Steve,What % of your plays are faves and or dogs,or does that vary from season to season based on finding value?......Also, is there a cap price you will pay for a favorite,or again is your play dictated by value alone.
Steve,What % of your plays are faves and or dogs,or does that vary from season to season based on finding value?......Also, is there a cap price you will pay for a favorite,or again is your play dictated by value alone.
Thanks Joe
It varies but the last two years about 13% of the plays were on favs > -120 and none over -165(almost all over -140 were played as a regulation play for lower juice). I don't have a cap price.
Stevie...I am new to your service. When you release a play and the line moves do you find that it comes back closer to game time? or does it get pounded all day? How big of a move would require me to pass on a game? if you release -120 and I can only get it at -135 or -140 is that a pass? thanks and best of luck!
Stevie...I am new to your service. When you release a play and the line moves do you find that it comes back closer to game time? or does it get pounded all day? How big of a move would require me to pass on a game? if you release -120 and I can only get it at -135 or -140 is that a pass? thanks and best of luck!
I didn't do the NHL last year and there have only been two picks so it is hard to tell what the line is going to do. Neither moved much but I didn't expect them to. People love playing teams in their home opener and we were on road teams both games.
As far as how big of a move to lay off, every game is different so there isn't a set rule on what to do. You are probably safe with a dime move on most games(more so on higher spreads), 15 cent move on some, 20 cents you are starting to get into the rare games that are still good to play. If a play gets added later in the day, I wouldn't go any higher than a dime off.
Comments
2012 was no plays due to strike shortened season, this is the 2013 season.
Thanks Joe
It varies but the last two years about 13% of the plays were on favs > -120 and none over -165(almost all over -140 were played as a regulation play for lower juice). I don't have a cap price.
I didn't do the NHL last year and there have only been two picks so it is hard to tell what the line is going to do. Neither moved much but I didn't expect them to. People love playing teams in their home opener and we were on road teams both games.
As far as how big of a move to lay off, every game is different so there isn't a set rule on what to do. You are probably safe with a dime move on most games(more so on higher spreads), 15 cent move on some, 20 cents you are starting to get into the rare games that are still good to play. If a play gets added later in the day, I wouldn't go any higher than a dime off.
If it has to do with the soccer question you posted, I don't do soccer so I have no idea.