Betting Log [Division]
Division
Senior Member
200 to 10,000 Betting Log
Thread betting guidelines
Football bets only.
I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.
I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill
Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.
*Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate 500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the worlds poorest people to transform their lives.
I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.
Starting Balance: 200
English Premier League
Liverpool v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
Stake 20
Thread betting guidelines
Football bets only.
I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.
I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill
Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.
*Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate 500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the worlds poorest people to transform their lives.
I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.
Starting Balance: 200
English Premier League
Liverpool v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
Stake 20
Comments
Does this "if bet" insert suppose to validate your status as a good-guy/philanthropist? With your good intentions, why not just donate 100 and still try to buck variance with the other 100 euros? Besides, a potential 50-1 score and only a 5% toke? That won't turn the charity into scoreboard watchers.
Regardless, I will post my selections here and people can do with that what they want. Its very difficult to make a consistent profit from sports betting and if I can help the community on this forum I will as I do read others contributions to this forum and benefit myself from time to time.
A: You are betting into the soccer market, which has the highest variance in it's game-to-game results, given the low totals per game.
B: You are utilizing a betting log,
I believe this is what you can also call a 'challenge' isn't it? A phenomenon well-known in European betting.
Given the edge you perceive to have on each bet, because of the nature of the betting log, your first bet is probably way too small relative to your bankroll. Subsequently, should you win 7 or 8 challenges, then your bet becomes too big, given the edge you perceive to have and the size of your bankroll.
In short: You are not exactly making it easy on yourself.
Nothing personal, but why would someone follow a random poster with no track record or indication that they will win going forward?
Liverpool 3-1 Arsenal
Balance: €213
Napoli v Real Madrid
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67.5%
Stake €21
Balance: €228
Bournemouth v West Ham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.6 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 70.6%
Stake €23
Balance: €242
Chelsea v Manchester Utd
Bet: Chelsea To Win @ 1.8 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63.7%
Stake €24
Champions League
Monaco v Manchester City
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.1 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 60.2%
Stake €36
Monaco 3-1 Man City
Balance: €301
Bournemouth v Swansea
Bet: Bournemouth To Score 2 Or More Goals @ 1.9 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 63%
Stake €30
Balance: €328
Peru v Uruguay
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.25 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 53%
Stake €32
Balance: 368
Crystal Palace v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake 36
Everton v Leicester
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.62 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 68%
Stake 36
Borussia Dortmund v Monaco
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.7 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 67%
Stake 36
Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal (Bet Lost) #WengerOut
Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Monaco (Bet Won)
Balance: 379
Tottenham v Bournemouth
Bet: Tottenham To Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake 38
English Premier League
Man Utd v Chelsea
Bet: Chelsea To Win - Draw No Bet @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 56% (ex. push)
Stake 38
Champions League
Monaco v Borussia Dortmund
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 73%
Stake 38
Man Utd 2-0 Chelsea (Bet Lost)
Monaco 3-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bet Won)
Balance: €387
West Ham v Everton
Bet: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Coral
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake 38
Balance: 349
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.8 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 61%
Stake 34
Balance: 379
Spanish La Liga
Real Madrid v Barcelona
Bet: Real Madrid To Win or Draw & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 59%
Stake 56
Balance: 323
English Premier League
Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Bet365
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake 32
Balance: 291
Champions League
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
Bet: Exactly 2 or 3 Goals @ 2.05 Bet Victor
Estimated Win Percentage: 57%
Stake 29
Balance: 318
Europa League
Celta Vigo v Man Utd
Bet: Man Utd Win - Draw No Bet @ 1.7 William Hill
Estimated Win Percentage: 65%
Stake 31