Betting the Farm, 7/5/05

Produce · July 2005

Total recap is now this. 29-25 for +4.26 units. The 3 unit plays going 4-2. The 2 unit plays going 4-2. totals are 14-11 sides are 15-14 Baltimore +180/ over 9 -110 = baltimore had won 5 of the last 7 against NYY. Lopez beat them twice this year already. Away team is 9-1 in Timmons' last 10. Ill take the road dog at this huge number with all this going for me. Also, taking the over on this one. This is not a strong play, but these teams do put up runs against each other. Mora is back for baltimore and seems to be producing. Detriot +135/over 8.5 -110 = Maroth doesnt give up many runs, only problem is he rarely gets support. Well the tigers own Westbrook. In 2 outing this year against detriot, he got touched up for 21 runs. WOW! Ill take detriot as a dog here. Over 8.5 though. Detriot gets enough to win, and cleveland still gets 3-4 in a losing effort Oakland -125/ under 9 -115 = Oakland just because they are streaking. I think this is an even match, Jays been playing well as of late and the As arent good on the road. But I dont like betting against a hot team in an even match up. Under like thunder though!. 2 unit play on the under at 9. They are a combined 29 games over .500 with the UNDER. Oakland is 12-23 o/u on the road this year. Under 9 is a nice play here. Tampa Bay +250/ Over 9 -110 = Taking tampa at a huge dog because they beat Garcia already this year, and won when hendrickson pitched vs Whitesox. Getting a huge number and taking a shot. Over 9 because tampa plays 25-15 o/u on the road this year. If tampa losing the sox will get a bunch, and even if tampa wins they will need a bunch because hendrickson isnt shutting the sox out. Texas -110/ over 10.5 -110. Just taking a shot with texas to rough up wakefield today. Wake has had 5 good starts in a row, but I dont believe in this guy. I say the knuckler gets hit around today. Over is not a strong play, but I think its a better play. Boston could get 5-7 and still lose here. Seattle -105/ under 9 -120 = Seattle has won 4 straight in KC and 8 straight against KC. KC sucks, but so does seattle. In this game anything could happen, including MLB shutting these 2 franchises down permanently. Ill take the under because these games tend to be 1 team scoring and the other getting nothing. Hopefully we get a 5-1 game today. Angels -150/ Over 9 -120 = I hate betting with an unknown factor. But santana isnt that good and the other guy is on his 1st start. Angels should win this game and protect santana enough. Over should be nice with these 2 guys throwing. Santana gets hit around and the new guy is facing a tough team and lineup. Washington +155/over 7 105= Just taking a shot with the Nats to hit pedro for a few then get to the bullpen by the 7th and get a few more. If loaiza can hold the shitty mets lineup down for a few innings the Nats have a chance as a nice dog here. Ill take the over because 1 inning could screw up a 7 run total here. And with the mets and the mets bullpen in the game, 1 inning being screwed up is almost a sure thing. Philly -120/ over 9 -110 = BATTLE OF THE GARBAGE!!! Wow the stats on these 2 teams will blow your mind. The 2 pitchers are getting 3.7 rpg COMBINED as support, while giving up 13.7 rpg combined. Only a 10 run difference. Pit is 1-4 in last 5 at home. Philly is 3-7 in the last 10 away meetings. They are 5-16 in their last 21 combined games. Someone has to win....who wants it?!?! Over 9 because both pitchers suck and 1 team has to come alive at the plate or the game will go on forever. Marlins -200/ over 7 -120 = marlins hit lefties good at home. Maybe beckett finally steps up with a good game. Brewers cant beat florida in florida for some reason. In bell's last 10 BHP the home team is 9-1. Taking the over because beckett isnt lights out and the marlins hit lefties well at home. Braves -110/ over 9 -110 = Braves are winning, cubs arent. Going with the hot team in an even match up today, and I get the home team as well, nice bonus. Braves also hit Maddux for 8 runs last year in his only start vs ATL. Taking the over hoping these 2 teams get the bats going and score some runs. ATL is hot and going against a pitcher they hit well. Cubs are slumping, but lets hope they can get 3-5 for the over today Houston -120/ under 9.5 +105 = Houston is got, San deigo is not. Houston hits lefties very well at home. SD is 0-6 in Reyes' last 6 starts. Taking a shot with the under. Lots of stuff points to the over, but houston is known for not scoring much and san deigo the same. Colorado -115/ under 11.5 -110= Colorado hits lefties at home, Dodgers dont hit lefties on the road that well. Other than that, we have 2 shitty teams playing in a shitty park, with shitty pitchers on the mound. Ill take the under, but who knows in colorado. St Louis -140/ Under 10 -105= St louis at this price is a gift vs Arizona. I hit them hard yesterday and they crushed them. The price is cheap because the cards were sliding. I think the cards pick it back up going into the all star break and take it to the Dbacks. Under 10 because zona cant score, and Estes is decent. San fran -145/ over 9.5 -115 = San fran because they hit lefties well at home and Lowry is a hell of a lot better than milton. But -145 is a lot to lay with the shitty Giants. Id stay away if I were you. Over 9.5 because milton sucks and cinci always seems to score a lot of runs. Could be another barn burner.