MLB Road System...

LetItRide · July 2005

ROAD SYSTEM - +59.7 units Colorado (-103) - 2 Cincy/SF OVER 9 (-115) - 2 Minny/KC UNDER 10 (-118) - 2 I'm throwing out the Cubbies road trip. I've already won close to 4 units on it anyway. I'm just afraid that they'll complete one game and have the other one rained out. Then, I'll be staring at a 4-game road trip, which isn't good.

DRock · July 2005

I know you get asked this a bunch of times, but I am still confused. If you bet on a favorite at -200 for the 1st game and lose, are you betting to win .50 units (what you would have won if you won game 1) plus the 2 units you lost?? I understand you are betting to lose 1 unit on game 1 regardless of how much you would win. Thanks and good luck.

LetItRide · July 2005

I'll use (-200) as the juice each time and make the unit $100, just for simplicity's sake. Let's say the Rockies are visiting Houston, to make it as realistic as possible. In game 1, you always just risk one unit, no matter what. Even if you are betting on a (-350) fave, you still just risk $100. Now, say the Rocks win game 1. We are down $100. Normally, you would bet $200 on game 2. But at (-200), that only wins us what we have lost so far on the trip ($100). Here is where it is typically the user's choice to decide what they want to do. I have said that a good benchmark to go by is to try to win what you would have won if the next game were a game 1. In other words, we would have won $50 on a (-200) fave, so let's try to win $150 in game 2. That means you'll have to risk $300 instead of $200, though. If you want to try and save juice and go more conservative, just try to win $20 or so. That's not my style. Ok, now let's say the Rocks win game 2 also. Now we are out $400. Using my previous example, that means we need to try and win $450 in game 3. That's a $900 risk on a (-200) fave, and we are only in the 3rd game. It can add up very quickly if you have a couple of huge fave losses. This definitely isn't for the timid or weak. Matter of fact, I think I had about $6500 risked on San Diego the other day when they won game 5 of a series as a (-200)+ fave. Those games are never fun, but they are a necessity if you want to win with this system. Anyway, I hope that answers your question.

TheNFLMan · July 2005

Wow. How much did you lose on Tampa Bay 7 game road sweep last year?

LetItRide · July 2005

God was watching over me, because I was at a family reunion in Arkansas when they went on their little run. Still, other than the Randy Johnson win, they weren't that big of a dog in any game. And I only go 6 games, not 7. Had I played it, I probably would have lost around 100 units.

Produce · July 2005

LIR, I know you arent counting these units in for the newly posted system. But what were you up for the season before you started posting again. Im guessing you are up around 240-270units so far, is that correct?

LetItRide · July 2005

I don't know what my total units figure at BT is, but I am personally up 249.94 units right now. I've had a perfectly clean May and June, and hopefully I can close out these last 3 before the All-Star break to have a superb 1st half of the season.

Produce · July 2005

ya thats what I was looking for, your record. Supurb? Id go more with incredible. Seems like last years results coupled with this year so far, makes for a pretty nice system. Other than the Padres this year, what other games did you have a decent amount riding on? If you dont mind

LetItRide · July 2005

I had a lot on Detroit in a game 5 almost a month ago. They were playing against San Francisco too. Maybe I should take heed. The funny thing is, I usually bet ON Frisco, but I switched them to a bet AGAINST team until Forehead comes back. Now they've almost burned me twice. Of course, the second time was because I re-started the trip after they had already lost, so that would have been my fault.

Produce · July 2005

Seems as if the system is a big success though. Congrats man. Let me know when you want to start talking NBA. Ive got all my stats in a row

LetItRide · July 2005

Very true. You have to have MUCH more scratch for this system than the basketball one. My baseline is that you take 100 units and multiply that by 2. So if you want to bet $50/unit, you should have about $10k in reserve. When the system is going well, you feel like you are short-changing yourself because you aren't getting the most bang for your buck. But it is when the system goes bad that you need to worry about. You always have to avoid the knockout punch. Standing 8-counts are ok, just don't get KO'ed.

MLB Road System...

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