Advantage Sports Freebie NFL Preseason Wk. 1
footballpix
Senior Member
Two things that the average bettor loves to do in preseason... play on <br>favorites and OVER the total. <br>What we find in early action is that teams that get stuck playing in the <br>Hall of Fame Game and the American Bowl not only have to play an extra <br>game during training camp, but they have also had less time to work on the <br>timing and cohesiveness that is so important to offenses. <br>In the case of The American Bowl being played in Tokyo on Saturday <br>morning, we have several factors that stack up poorly for these two teams, <br>but it looks like Indy gets the worst of it.<br>Both teams flew 14-16 hours to arrive in Japan, losing almost a full day <br>in the process. Add to that a game that will start at 4am Indianapolis <br>time, and a Astroturf field that is such bad shape, it makes old Veteran's <br>Stadium in Philly look state of the art. They have big patches and seams <br>to cover the cutouts where the bases are located and the turf is ancient, <br>to say the least. Players and coaches hate these types of conditions <br>because injuries on these fields are prevalent. All anyone wants to do is <br>get in, get out and get home without serious injury.<br><br>Practices are extremely limited and Tony Dungy has said that this trip is <br>an opportunity for his squad to explore the city and see the sights. Two <br>short early morning practices are all that are scheduled and there has <br>been some discussion that Jim Mora and Tony Dungy may agree not to blitz <br>defensively, at least while Vick and Manning are in the game so that both <br>franchise players can stay injury free, but also for the fans get a chance <br>to see them perform and put on a show. <br><br>Defensively, the Colts are going to be without more than half of their <br>defensive starters for this game, even with the first team getting only <br>fifteen snaps as planned. This will mean that the 2nd and 3rd teamers and <br>rookies will have to go deeper into the game and play many more snaps. The <br>4th quarter will be tough on Indy with depth being a problem. By late in <br>the game, you will likely see guys that won't be around in a couple of <br>weeks.<br><br>Atlanta is likely to play Michael Vick only one or two series, as Mora <br>won't risk the franchise player on this field. Everyone remembers his <br>preseason injury that took him out of action for most of 2003. The Falcons <br>have better depth at most positions on both sides of the ball right now <br>with all the Colts issues on defense and now Brandon Stokely is out at <br>least 4 weeks after separating his shoulder on Wednesday. The Falcons QB <br>rotation of Michael Vick, Matt Schaub, Ty Detmer and Bryan Randall are <br>likely to perform better than the trio of Manning, Cory Sauter and Jim <br>Sorgi as the game progresses. <br><br>While both coaches will say that they came to Tokyo to win, only one is <br>likely to mean it. Remember, this is an NFL that will not allow the term <br>"exhibition game" to be used, insisting on "preseason"... so the coaches <br>must pretend that all these games are important. In a way they are, at <br>least as far as analyzing talent and rookies that are playing for roster <br>spots behind the starters. The reality, however is that the most important <br>thing is keeping people healthy and getting home in one piece. Mora has <br>better depth right now and likely has more desire to win this one. With <br>both teams having a very short amount of practice time and a five game <br>"preseason" schedule, look for relatively conservative game plans and lots <br>of bodies running through the player rotations. Edge on both sides of the <br>ball to the Falcons. Your free play is to take Atlanta plus the points, <br>but I expect a straight up Falcon win. Very slight lean to UNDER 42 as <br>well.<br><br>I will have a official play posted on the website tonight after 10pm PDT <br>for the Hall of Fame Game between Chicago and Miami on Monday night from <br>Canton, available for only $15 by PayPal. Go to the Advantage Sports page <br>using the link on BT website or by going to AdvantageSports1.com to get my <br>first preseason official release. I will have another free play posted <br>later next week when all 32 teams get rolling in Week One action. <br>Remember, the play will be up after 10pm PDT tonight... and lastly, the <br>special promotion for 40% off the Full season package expires Saturday <br>after the American Bowl and will go back to the regular price of $795. <br>Don't miss out!
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