Betting the Farm, 7/6/05

Produce · July 2005

Record is posted in another post today. Im up around 3.5 units so far. Here are the plays today, feel free to ask questions. Angels +125/O 7.5 105 = Taking the angels here as dogs. Santana isnt throwing at his top and Byrd has been throwing decent. Just hoping the Angels score enough to cover whatever byrd gives up. I do like some runs to be scored today Cleveland -140/U 8.5 -110 = C.C. hasnt faced the tigers yet this year. But the Indians already touched bonderman up for a few this year. Ill take CC to have the advantage today. But I dont think either teams scores many today, a 4-2 game is likely Oakland -105/U 9 -105= Blanton has been lights out his last few starts, and has handled toronto well this year. I LOVE the under in this game. Going to make it a 3 unit play. Tampa +190/O 9.5 -110= Tampa might hit contreras like they did already this year. They put up a fight yesterday as well. I think both teams fill up the scoreboard tonight though. Boston -130/U 10.5 +115= Ill take Clement over Park in this one. Boston might pick up momentum going into the break. Only took the under because I thought the line was about right and all the juice is on the Over side. Seattle -105/U 9 -120= Seattle gave up their first game of the year to KC. Hoping it doesnt go 2 in a row. Sele beat KC already once this year. Under looks good for 2 units. in Craft's last 5 BHP the under is 5-0. Under is 5-1 in KCs last 6. Under is 6-0 in Hernandez's last 6. mets +160/U 8 -130 = Glavine handled the Nats earlier this year and -180 is a mighty big number for the Nats to win. I think Hernandez gets hit around a little today and the mets put one together. I think glavine holds the Nats to under 2 runs for the day. Philly +105/ O 9 -120= Philly hits lefties on the road very well. Both pitchers suck so this is really the tie breaker I used. Although the offenses suck, the pitcher is worse than the offenses so Ill take the over here. Milwaukee +190/ O 7.5 -105= Florida isnt a -200 team against anyone. I think both pitchers get hit enough to score 8+ runs. Atlanta -140/ U 7 -125 = Staying with Hotlanta and Smoltz. Taking the under just because the Cubs arent hitting. Prior and Smoltz could toss a 1-0 game today as well, ya never know with prior out there Houston 100/ U 7.5 -120 = Someone posted that peavy might not even start today. Ill take houston and Pettite regardless. I say if peavy starts that we have a low scoring game, and even if they throw out another bum these 2 teams might not still break 8. Dodgers -110/ U 11.5 -130= Dodgers with penny should handle the Rockies. Rockies are only 1-5 in last 6 meetings. The Under looks strong here. In Hohn's last 10 BHP the under is 8-2. In pennys last 4 starts the under is 4-0. In the dodgers last 15 road games the under is 13-2. Chacon's last nine starts the under is 7-2. The Under is 7-0 in colorados last 7 overall. Pay it for 3 units. San Fran -130/ O 9.5 -130= San fran's pitcher seems to be a lot better, but he might not go many innings with so few starts under his belt. They could get to the bullpens on both teams pretty quick tonight and throw up some huge numbers again. Cards -165/ O 8.5 -125 = Cards own the Dbacks, even in arizona. Capenter is lights out with that lineup hitting well behind him. Im not doing anything with alternate runs lines, but Id take this one at -1.5 in a heart beat. Over 8.5 because carp might give up 2 and the cards should get to 7 tonight.