Coll foots plays for Fri and Sat ...
ChemicalAT
Senior Member
I tread water last week. That's fine by me. This week I am confident. I
really like the slate. It's kind of simple, if I am right about Friday,
this could be a big week.
$$$Oregon State$$$ over Boise State by 7 (2 units; 1/2 unit ML)- Take away
the name "Boise State" and the rep this school has built up among
gamblers, and the wrong team is favored. Esepecially on talent. I had been
waiting for last year's big bet on TCU in the bowl for a while. That line
was crazy, and this one is, too. The Broncos aren't close to the same team
they were last year. No more Dinwiddie and the running back situation is a
lot worse than people think. This team still plays OK defense, but lets
not get fooled here, they do not have the talent to simply reload at any
spot on the field.
Oregon State enters with a tough frame of mind. I spoke to the father of
a player on the team and I got the vibe the team was more impressed with
itself than disappointed after last week's fiasco. My only concern is the
toll it might take going from the deep south to the rocky mountains in
less than a week. Beyond that, this game isn't close. There's probably
just two positions on the field where I think Boise is better.
Just look at it this way - the Beavers have a veteran QB and moved the
ball well at LSU. The defense did well, too. They aren't going to be
intimidate by anybody after that performance. I think Boise is susceptible
to the pass and Ore State should take advantage. These are college kids
and I don't the Beavs will be deflated mentally or physically. They have
more than enough for the win.
$$$Illinois$$$ over UCLA by 8 - The Bruins defense was just as I thought
last week - bad. The offense made slight improvement, but not enough for
me trust them on the road as a short favorite.
The UCLA defense gets a little healthier this week, but Illinois at home
with a vet QB, is still capable of being comfortable enough to do some
damage.
Last year's game was a tight, 6-3 affair and UCLA had better personnel
and was at home. Now they are worse talent-wise and on the road as a
favorite. UCLA is one of those bad teams that you must bet against until
they prove otherwise.
$$$Arizona State$$$ over Northwestern by 8 - The Devils and Cats both have
great offense. The question for this game becomes who wants to make some
stops? I know ASU doesn't have a great defense, but their talent on that
side of the ball is one step up from NWestern's.
The Devils offense I think also has more balance and should be able to
run the ball which will limit the defenses exposure. Pac-10 defenses
aren't impressed by the tactics NWestern uses on offense. In fact, they're
used to it and geared to stop it. You have to have better talent or a lot
of luck to beat the Devils at their game. NW doesn't have one, lets hope
they don't have luck either.
$$$Auburn$$$ over Miss State by 28 - Come on. Tulane is bad and it took
Miss State too much time to put them away. Auburn got a tuneup last week
and the young Tigers defense can use this game as a confidence boost while
the veteran offense is going be able to have its way with Bulldogs D.
Croom can hang around for a quarter, but after that the Tigers run takes
its toll. Auburn has a good track record of handling its recent business
against lesser foes.
$$$Boston College$$$ over Penn State by 10 - I don't put much stock into
PSU's win last week, but the oddsmaker and public certiainly do. The
bottom line is BC pushed PSU around on its home field last year and not
much has changed. The BC running game worries me because the ball carriers
are lackluster. But the defense is more than enough to keep them in the
game.
$$$Michigan$$$ over Notre Dame by 24 - I don't think the Irish offense can
crack double-digs on the Mish defense. If they use the luck of yesteryear
again, then yes, the Irish will cover this. I don't see it happening
because I think Mish will limit the exposure of the new QB by keeping it
simple and letting the defense take care of business. Like UCLA, I say
keep betting against ND until proven otherwise. Wish I'd have done that
last week against BYU.
Ohio State over $$$Marshall$$$ by 6 - I have no clue how OSU covered last
week against Cincy. The Bearcats did get tired and they lacked much punch
on offense, but that game flowed perfectly for the cover. I think Marshall
has slightly more offensively than Cincy did and the Herd defense
certainly won't be blown away by another stagnant OSU offense. This game
is going to be close. Marshall was flattered by Troy State on Thursday, so
this one looks like good value in a bounce back spot.
$$$Oregon$$$ over Indiana by 38 - How can Indy keep up? They are
out-quicked and out-talented and playing on surface in an environment that
is not good for them. The crowd should be nutty for the Ducks opener and
the Indy tactics on defense just aren't geared for slowing an offense like
this. This line looks awfully cheap.
$$$Miami Oh$$$ over Cincinnati by 10 - MiaOh really impressed me last
week. I like the offense to bounce back this week by placing an emphasis
on not turning it over. The defense will find Cincy more to its liking,
too. There is no homefield edge here as the two in-state rivals should be
well represented.
$$$Oklahoma State$$$ over Tulsa by 34 - Good showcase spot for the Pokes.
The running game is cranking and deep with talent. The passing game is due
to get in on the act. The defense is so-so, but Tulsa can't really score.
Stadium dedication excitement makes this a bad spot for Tulsa to hang in.
If they couldn't score at Kansas, how can this spot be any better?
$$$Kansas State$$$ over Fresno by 27 - I don't like KSU in bowls, but at
home, is always the spot to play Snyder. The FSU offense was poor last
week against what might be the Pac-10's worst team. This road setting will
be 10 times tougher and eventually the Dawgs defense will get warn out
trying to keep Sproles under wraps.
$$$Texas Tech$$$ over New Mexico by 28 (2 units) - I really like this
spot. NewMexi proved last week its in big trouble. The offense just can't
be counted to score. Moore is the whole show and while TT doesn't have
much D, its strength is stopping the run. The TT offense may not equal
last year or the year before, but it will score and NM cannot trade points
with anybody right now. TT has the weapons if the new QB gets the ball
there. No reason to think he won't.
$$$Texas$$$ over Arkansas by 28 - Been waiting for this spot for a year.
No matter how Arky looked last week, I am not buying they'll a. be able to
stop the Texas offense and b. be able to trade points. Texas is going to
be a surprise if that's possible for a UT team to be. Young will have his
first big stat game of the year and the Horns defense will surprise some
by shutting down an overrated QB in Jones.
$$$Utah$$$ over Arizona by 27 - I hear UofA should have been able to do
better against NAU, but couldn't. The talent level at Arizona just sucks.
The offense still has no identity and won't find it on this defense. The
Utes offense has some weapons to go with its brute tactics. Best of all,
they don't beat themselves. No way can Arizona expect much offensively and
there should be some costly mistakes. The Utes playing on the road should
sent another statement to the BCS.
Probably some typos, but I am tired!
really like the slate. It's kind of simple, if I am right about Friday,
this could be a big week.
$$$Oregon State$$$ over Boise State by 7 (2 units; 1/2 unit ML)- Take away
the name "Boise State" and the rep this school has built up among
gamblers, and the wrong team is favored. Esepecially on talent. I had been
waiting for last year's big bet on TCU in the bowl for a while. That line
was crazy, and this one is, too. The Broncos aren't close to the same team
they were last year. No more Dinwiddie and the running back situation is a
lot worse than people think. This team still plays OK defense, but lets
not get fooled here, they do not have the talent to simply reload at any
spot on the field.
Oregon State enters with a tough frame of mind. I spoke to the father of
a player on the team and I got the vibe the team was more impressed with
itself than disappointed after last week's fiasco. My only concern is the
toll it might take going from the deep south to the rocky mountains in
less than a week. Beyond that, this game isn't close. There's probably
just two positions on the field where I think Boise is better.
Just look at it this way - the Beavers have a veteran QB and moved the
ball well at LSU. The defense did well, too. They aren't going to be
intimidate by anybody after that performance. I think Boise is susceptible
to the pass and Ore State should take advantage. These are college kids
and I don't the Beavs will be deflated mentally or physically. They have
more than enough for the win.
$$$Illinois$$$ over UCLA by 8 - The Bruins defense was just as I thought
last week - bad. The offense made slight improvement, but not enough for
me trust them on the road as a short favorite.
The UCLA defense gets a little healthier this week, but Illinois at home
with a vet QB, is still capable of being comfortable enough to do some
damage.
Last year's game was a tight, 6-3 affair and UCLA had better personnel
and was at home. Now they are worse talent-wise and on the road as a
favorite. UCLA is one of those bad teams that you must bet against until
they prove otherwise.
$$$Arizona State$$$ over Northwestern by 8 - The Devils and Cats both have
great offense. The question for this game becomes who wants to make some
stops? I know ASU doesn't have a great defense, but their talent on that
side of the ball is one step up from NWestern's.
The Devils offense I think also has more balance and should be able to
run the ball which will limit the defenses exposure. Pac-10 defenses
aren't impressed by the tactics NWestern uses on offense. In fact, they're
used to it and geared to stop it. You have to have better talent or a lot
of luck to beat the Devils at their game. NW doesn't have one, lets hope
they don't have luck either.
$$$Auburn$$$ over Miss State by 28 - Come on. Tulane is bad and it took
Miss State too much time to put them away. Auburn got a tuneup last week
and the young Tigers defense can use this game as a confidence boost while
the veteran offense is going be able to have its way with Bulldogs D.
Croom can hang around for a quarter, but after that the Tigers run takes
its toll. Auburn has a good track record of handling its recent business
against lesser foes.
$$$Boston College$$$ over Penn State by 10 - I don't put much stock into
PSU's win last week, but the oddsmaker and public certiainly do. The
bottom line is BC pushed PSU around on its home field last year and not
much has changed. The BC running game worries me because the ball carriers
are lackluster. But the defense is more than enough to keep them in the
game.
$$$Michigan$$$ over Notre Dame by 24 - I don't think the Irish offense can
crack double-digs on the Mish defense. If they use the luck of yesteryear
again, then yes, the Irish will cover this. I don't see it happening
because I think Mish will limit the exposure of the new QB by keeping it
simple and letting the defense take care of business. Like UCLA, I say
keep betting against ND until proven otherwise. Wish I'd have done that
last week against BYU.
Ohio State over $$$Marshall$$$ by 6 - I have no clue how OSU covered last
week against Cincy. The Bearcats did get tired and they lacked much punch
on offense, but that game flowed perfectly for the cover. I think Marshall
has slightly more offensively than Cincy did and the Herd defense
certainly won't be blown away by another stagnant OSU offense. This game
is going to be close. Marshall was flattered by Troy State on Thursday, so
this one looks like good value in a bounce back spot.
$$$Oregon$$$ over Indiana by 38 - How can Indy keep up? They are
out-quicked and out-talented and playing on surface in an environment that
is not good for them. The crowd should be nutty for the Ducks opener and
the Indy tactics on defense just aren't geared for slowing an offense like
this. This line looks awfully cheap.
$$$Miami Oh$$$ over Cincinnati by 10 - MiaOh really impressed me last
week. I like the offense to bounce back this week by placing an emphasis
on not turning it over. The defense will find Cincy more to its liking,
too. There is no homefield edge here as the two in-state rivals should be
well represented.
$$$Oklahoma State$$$ over Tulsa by 34 - Good showcase spot for the Pokes.
The running game is cranking and deep with talent. The passing game is due
to get in on the act. The defense is so-so, but Tulsa can't really score.
Stadium dedication excitement makes this a bad spot for Tulsa to hang in.
If they couldn't score at Kansas, how can this spot be any better?
$$$Kansas State$$$ over Fresno by 27 - I don't like KSU in bowls, but at
home, is always the spot to play Snyder. The FSU offense was poor last
week against what might be the Pac-10's worst team. This road setting will
be 10 times tougher and eventually the Dawgs defense will get warn out
trying to keep Sproles under wraps.
$$$Texas Tech$$$ over New Mexico by 28 (2 units) - I really like this
spot. NewMexi proved last week its in big trouble. The offense just can't
be counted to score. Moore is the whole show and while TT doesn't have
much D, its strength is stopping the run. The TT offense may not equal
last year or the year before, but it will score and NM cannot trade points
with anybody right now. TT has the weapons if the new QB gets the ball
there. No reason to think he won't.
$$$Texas$$$ over Arkansas by 28 - Been waiting for this spot for a year.
No matter how Arky looked last week, I am not buying they'll a. be able to
stop the Texas offense and b. be able to trade points. Texas is going to
be a surprise if that's possible for a UT team to be. Young will have his
first big stat game of the year and the Horns defense will surprise some
by shutting down an overrated QB in Jones.
$$$Utah$$$ over Arizona by 27 - I hear UofA should have been able to do
better against NAU, but couldn't. The talent level at Arizona just sucks.
The offense still has no identity and won't find it on this defense. The
Utes offense has some weapons to go with its brute tactics. Best of all,
they don't beat themselves. No way can Arizona expect much offensively and
there should be some costly mistakes. The Utes playing on the road should
sent another statement to the BCS.
Probably some typos, but I am tired!
Comments
Cumbie looked awesome last week against SMU. I didn't get to see the game,
but my buddy who lives in Dallas and went in person said they could have
sustained 4 more drives if the receivers hadn't dropped passes, and
probably would have put up at least 2 more TD's. And of course we all know
they were right on the doorstep when time ran out. LOL
Two things Tech needs to iron out: 1) They need to find some reliable
receivers (I was surprised Johnson didn't have more of a showing last
week), and 2) They need Toogood to shore up his kicking. He's a good
kicker who just lacks confidence right now, and his coach going for it 7
times on 4th down surely didn't help that.
Good luck again!
been solid for 3 years so what in your mind makes him overrated??? He's
about to become the leading rusher as a QB in the history of the SEC. I
think you need to know more about the guy before you say he's OVERRATED
LOL