Coll foots plays for Saturday ...
ChemicalAT
Senior Member
I have to do these a little earlier this season since I have shit to do
on Fridays now. Lot of plays; write-ups will be reduced.
$$$Oklahoma State$$$ over UCLA by 11 (2 units) - Yeah right I'm believing
UCLA will be improved. Actually, they could be, but it doesn't matter.
These two programs are in completely different places, but the names make
people think one will bounce back and one will digress. OSU has recent
wins over Oklahoma, they hung in with a legit Top 10 in the Cotton Bowl
last year while UCLA swooned and looked like a car stuck in mud against
Fresno in a minor bowl. See a difference in programs? One is going one way
and the other, the other. All UCLA had last year was its defense, and now
most of the front seven is gone and most of their replacments are injured.
Oklahoma State did lose talent, but unlike UCLA it has the players needed
to step in. No star receiver in Rashaun Woods anymore? That's fine, just
insert his brother, who looked great in the Cotton Bowl. Tatum Bell is a
Bronco? No prob, just watch Morency and tell me if you think the running
game will miss a beat. The QB situation is a less of a problem than people
think. And an athlete like Woods going against a crap front seven is a
double-threat that can do damage. The Bruins offense is going to get
better just because its eight months later? The bottom line is the running
game isn't much because the line stinks (and is injured) and the receivers
don't have a playmaker, and despite what many think Perry has not
officially been cleared to play. UCLA isn't better this year and OSU isn't
going to just drop off. The Rose Bowl is hardly a scary place to play and
OSU will prove it with a comfy win.
$$$Rutgers$$$ over Michigan by 1 - Mish State was an illusion last year.
Smoker shocked alot of teams early and the Spartans took many by surprise.
But when tested against good competition, the Spartans showed their true
colors i.e. last year's bowl. The offense will be considerably worse now.
The RBs are average, the receivers are the same and QB is a question now
that the heart and soul is gone. The defense is just average, too. There
is just nothing reliable about this team. Rutgers on the other hand is
full of confidence, and looking at this as a statement game. The best part
is the Knights have playmakers on offense that can take advantage of the
Spartans so-so defense. This is a very tough road spot and if you judged
by pure talent and took away team names, then Rutgers is probably a field
goal choice. Good value, live home dog.
$$$Virginia$$$ over Temple by 30 - If I thought UVa was going to get cute
on offense and cohesion would be important, there is no way I'd lay this
number. Quite the opposite is the case. The Cavs strength this year is the
running game and when they rely on it like they will Saturday, the party
is over for lesser foes. I see alot of gimmickry and ball control and
screens and nothing dangerous which is bad news for Temple's defense.
Conversely, Temple's offense relies on its QB to make plays. This won't
work against an athletic UVa group of backers. People don't realize this
UVa club is a Top 15 team. The motivation and tactics should be there for
a blowout.
$$$West Virginia$$$ over East Carolina by 50 - Sound like a lot? I don't
think so. This is a showcase game for WestVa against one of the worst
teams in the sport. The Mounties want to prove they are worth the lofty
rankings and don't think the defense likes hearing it's the only liability
on the team. WestVa is set to send a message and East Caro will be ready
to let them.
Ohio State over $$$Cincinnati$$$ by 6 - In a game where I have a hard time
seeing 20 points scored, I have to take double digits with a team that can
play defense a little and has a veteran QB. Dantonio knows OSU well,
obviously, and the same can be said the other way. This is going to look
like a scripted scrimmage. The Buckeyes offense is being counted on to be
better because of what? Some time has passed? Something like OSU 13, Cincy
7 sounds right.
$$$Michigan$$$ over Miami Oh by 28 - Some times wins like last week's
Miami drubbing over a cream puff can be a bad thing. It can give a new QB
a false sense of security that he can take chances, force throws,
whatever. I expect some mistakes this week. The Miami pass attack is a
timing game. I don't see how it can operate against a top-notch secondary
with a heavy pass rush to boot. The Miami defense I think was an overrated
joke. It's easy to lay back and play prevent when the offense spots you
two touchdowns in the first quarter. But what about when you're down 17 on
the road to a bigger better faster Big 10 team? I want to see Miami get
its ass kicked every which way but sideways. Maybe that too. I think Mish
is the tool to do it.
Wisconsin over $$$UCF$$$ by 17 - Until the Wisky offense shows me it can
be brutally effective, I am going to take road dogs against them all day.
They've been bad in this spot, if you buy into trends, and I think its
because the offense is neither explosive or dominant. UCF is no great
shakes, but they should play close to the vest and I think a few skill
players can do something to be a pest in this spot.
$$$California$$$ over Air Force by 28 - New option QBs scare me. And I
actually think Cal's defense will be improved. Not to mention I think a
summer to prepare for what the Cal players are probably hearing is a
vaunted attack should have all the players in the right spot. The good
dynamic here is that if Cal gets up early, the game should turn ugly fast.
I expect AF to just sit back in a zone and that should allow a heady QB
like Rodgers to go to work. AF has had a bad offseason and we'll see those
effects early.
$$$Colorado State$$$ over Colorado by 3 - Beyond Klatt, what does the CU
offense have? Last year's stud receivers are gone. The running backs don't
have the same talent level and the offensive couldn't pick up a blitz on
'03 to save its life. Lubick is going to send the casa after Klatt, I have
no doubts about it. And I think the CSU offense is in alot better shape
with the talented Holland at QB, a good running back and some burners
outside. Lubick knows how to ambush a team and that's just what's coming
CUs way..
$$$Maryland$$$ over Northern Illinois by 24 - The NIU offense wasn't great
last year and now that it can't rely on Turner to set everything up, I
think it's in big trouble. Conversely, I think Friedgen, even when keeping
it simple, can be confusing to game plan for on defense. The M-Land
homefield edge keeps improving and starting last year with an upset loss
to NIU will give the players all the motivation they need to come out
early and set the tone. If NIU falls behind early, it should be curtains.
$$$Memphis$$$ over Ole Miss by 10 - If this game was in November, I am
sure things would be different. But for now, the Memphis offense is more
trustworthy and if you're breaking in a new QB like Ole Miss is, the last
thing you want to see is Joe Lee Dunn throwing all kinds of blitz packages
at you.
$$$LSU$$$ over Oregon State by 30 - Derek Anderson is the most overrated
player in the sport. There is no way that he can move the Beavs offense at
a venue like this without Jackson and Newson. Think about it, this is not
the place you want to be breaking in new skill players. The Tigers offense
still has playmakers and the QB situation isn't that bad. Expect the
Tigers to wear out OSU and make this ugly. First game back at home after
the title should be a good one for LSU fans. Just remember what Ohio State
did last year to Washington.
$$$Minnesota$$$ over Toledo by 4 - If you think Khaliq is easily replaced,
you're crazy. Toledo's game plan is real simple. Stack the line, take away
the run and make Kupito beat you. Meanwhile, the crap Gophers defense from
last year isn't going to be much better just because some time has passed.
Toledo has an offense of its own and will make this a very sketchy game
for the chalk.
$$$Notre Dame$$$ over BYU by 14 - Too much confidence is being placed in
the Cougs offense. ND has a solid defense and some real talent on offense.
That should be enough to put a lot of pressure on the host to keep up. ND
can still cause and capitalize on mistakes just like two years ago and the
Irish offense is the much better bet to be improved.
on Fridays now. Lot of plays; write-ups will be reduced.
$$$Oklahoma State$$$ over UCLA by 11 (2 units) - Yeah right I'm believing
UCLA will be improved. Actually, they could be, but it doesn't matter.
These two programs are in completely different places, but the names make
people think one will bounce back and one will digress. OSU has recent
wins over Oklahoma, they hung in with a legit Top 10 in the Cotton Bowl
last year while UCLA swooned and looked like a car stuck in mud against
Fresno in a minor bowl. See a difference in programs? One is going one way
and the other, the other. All UCLA had last year was its defense, and now
most of the front seven is gone and most of their replacments are injured.
Oklahoma State did lose talent, but unlike UCLA it has the players needed
to step in. No star receiver in Rashaun Woods anymore? That's fine, just
insert his brother, who looked great in the Cotton Bowl. Tatum Bell is a
Bronco? No prob, just watch Morency and tell me if you think the running
game will miss a beat. The QB situation is a less of a problem than people
think. And an athlete like Woods going against a crap front seven is a
double-threat that can do damage. The Bruins offense is going to get
better just because its eight months later? The bottom line is the running
game isn't much because the line stinks (and is injured) and the receivers
don't have a playmaker, and despite what many think Perry has not
officially been cleared to play. UCLA isn't better this year and OSU isn't
going to just drop off. The Rose Bowl is hardly a scary place to play and
OSU will prove it with a comfy win.
$$$Rutgers$$$ over Michigan by 1 - Mish State was an illusion last year.
Smoker shocked alot of teams early and the Spartans took many by surprise.
But when tested against good competition, the Spartans showed their true
colors i.e. last year's bowl. The offense will be considerably worse now.
The RBs are average, the receivers are the same and QB is a question now
that the heart and soul is gone. The defense is just average, too. There
is just nothing reliable about this team. Rutgers on the other hand is
full of confidence, and looking at this as a statement game. The best part
is the Knights have playmakers on offense that can take advantage of the
Spartans so-so defense. This is a very tough road spot and if you judged
by pure talent and took away team names, then Rutgers is probably a field
goal choice. Good value, live home dog.
$$$Virginia$$$ over Temple by 30 - If I thought UVa was going to get cute
on offense and cohesion would be important, there is no way I'd lay this
number. Quite the opposite is the case. The Cavs strength this year is the
running game and when they rely on it like they will Saturday, the party
is over for lesser foes. I see alot of gimmickry and ball control and
screens and nothing dangerous which is bad news for Temple's defense.
Conversely, Temple's offense relies on its QB to make plays. This won't
work against an athletic UVa group of backers. People don't realize this
UVa club is a Top 15 team. The motivation and tactics should be there for
a blowout.
$$$West Virginia$$$ over East Carolina by 50 - Sound like a lot? I don't
think so. This is a showcase game for WestVa against one of the worst
teams in the sport. The Mounties want to prove they are worth the lofty
rankings and don't think the defense likes hearing it's the only liability
on the team. WestVa is set to send a message and East Caro will be ready
to let them.
Ohio State over $$$Cincinnati$$$ by 6 - In a game where I have a hard time
seeing 20 points scored, I have to take double digits with a team that can
play defense a little and has a veteran QB. Dantonio knows OSU well,
obviously, and the same can be said the other way. This is going to look
like a scripted scrimmage. The Buckeyes offense is being counted on to be
better because of what? Some time has passed? Something like OSU 13, Cincy
7 sounds right.
$$$Michigan$$$ over Miami Oh by 28 - Some times wins like last week's
Miami drubbing over a cream puff can be a bad thing. It can give a new QB
a false sense of security that he can take chances, force throws,
whatever. I expect some mistakes this week. The Miami pass attack is a
timing game. I don't see how it can operate against a top-notch secondary
with a heavy pass rush to boot. The Miami defense I think was an overrated
joke. It's easy to lay back and play prevent when the offense spots you
two touchdowns in the first quarter. But what about when you're down 17 on
the road to a bigger better faster Big 10 team? I want to see Miami get
its ass kicked every which way but sideways. Maybe that too. I think Mish
is the tool to do it.
Wisconsin over $$$UCF$$$ by 17 - Until the Wisky offense shows me it can
be brutally effective, I am going to take road dogs against them all day.
They've been bad in this spot, if you buy into trends, and I think its
because the offense is neither explosive or dominant. UCF is no great
shakes, but they should play close to the vest and I think a few skill
players can do something to be a pest in this spot.
$$$California$$$ over Air Force by 28 - New option QBs scare me. And I
actually think Cal's defense will be improved. Not to mention I think a
summer to prepare for what the Cal players are probably hearing is a
vaunted attack should have all the players in the right spot. The good
dynamic here is that if Cal gets up early, the game should turn ugly fast.
I expect AF to just sit back in a zone and that should allow a heady QB
like Rodgers to go to work. AF has had a bad offseason and we'll see those
effects early.
$$$Colorado State$$$ over Colorado by 3 - Beyond Klatt, what does the CU
offense have? Last year's stud receivers are gone. The running backs don't
have the same talent level and the offensive couldn't pick up a blitz on
'03 to save its life. Lubick is going to send the casa after Klatt, I have
no doubts about it. And I think the CSU offense is in alot better shape
with the talented Holland at QB, a good running back and some burners
outside. Lubick knows how to ambush a team and that's just what's coming
CUs way..
$$$Maryland$$$ over Northern Illinois by 24 - The NIU offense wasn't great
last year and now that it can't rely on Turner to set everything up, I
think it's in big trouble. Conversely, I think Friedgen, even when keeping
it simple, can be confusing to game plan for on defense. The M-Land
homefield edge keeps improving and starting last year with an upset loss
to NIU will give the players all the motivation they need to come out
early and set the tone. If NIU falls behind early, it should be curtains.
$$$Memphis$$$ over Ole Miss by 10 - If this game was in November, I am
sure things would be different. But for now, the Memphis offense is more
trustworthy and if you're breaking in a new QB like Ole Miss is, the last
thing you want to see is Joe Lee Dunn throwing all kinds of blitz packages
at you.
$$$LSU$$$ over Oregon State by 30 - Derek Anderson is the most overrated
player in the sport. There is no way that he can move the Beavs offense at
a venue like this without Jackson and Newson. Think about it, this is not
the place you want to be breaking in new skill players. The Tigers offense
still has playmakers and the QB situation isn't that bad. Expect the
Tigers to wear out OSU and make this ugly. First game back at home after
the title should be a good one for LSU fans. Just remember what Ohio State
did last year to Washington.
$$$Minnesota$$$ over Toledo by 4 - If you think Khaliq is easily replaced,
you're crazy. Toledo's game plan is real simple. Stack the line, take away
the run and make Kupito beat you. Meanwhile, the crap Gophers defense from
last year isn't going to be much better just because some time has passed.
Toledo has an offense of its own and will make this a very sketchy game
for the chalk.
$$$Notre Dame$$$ over BYU by 14 - Too much confidence is being placed in
the Cougs offense. ND has a solid defense and some real talent on offense.
That should be enough to put a lot of pressure on the host to keep up. ND
can still cause and capitalize on mistakes just like two years ago and the
Irish offense is the much better bet to be improved.
Comments
more improved team this year and you heard it here first NOTRE DAME BEATS
MICHIGAN NEXT WEEK. My first Me Against The World play of the College
Football season!
Rutgers' last home game last year when they beat up on syracuse, i think
they'll continue that right into this year...i also like thwe line being
somewhat low in that game,...public will be all over MSU only laying
5.5......kind of reminds me of 2 years ago when nebraska came into Penn
State my freshman year here, nobody gave them a shot, they were 5.5 point
dogs as well and blew them out outright. Definitely not going to be a
blow out but its gonig to be way closer than people think. CSU and Toldeo
are also going to be very big anti-public plays as well for me. Good Luck
and thanks fopr posting.
jayson
that last year. Notre Dame will have to be able to score, which is saying
a great deal.
Mark my words, I think that Michigan will have a shot at a 11-0 mark this
year.
Also, look for an easy cover by the Wolverines this weekend.
P.S. And just so you don't think that I am too much of Homer!!, I usally
fade Michigan and win $$$$$ because they have a history of not covering
when the world is on them.
your opinion and I also have won much more money betting against Notre
Dame than on them and you will see when it comes to Notre Dame football I
know what I am talking about just like when I posted them on the money
line against FSU 2 years ago and against them when FSU played them in
South Bend the next year I know this team believe me and there are
ABSOLUTELY no personal feelings going into the pick I can guarantee you
that.