var of 1 to 2 pts off is a play for me...never post my totals but i do very well just like nba totals....last night my total on the gw game was 135.8 ....took it at 133 landed on 136...anything more then three and somethings wrong....
So bucky let me ask you something....if i had a model and it was 5 pts off, is that a good model ? when you say narrow margins/differentials what would you think is a good margin , from the close.
var of 1 to 2 pts off is a play for me...never post my totals but i do very well just like nba totals....last night my total on the gw game was 135.8 ....took it at 133 landed on 136...anything more then three and somethings wrong....
So bucky let me ask you something....if i had a model and it was 5 pts off, is that a good model ? when you say narrow margins/differentials what would you think is a good margin , from the close.
I don't know. that's why I asked. I guess for a model to be accurate it should be close to the line, on the other hand, if it's close to the line it seems like there is a small margin for error, and is that small margin enough to make up for the vig.
bucky ,a few big move on under in late game, wasnt to worried , i know my numbers are good posted here 147.6 landed on 149 ,just wish the sides matched up ....
Am on Vill , will wait for a 3 to show even though both model make it a pk em game...
total i have is 154.20 ...opened at 151 pinny ....thought it would go higher and it may but for now ill wait to see if it drops , any sign it moves back up am taking it.
Comments
523 oakl +1
luck
luck
In the night cap i have n.c -8.30 and -8.90 with a total of 147.60
So tomorrow
811 ov 144.5
812 Oak +2
813 syr +9.5
813 ov 144.5 -120
luck
522 un 145.5
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These look like some pretty narrow margins/differentials vs your model to be betting against. Would these normally be plays you would suggest?
So bucky let me ask you something....if i had a model and it was 5 pts off, is that a good model ? when you say narrow margins/differentials what would you think is a good margin , from the close.
I don't know. that's why I asked. I guess for a model to be accurate it should be close to the line, on the other hand, if it's close to the line it seems like there is a small margin for error, and is that small margin enough to make up for the vig.
total i have is 154.20 ...opened at 151 pinny ....thought it would go higher and it may but for now ill wait to see if it drops , any sign it moves back up am taking it.
luck
luck