Betting the Farm, 7/18/05

Produce · July 2005

Up 10.51 units now. starting a bunch of new series' on monday. Here are the plays, the reasons for the plays are listed below them. Boston under 10 Cleveland under 9 St Louis -1.5 Oakland under 9 braves -126 Taking Boston under because tampa seems to find a way to not score runs. It is dangerous with their pitching to take the under, but I figure that boston's pitching will lock them up pretty good. Boston has played 14 home series' this year, only 1 went without an under. That was baltimore early in the season, a 2 game series as well. Cleveland under 9. Taking this because cleveland is 17-22 o/u at home this year. KC doesnt score many runs either. I figure either or both of these teams could forget to bring their bats to a game this series. They played 3 games in cleveland this year already and 2 of 3 went under. Cleveland had 13 home series this year, only 1 went without an under, and that was a 2 game series loss as well. Taking St Louis 1.5. This is a strange bet and I dont think Id do it many times, but I dont feel like laying the -200 with St Louis, so Ill take them to win a game in this series by 1.5 runs. They have beaten the brewers by 1.5 runs in a series for the last 6+ series'. Oakland under 9. Under seems to be a good side for this series. Oakland is 15-26 o/u this year on the road. For some reason they just dont put up the same amount of runs on the road. In the last 20 meetings the under is 12-8. There has only been 2 consecutive overs 1 time. In 16 road series' this year, oakland hasnt had a series without an under. Taking the braves to not get swept in San Fran. Needless to say, Im not going out on a limb here. Braves should get a win out there easy, but you never know about these 2 teams. Atlanta is hot and is 23-26 on the road this year, a decent road record, while san fran is only 20-26 at home, a very bad home record. Braves have Sosa throwing tomorrow against a lefty, starting his first game of the year. I think they get the it the first game. The braves had 16 away series' this year, and they did get swept once. It was by the Padres. It was the 7th-9th games of a 12 game road trip. Giants have had 15 home series' this year, they swept one of those. Its was agains the rockies.