Betting the Farm, 7/7/05

Produce · July 2005

Totals for the year were posted earlier today. I am up around 1.5 units for the year so far picking every single game. Yanks -180/ 9 U 100= Ill stay with the hot Yankees. Mussina has been throwing decent, going against millwood which is about the same. Mussina gets more run support that Millwood so Im taking that and the fact the yankees are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Under due to lack of run support and 2 good pitchers on the hill. Boston -110/ U 10 -110= Taking boston to be hot going into the break. With the Yankees playing well boston has to step it up to keep their lead. They have also won the last 7 games that wells was on the hill. Under is just a hunch. I just think that baltimore might lose a 6-3 game today Oakland -140/ 8 u -110 = Harden throwing well and chacin has been getting hit around in his last few. Taking the under as I dont think the jays get many off harden, and the As dont hit lefties on the road well. Detriot -135/ U 9.5 -120= Tampa's pitcher is HORRIBLE, and detriot isnt one of those teams that falls apart against Tampa for whatever reason. Ill take the under as well, these teams are known for runs. Minnesota -170/ U 9.5 100= KC sucks, Lima sucks. Only issue is, Twins arent that good on the road. Taking the under, going to make KC score a few on me to lose this one at 10 Angels -220/U 8.5 -115 = How can you go against the angels here, even at -220. Taking the under for seattle to not score and the Angels arent getting 9 on their own. Mets +105/ 8 o -120= Taking benson over armas basically. I also think the Nats will start the skid here shortly. Going over because Armas gets run support and also gives up a ton. Benson isnt lock down so he'll give up a few himself. Marlins -145/ O 8 -120= Marlins at home is the basic reason for this one. Both pitchers are pretty bad though. Taking the Over here, not because I like the over, just because I didnt like the under. Atlanta -110/ 8 U -115= Got to stay with Hotlanta. Ramirez has been throwing decent and you never know what you will get out of prior. With Lee hurt, it might hurt the Cubs line up as well. Ill take this one for a low scoring pitchers duel. Colorado 100/ O 11.5 -115= D. Lowe sucks. Fly ball pitcher in Coors....... Taking the over because lowe sucks and Kennedy is just as bad. Ill take this one at 2 units. Philly -140/ O 8 100= Ill take Meyers and philly against the Newb. Pitt sucks, lets not forget that. Also grabbing the over a 2 UNITS. Both teams should get a handful today. Atlanta -140/ 7 O 100= Smoltz in this game, end of story. Taking over as I hope that Atlanta can go off this game for 5+ and the Cubbies manage 3 or so. San deigo -125/ U 9.5 -105= San Deigo hits lefties well on the road. Williams is pitching well. Rodriguez has a 1.63 WHIP, and Wiliams has a .92 WHIP, in their last 3 games. Allowing almost twice as many runners per inning will lose you ball games. I will take the under on this game though. Williams wont let houston get many runs, and you never know about the padres offense. Arizona +170/ U 10.5 +120= Taking the Dog here. Cards have won the first 3 of this series, but MARQUIS IS GARBAGE. Cards have lost their last 4 with him on the hill. I will take the under though, these teams dont get over 11 very often when they play. Cinci -110/ O 9 -120= Garbage teams but Cinci is a little better in my opinion. Harang is definately better than Tomko. I will take the over here as both of these guys might give up 9 each.

Duke30 · July 2005

Agree that Lowe has been awful lately but he is hardly a fly ball pitcher. Lowe is known for his sinker and ground ball outs

Produce · July 2005

Lowe is giving up around 1 homerun per 10 innings. He has given up 13 already this year. He only gave up 15 all last year, and 17 the year before that. His hit to homerun ratio is 10:1 I considered this bad for Coors field. While in the past he was known for being a low ball pitcher, this year he is not keeping it down in the zone and giving up many more runs.

Produce · July 2005

I love to chat back and forth, Id never tell you or anyone to stop asking questions. When you stop asking questions, you stop learning. I get umpire stats from Jim Feist's website.

Produce · July 2005

The guy got a ton of hype when he was in Boston. You win games you shouldnt when you play for a team like boston, and you come back down to reality a little when you throw for a decent club, like the Dodgers. They guy is right back down where he probably belong 5-9 with a 4ish ERA. Giving up a fair amount of jacks While I agree in the past I would say he was known for keeping the ball on the ground. But when you have the Boston lineup behind you, you have a little more confidence and you get a little more hype. By the way, Im not saying colorado is a lock by any means today. I just think Lowe sucks

Produce · July 2005

here are a few more things. Lowe is 0-5 on the road this year, his team in 2-7 in his 9 road starts. On the road his SO:walk is 1.94:1 At home is it 5.4:1 HUGE DIFFERNCE His WHIP on the road is 1.46, at home it is 1.27 His outdoors WHIP is 1.37, his indoors WHIP is 1.15 Just a few more stats and reasons why D. Lowe should go out with the garbage

footballpix · July 2005

that Coors Field hurts the pitcher who uses offspeed pitches and movement. The thin air does not allow as much break on pitches at altitude and balls tend to "flatten out". If Lowe gets the ball up at Coors, see ya. Just a small Physics note, I have no opinion either way on the play. Thanks for reading.

TheNFLMan · July 2005

Show your won/lost record with each post

Produce · July 2005

Ill show my record whenever Im done figuring it out. Then Ill post my plays. I dont want each post to be longer than they already are. If you can find my record in my other post then you shouldnt be gambling.

Betting the Farm, 7/7/05

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