This finishes -150 or better
homerplayer
Senior Member
just sayin'
6/7/14 5:00pm Horses Other Sports 104 Field wins Belmont -130* vs California Chrome wins Belmont
6/7/14 5:00pm Horses Other Sports 104 Field wins Belmont -130* vs California Chrome wins Belmont
Comments
Commanding Curve, Ride On Curlin, Tonalist and......???
I'd assume Wicked Strong, if the extra rest allows him to get the mile and a half.
I don't like Commanding curve and I certainly don't like Dallas Stewart as a trainer in this spot.
I will post the 4 contenders on Friday as i gather more info
But the history? Holy shot fellas, did you guys get outfitted with blinders?
Other non contenders with no chance:
Summer Bird, whom is going to get smoked by Mine that Bird.
Drosselmeyer.
Ruler on Ice has zero fucking chance, Animal Kingdom is going to run away with it.
Union Rags, okay, at least he had PT Odds under 10.
Palaca Malice, whom ran poorly in Derby and skipped Preakness (wow, I wonder if there is any historical data on how horses run in Belmont if they ran in Derby and Preakness compared to skipping the Preakness (lightbulb?))
Prob work Chrome into some exotics, maybe.
GL all, push that price down for me so I can hit it again!!!
6/7/2014 6:50 PM Horses Other Sports 104 Field wins Belmont* -140 vs California Chrome wins Belmont
California Chrome must run in Belmont for action
As am I. Think we will get 6-1 on him.
The bombs who have won the race in the past all seem to be horses who run the entire race the same plodding pace and gobble up tired horses down the stretch, pay a ton and no one knows where they came from. Their numbers don't look great but they can run that pace forever where the rest of the group hits the wall the last 1/4 mile. If that happens this year, it will be Matuszak, who will go off less than the 30-1 ML(worth a flyer at 20-1).
General Arod
Medal Count
Samraat
Tonalist
Currently 40-1 @ 5Dimes.
I like the theory but not the conclusion. I would rather take a flyer on Matterhorn than Matuszak who is extremely slow. I'm hoping Tonalist stays at the current 8-1 but don't think it will go lower than 7.
After 1998 Visa bought up a bunch of the "good" seats as they were the main sponsor. In 1997/1998 we sat at the eighth pole, 2nd level, front 2 rows. The cat's ass. Tried to get same tickets in 1999, another triple crown year, and they wouldn't sell them to us. Corporate sponsors got them. Nonsense.
I'd love to go tomorrow but it just didn't work out. Should be great weather and an unbelievable atmosphere.
Don't put a ton of stock in Beyer, but no way I'm backing a horse with an 89 as his best ever. One of them fuckers knocked out a 107, might have been in Derby.
I want a rested, fast horse that has some pedigree.
What did DaTara go off at few years back? 30-1? 40-1?
80-1 at BM. Matterhorn 55-1. I'll bite.
Jesus. Thank you for posting this. Laying -130 (or worse, -150) on the Field here is just about the dumbest way to play the Belmont.
If you have an opinion and do not act on it, you really don't have an opinion.
Or...words minus action are meaningless.
So which it is? Just another loud mouthed fortune teller lacking the fortitude to stake his money to his 'opinion', or someone willing to take action?
The last 12 horses to win the Derby and the Preakness have failed to complete the Triple Crown, which has a historical success rate of 33 percent. The current slump is unlikely: The odds of it happening by chance are about 1 in 130 nearly the same as the 2011 Atlanta Braves failing to make Major League Baseballs playoffs with 18 games remaining and an 8.5-game lead for the wild card.
I'm not claiming I know the winner but I am most definitely echoing underwraps' comment that this is a bad way to fade Chrome. Unless you just think this is a complete crapshoot, in which case you probably shouldn't be betting it at all. I truthfully didn't mean for that to sound as dickish as it may have sounded.
By the way, Tonalist being 15-1 is the definition of dead on the board. That is shockingly high.
Maybe the rumors of a foot issue are true.
Nice call sir, good day for me to follow you.
CChrome owner Steven Colborn hits the lotto with a 10k investment with his horse and rants on national tv today and also blasted CDowns after the Derby. This system has been around for over a century and he has the nerve to call some owners/trainers cowards. This man was on a soapbox speaking like he had the tenure of the late Woody Stephens. What a fuken farmer.
Oh, Bob Costas. I loved that data mining about the NY teams etc. GMAFB