Betting Talk

SweetJones55 NBA Picks

sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
edited June 2015 in Sports Betting
I will be putting all my plays in this thread from now on at the request of board member for less clutter and to allow those who want to subscribe to follow the plays. For obvious reasons, I will only be posting a play on here every other week or so.

Dallas Mavericks -3.5 (x2)


Betting Talk NBA Weighted Record: 6-2 +5.8 UNITS
Betting Talk NBA Unweighted Record: 6-2 +3.8 UNITS
Betting Talk WNBA Record:8-4 +3.6 UNITS
Betting Talk NCAA Football Record: 1-0 +2 UNITS (Unweighted 1-0 +1UNIT)
Betting Talk NFL Record: 0-1 -1.2 UNITS

All Sports Betting Talk Weighted Record: 15-7 +10.2 UNITS
All Sports Betting Talk Unweighted Record: 15-7 +7.3 UNITS

Comments

  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited November 2014
    Are those records for this year? If not, please post the current year's record. You can post historical records if you wish, but we need the current year separated out. Thanks.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Goats wrote: »
    Are those records for this year? If not, please post the current year's record. You can post historical records if you wish, but we need the current year separated out. Thanks.

    Those are lifetime BT records. Have to do other sports but below is NBA for this season.

    2014-15 Weighted Betting Talk NBA Record: 2-0 (100%) +3.5 UNITS
    2014-15 Unweighted Betting Talk NBA REcord: 2-0 (100%) +2 UNITS
  • StJoes0610StJoes0610 Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    your unweighted record should be +7.2, you likely subtracted -1.1 instead of -1.2 units for NFL. Either that or your weighted record should be +10.3 and the NFL -1.2 is a typo and should be -1.1.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    StJoes0610 wrote: »
    your unweighted record should be +7.2, you likely subtracted -1.1 instead of -1.2 units for NFL. Either that or your weighted record should be +10.3 and the NFL -1.2 is a typo and should be -1.1.

    Yes, you are right. Unweighted record should have read +7.2 UNITS.
  • barmoycmbarmoycm Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    nice keep crushin
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    sweetjones55 wrote: »
    Dallas Mavericks -3.5 (x2)WINNER

    Mavericks win by 27 points.

    2014-15 Weighted Betting Talk NBA Record: 3-0 (100%) +5.5 UNITS
    2014-15 Unweighted Betting Talk NBA REcord: 3-0 (100%) +3 UNITS
    LifeTime Betting Talk NBA Weighted Record: 7-2 (77.78%) +7.8 UNITS
    LifeTimeBetting Talk NBA Unweighted Record: 7-2 (77.77%) +4.8 UNITS
  • StJoes0610StJoes0610 Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    nice win
  • eug44eug44 Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    ditto, nice play
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Washington Wizards -4 (x1) I will provide some analysis later today.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Few tidbits on todays game…

    I think the Nuggets are going to struggle scoring for a few reasons. Denver is a team that thrives scoring in the paint with 45 paint points a game, 8th best in the NBA. Washington has been the best team in the NBA this year defending the paint giving up just 35.6 a game. Over their last 3 games, they have given up even less at 28 a game. Washington also ranks in the top 10 of opponent fast break points which is an area Denver does well in. Denver is a pretty good 3 point shooting team and the Wizards are giving up just 34.4% from 3 and less at home at 33.1%. The Wizards currently rank 7th in defensive efficiency at .991 and they are significantly better on defense at home with a rating of .963. Washington's biggest strength on offense this year is their 3 point shooting as they rank 3rd in the NBA at 37.9%. They rank #1 in the NBA in 3 point shooting at home at 39.9%. Denver is in the bottom 10 of 3 point shooting defense giving up 37.9% from 3 on the road. I see the Wizards hitting a good amount of three's tonight at a high rate.

    Winning in the NBA in a lot of cases comes down to just figuring out the ebbs and flows of teams through the year. Washington is a team that I had high expectations for coming into the year and I think they are about to go on a upswing here. The return of Bradley Beal has a lot to do with this. He's a all star caliber player and they were winning games without him as it was. His added scoring to the already great Wizards defense puts this team over the top. John Wall over the last two games has done a great job finding his teammates with 13 assists against Miami and 15 assists against the Lakers. Gortat has double-doubled in 5 of the last 6 games. Nene has been hurt but Kris Humphries, Drew Gooden and Kevin Serafin have filled the void very nicely. Humphries is coming off a 20 rebound game. Gooden/Serafin have come in off bench and rebounded/shot a high percentage. Pierce is starting at the SF spot and he has done a decent job scoring at times and is still a pretty solid defender. Pierce is quick to get on his younger teammates when they are being lethargic which is something this team needed. Rasual Butler backs up Pierce and he has been on fire lately shooting 61% from 3 the last 5 games while averaging 14ppg. It just seems that the Wizards are really coming together well right now.

    The Wizards have been very good at home this year going 8-2 with a +6.8 margin. Denver is not the same team at home as they are on a road. They have a +3.8 scoring margin at home but a -3.8 margin on the road. That's a -7.6 swing from home to road. The Nuggets have just always been a poor road team. They are 3-6 against the spread on the road so far with two of the wins coming to the lowly Lakers and Pacers. I see the Wizards winning this game by around 7-10 points.
  • TotallyTiltTotallyTilt Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Nice call SJ and thanks for the write-up
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    I have to say most every game you put up at BT its a Cigar game. I had the game bet already at -4 but have say it was nice seeing you on it. Good luck moving forward and continued success.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    sweetjones55 wrote: »
    Washington Wizards -4 (x1) I will provide some analysis later today. WINNER

    Wizards win by 30 points, 119-89.

    2014-15 Weighted Betting Talk NBA Record: 4-0 (100%) +6.5 UNITS
    2014-15 Unweighted Betting Talk NBA REcord: 4-0 (100%) +4 UNITS

    LifeTime Betting Talk NBA Weighted Record: 8-2 (80%) +8.8 UNITS
    LifeTimeBetting Talk NBA Unweighted Record: 8-2 (80%) +5.8 UNITS
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Old-Timer wrote: »
    I have to say most every game you put up at BT its a Cigar game. I had the game bet already at -4 but have say it was nice seeing you on it. Good luck moving forward and continued success.

    Thanks, appreciate the kind words.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Orlando Magic -3 (x1)
  • underwrapsunderwraps Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Sweet, thanks for posting. What do you think about Vucs defense since he's come back?
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    underwraps wrote: »
    Sweet, thanks for posting. What do you think about Vucs defense since he's come back?

    It seems about the same as before he came back. He's never been a good defender. Horford had 18-8. Jonas didn't do much against him. He's out there for his scoring/rebounding and he's been great doing that lately shooting 53% with 16ppg/11rpg in 3 games back. C Derrick Favors is coming off an ankle injury and was just 3-8 from the field in his 1st game back. Doesn't seem like he's 100% which should help Vucevic in the matchup.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    sweetjones55 wrote: »
    Orlando Magic -3 (x1) loss


    2014-15 Weighted Betting Talk NBA Record: 3-1 (75%) +4.5 UNITS
    2014-15 Unweighted Betting Talk NBA REcord: 3-1 (100%) +1.9 UNITS
    LifeTime Betting Talk NBA Weighted Record: 7-3 (70%) +6.7 UNITS
    LifeTimeBetting Talk NBA Unweighted Record: 7-2 (70%) +3.7 UNITS
    All Sports Betting Talk Weighted Record: 17-8 (68%) +12.1 UNITS
    All Sports Betting Talk Unweighted Record: 17-8 (68%) +8.2 UNITS
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited January 2015
    Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 (x1)
  • underwrapsunderwraps Senior Member
    edited January 2015
    sweetjones55 wrote: »
    Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 (x1)

    whats your thoughts on this one?
  • jammerjammer Senior Member
    edited January 2015
    Awful 3 point shooting last night. Other than Lillard, rest of team was 2-17 from downtown.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    Early release, line now widely available at all major sportsbooks.

    Washington Wizards -3.5 (x1.5)
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    Wiz should close -5. Good luck to all that followed.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    sweetjones55 wrote: »
    Early release, line now widely available at all major sportsbooks.

    Washington Wizards -3.5 (x1.5) Winner

    1-0 tonight +1.5 Units

    2014-15 Weighted Betting Talk NBA Record: 4-2 (67%) +4.9 UNITS
    2014-15 Unweighted Betting Talk NBA REcord: 4-2 (67%) +1.8 UNITS
    LifeTime Betting Talk NBA Weighted Record: 8-4 (67%) +7.1 UNITS
    LifeTimeBetting Talk NBA Unweighted Record: 8-4 (67%) +3.6 UNITS
    All Sports Betting Talk Weighted Record: 18-9 (67%) +12.5 UNITS
    All Sports Betting Talk Unweighted Record: 18-9(67%) +8.1 UNITS
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    Will be posting WNBA Plays on here for start of the season.
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    Atlanta Dream -4.5 (x1)
    Washington Mystics -4.5 (x1)
  • sweetjones55sweetjones55 Senior Member
    edited June 2015
    Creating separate thread for WNBA Picks...
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