Rook's Occasional NBA Plays
rook
Senior Member
My 7 previous calls can be found in Obi One's NBA 2016 Discussion thread, and I thought I would stop hijacking Obi One's thread and open up a new one which could be more sensibly used to make my calls. Coming into this post I am 3-4 for the season, just one game short of being as accurate as a blindfolded guy throwing darts at a line sheet.
The next call is for Warriors vs Clippers on 12/7/16. On Bookmaker right now the Warriors are favored -4. I jumped on this line early in the fear it would get higher as game time approaches. As a long-time Clippers fan I can vouch for the fact that the Clippers can stand toe-to-toe with the Warriors any day of the week, talent-wise. But the Clippers are a mentally and emotionally fragile team, and their only chance to win this game if they impose their will defensively throughout the game, the way they did with the Cavaliers last week. But at the same time the Clippers need to be tough, they are facing a tough situation where they are playing their 2nd game back home after an arduous 6-game coast-to-coast road trip. The combination of the Warriors increasingly hot offense with the Clippers tough settling-in-after-a-road-trip situation, lead me to believe the Clipper's defense, even if they try to use it tomorrow, will eventually crack and yield an easy win for the Warriors.
The next call is for Warriors vs Clippers on 12/7/16. On Bookmaker right now the Warriors are favored -4. I jumped on this line early in the fear it would get higher as game time approaches. As a long-time Clippers fan I can vouch for the fact that the Clippers can stand toe-to-toe with the Warriors any day of the week, talent-wise. But the Clippers are a mentally and emotionally fragile team, and their only chance to win this game if they impose their will defensively throughout the game, the way they did with the Cavaliers last week. But at the same time the Clippers need to be tough, they are facing a tough situation where they are playing their 2nd game back home after an arduous 6-game coast-to-coast road trip. The combination of the Warriors increasingly hot offense with the Clippers tough settling-in-after-a-road-trip situation, lead me to believe the Clipper's defense, even if they try to use it tomorrow, will eventually crack and yield an easy win for the Warriors.
Comments
Great that you started your own thread. If you're going to (semi-) regularly post picks, then this is the way the to go.
The discussion thread is there for just that: discussions. It's not my thread. It's for everybody that wants to talk about anything concerning the NBA.
Good luck.
No doesn't matter. Just one of many situations to look at like GS. is 9-2 with one day off with an average of 24 points in winning and cover the spread by almost 11. Thought the Clippers were going to have a big year but I don't see that anymore. If your going to bet this game and I'm not but I would play GS. ML -165
Just a side note with GS when they have 2 or more days off there 0-4-1 and that happens on the 20th of this month against Utah and among other things it appears to be a great spot for Utah Right Now but a lot can change in that amount of time.
Good job playing the Warriors. Nothing like a cigar game a Red Auerbach tradition.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_Auerbach
I almost missed it to.
Famous for his polarizing nature, he was well known for smoking a cigar (illegal today) when he thought a victory was assured, a habit that became, for many, "the ultimate symbol of victory" during his Boston tenure.[2]
Knicks +5.
Next pick is Chicago at -10.5 over Miami. Miami seems to have so many things going against them that betting against them feels like a trap. They are on the second game of a BtoB, 4th in 5 games. Last night they only had 9 guys available to play, but then Udonis Haslem dropped out. In the 3rd quarter Spoelstra pulled Whiteside for playing like a lazy bum. Whiteside told the press his knee hurt. James Johnson, Justice Winslow and Dion Waiters are all out for sure. Josh Richardson is listed as questionable.
I am also hoping that Wade still wants to sock it to Miami on the court. One blogger mentioned a lot of this and then said take Miami anyway because the Bulls don't win by more than 10 points. But 5 out of their 11 wins this season have exceeded 10 points.
Great Minds, played them last night at the same line. I'm surprised I'm seeing 10 now and do expect this to go higher. Also like Portland with Indy in a bad spot. Like Portland but really liked them with Portland as slight dog. I also like Utah with Sac being in a terrible spot. Lineups look good as of now. Sac playing into an angle were it's 17-34 recently and 82-134 going back. Good Luck
sorry rook
So Old-Timer, what do you think about Jazz vs Warriors at this point? The Jazz still don't have George Hill, and the Warriors seem to be getting more and more dominating...BookMaker is showing -12 and 209.5 right now for that game...
I like two plays tonight in addition. Under in the Knick/Indy game and Over in the Cleve/Milw game I played them earlier and picked-up a better line that' s showing but U209.5 and O212 are still worth a play.