start for the team as Carlos Rodon will be activated on Saturday so I'll get 1 last shot in on this dumps…
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Nationals/Scherzer -240 Max Scherzer at home vs a team that ranks 4th worst in the MLB in Home Runs (Scherzer's one weakness). Red Sox/Wright -180 The Tigers are 1 of, if not the most, conservative team when it comes to game workload for their pl…
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YTD: 116-117, -21.2u
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YTD: 114-114, -20.66u Phillies/Velasquez +112 In my opinion the wrong SP is favored here. In his 7 starts this season, Albert Suarez has only posted a Quality Start once including having allowed 4 runs or more in each of the last 4 games he has pi…
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Dodgers/Kershaw -162 Kershaw returns from the DL tonight with no sort of rehab work. While that generally is something I wouldn't side with....this will be the 4th time in his career that Kershaw will have done this. His other 3 attempts combined, …
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YTD: 113-113, -20.83 Tigers/Carpenter +179 The Angels are clearly the better team and have a far superior lineup today....but the Tigers have played in more day games than anyone else in baseball and have a 16-12 record when the sun's out. Their o…
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Indians/Kluber -263 We've already walked through this before....Kluber at home is near automatic and that has continued in 2018 with a 4-0 record with a 1.46 ERA and a .199 AVG against. In addition, we have some high winds today blowing out to LCF …
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YTD: 112-110, -18.25u