Prime time NFL overs
golfer1000
Senior Member
In prime time NFL games this year (Thursday, Sunday night, Monday night) overs are hitting at about 80 pct, maybe even more. Literally impossible to win a prime time under these days. Pretty amazing honestly. This has to be taking a toll on the books. Has anyone else noticed this?
Comments
U still have to cap the games as they come. Thinking there's automatically value on the over because of this streak is foolish.
Lol I don't think that. Just pointing out the streak. If anything, I would be more apt to buck the trend then tail it. But I agree it doesn't mean anything, was just pointing it out. Trends like this don't happen much in a league that is supposedly so "hard" to win at. I think Dallas/ wash Monday night goes under the 49.5 I'm seeing
thye have to just start raising the number
They opened last night's game at 51 and while it climbed a bit to 51.5 it closed down at 50.5. There's no reason to believe the books got lopsided action on the over, so there's no reason for them to raise the number.
Dave Mason, I think the guy you are talking about, posts stuff like that a couple times a week. Every time it seems to go the other way. If he and Todd Furman agree on a play and suggest that the house needs a certain side it's sure to go the other way. I follow him as well. He's full of shit, IMO. Comical.
Everyone is so "contrarian" nowadays they see that nonsense and think that the UNDER is the right side because the PUBLIC is on the over. Twitter is the new medium for manipulating the masses it seems.
Meanwhile if you ignore the bull and just cap the game you'll be just fine.
That seems like a quick way to burn your bankroll.
Dave Mason @DaveMasonBOL 1m1 minute ago
Colts (-4.5) is the biggest public play for the late games. Only 15% of the action is on the Steelers.
I'm sure this will continue. I would recommend tripling up on these games.
For the record, I am not betting these overs, I am just keeping track of the streak/trend. Will be on the under in Dallas