Betting Talk

2018 MLB

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Comments

  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    You make it so hard not to respond. Are you now contending that MLB closing lines are not efficient?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    do you think NFL lines are effecient?
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    I actually have two models, one lineup and stats based and one solely stats...i combine them both , just for shit and giggles , my line on first lad game is nats -145 but now that lineups are out for game one my other model points to LAD.

    wish you luck going forward
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    csh wrote: »
    You make it so hard not to respond. Are you now contending that MLB closing lines are not efficient?

    is it possible to win long term and not have +CLV in the MLB?
    lines are the most effecient measure we have but to say they are all effecient would be a mistake.
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    This is pointless. You don't understand how money moves around in the market and why lines move/don't move depending on how that money is moved around. GL today everyone
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    silence is the obvious answer, argument is over
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/20
    CHC -139
    MIA +167
    PHI -110
  • vegasendbossvegasendboss Member
    edited May 2018
    LOL - some people must be in hiding now after the Nats today :s haha!
  • lakemonsterlakemonster Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    danshan wrote: »
    silence is the obvious answer, argument is over

    csh, just ignore this clown please. he's nothing but a troll masquerading as an over eager wannabe quant.
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    66-62 (51.6%) -1.58u +1.95% CLV

    5/21
    DET/MIN Under 9 -110
    ARI -114
    BAL -108
    DET +183
    KC +185
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/22
    MIA/NYM Under 8 -126
    ARI/MIL Over 8.5 -117
    BOS/TB Under 7.5 -129
    DET/MIN Under 9 -107
    SD +167
    MIA +111
    LAA -103
    BOS -209
    TEX +151
    BAL -127
    SEA +137
    CLE -105
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/22
    LAD -140
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/23
    NYY/TEX Under 10 +109
    BOS/TB Under 7.5 -114
    KC/STL Under 8.5 -124
    NYM -207
    DET +154
    KC +176
  • baseballbaseball Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    csh, just ignore this clown please. he's nothing but a troll masquerading as an over eager wannabe quant.

    Impossible to ignore when he appears in literally every thread.
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    81-71 (53.3%) +4.14u +1.91% CLV

    5/24
    BOS/TB Under 7.5 -105
    NYM +136
    BAL -134
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/25
    NYM/MIL Over 7.5 +109
    KC/TEX Under 10 -108
    WSH -240
    NYM -116
    KC +139
    TOR +118
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    5/26
    BAL/TB Under 8.5 +104
    MIA +140
    CLE +103
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Tomorrow's plays will likely be the last sides & totals I post. Will continue posting total bases props. You can blame this on the greedy individual that decided that botting my work all over the country wasn't enough and that they had to bet on CRIS every night too. GL
  • BuckyBadgerBuckyBadger Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    csh wrote: »
    Tomorrow's plays will likely be the last sides & totals I post. Will continue posting total bases props. You can blame this on the greedy individual that decided that botting my work all over the country wasn't enough and that they had to bet on CRIS every night too. GL
    Sorry to hear that csh---hope it wasn't someone from this site. Regardless thanks for your contributions.
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Csh,
    Using a little ingenuity, it's not too difficult to find the player. Any kind of relationship with sportsbook hierarchy will reveal it to you. Besides, you have the right to make a mistake and 'accidently' post the wrong team and then submit a retraction a short time later. I've been on that side of the counter and if you are the originator, would have no problem working with you. Then again, your best option would be the one you're contemplating.
  • bumpobumpo Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    csh wrote: »
    Tomorrow's plays will likely be the last sides & totals I post. Will continue posting total bases props. You can blame this on the greedy individual that decided that botting my work all over the country wasn't enough and that they had to bet on CRIS every night too. GL

    Very sorry to hear that. Thanks for you sharing and best of luck going forward.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Enjoyed your work. best of luck.
  • h82loseh82lose Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    thanks for sharing
  • bcl4bcl4 Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    Thanks for posting
  • cshcsh Senior Member
    edited May 2018
    87-77 +4.50u +2.01% CLV +0.90% CLV (no-vig) +11.05 CLV (cents)

    That wraps it up. Thanks for the kind words all. If anyone wants to get in touch admin feel free to provide my email. Good luck the rest of the season.
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