yeah I am not keeping a record but I got that at open at BOL, I pound their lines 4 or 5 times at max open cheese and have been doing pretty well with it https://imgur.com/a/fBwU6
at Rush I got it at at 215.5 which they basically I think copy off pinny lines
I feel like my NBA lines are tight but I just need some learning on how to bet them based on some sort of kelly. I am struggling with it big time. I make more CLV on games that I have a larger gap from current line. I need to learn how to bet that larger gap without over betting it.
When I backtest I'm at about 40% success at understanding anything danshan says in a given post. I picture a guy in a wheelchair typing with a plastic wand strapped to his head like Stephen Hawking.
I feel like my NBA lines are tight but I just need some learning on how to bet them based on some sort of kelly. I am struggling with it big time. I make more CLV on games that I have a larger gap from current line. I need to learn how to bet that larger gap without over betting it.
Right, the easy part is crunching all the data and making a line that is sharper than the market. The tough part is plugging a couple numbers into a simple equation and performing third grade arithmetic.
Right, the easy part is crunching all the data and making a line that is sharper than the market. The tough part is plugging a couple numbers into a simple equation and performing third grade arithmetic.
I dont understand are you just being rude or are you making a point cause I missed both or either or which, LOL?
Comments
3-2 games bet
date, team, current line, my guess, line bet at, wager amount, current CLV
3/2 Magic 213.5 212 217 0.5 5.40%
3/2 Knicks 226.5 222 226.5 0.5 -1.22%
3/2 Bulls 213 210 213.5 0.5 -0.17%
at Rush I got it at at 215.5 which they basically I think copy off pinny lines
JFC I THINK I DRIBBLED A LITTLE
phi -6.09
gsw 12.37
tor 0.67
chi 0.07
den 4.91
ind 0.94
okc 5.86
min 0.45
lac 7.56
as of right now plays would be
phila -3
chi +2
mem +8
wash +4
pho +7.5
phil , mem and wash are very high rated games for me
I dont understand are you just being rude or are you making a point cause I missed both or either or which, LOL?
2.27
2.91
5.00
2.50
0.97
2.91