Closing Line Value
danshan
Senior Member
I was reading about closing line value and wondered if anyone can tell me if I am on the right track
I am looking at the Nationals Rockies game 7/29
Nats are -142 and looking at that line,
Roark's avg line this season is -129
Marquez's avg line this season is -106 and -122 in the last month and Marquez is really played well his last 4 games
does anyone think these things will probably drive the line more towards the rockies closer to closing time?
I am looking at the Nationals Rockies game 7/29
Nats are -142 and looking at that line,
Roark's avg line this season is -129
Marquez's avg line this season is -106 and -122 in the last month and Marquez is really played well his last 4 games
does anyone think these things will probably drive the line more towards the rockies closer to closing time?
Comments
on fire right now and the Reds are dead and the pitchers in this game are the same Marlins Pitcher on fire lately and Reds pitcher is getting destroyed, how can this game only be a -135, i say that will close close to -150 to -165
I am thinking like -130 way better pitcher recently , Braves suck lately and especially on the road
At this point just seems you are an elaborate troll. You clearly understand the concept of creating a line and then also say you just randomly make one up. My line was PHI -119.24 if there is somehow the off chance you're being serious but this charade is getting less funny each time.
Phillies line i thought would get to -120 or so and it did not
Marlins I thought should have been -155 to -160 and it did not move much since early it stuck around -135 to -140
As for your SDQL what's the relevance of playing Atlanta when Freddie Freeman hits a Home Run or some other player is coming off a four hit game. That's 80% of the SDQL and when you read their stuff they'll use selective dates where such an occurrence has happen maybe a handful of times and looks good to the uniformed.
Do you really buy into this crap.
The Diamondbacks are 0-11 OU (-3.00 ppg) since May 17, 2015 after a game as a road favorite in which Paul Goldschmidt had muliple RBI.
an example is season ERA for a starter. if you would have just asked me I would have said a pitcher with a 3.4 era is very likely to do way better than a starter with 4 era and that is just not true when you look at wins to losses
I am not sure why talking and commenting is so frowned upon. I am just trying to learn and give opinions and get feedback on my opinions. I was fairly impressed with some plays I made with setting a line yesterday and today seems just as good. I like Angels because statistically in every category they are better. The only reason Toronto has a chance in this game is because of being home. I think the line i set is -117 because the relief pitcher coming back and having thrown some good relief innings is not enough to impress me and again Angels are better in every statistical category
Danshan is not the infamous JAKE or else he hadda lobotomy.
Ron, the guys for real I know who he is and I mentioned it it one of his threads. dan as for write-ups that tout BS which has no meaning and is only done to impress the impressionable.
PS: dan work on making a fair line and it will go a long way in sports betting.
does that stat say all by itself assuming everything else equal that a team will win at a higher percentage than a team with less walks?
I want to use what I consider common baseball sense and compare that sense to BB stats using sdql to see if it holds weight. I am not sure how to set a good line. I had -320 on Dodgers yesterday and Angels -117 today and that tells me I am way off from setting a fair line. I just am struggling being any kind of consistent.
Very good. How 'bout spitting out some Wednesday's #s.
Ok you're close. I got them at minus 160:oh:
Si senor