Betting Talk

TommyL's 2017 Soccer Plays

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Comments

  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited August 2017
    durito wrote: »
    I played UAE, regretting it now since it's prob fixed.

    They're still mathematically alive, but it's all but over for them. I had it UAE +.5 as a coin flip pretty much without taking any motivation into account.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited August 2017
    Thursday (8/31)

    Portugal -3.5 Faroe Islands (-133) 1.33 units to win 1 unit
    Greece -1 Estonia (-134) 2.01 units to win 1.5 units
    Andorra +4, +4.5 Switzerland (-117) 1.17 units to win 1 unit
    Bosnia-Herzegovina -.5, -1 Cyprus (-149) 1.49 units to win 1 unit
    Luxembourg +.5, +1 Belarus (+119) 1 unit to win 1.19 units
    Columbia -.5 Venezuela (-136) 2.04 units to win 1.5 units
    Chile -.5 Paraguay (-205) 2.05 units to win 1 unit
    Japan E, -.5 Australia (-151) 1.51 units to win 1 unit
    Uzbekistan/China under 2, 2.5 (-131) 1.965 units to win 1.5 units
    Iraq/Thailand over 2.5 (+108) 1 unit to win 1.08 units

    Friday (9/1)

    Montenegro/Kazakhstan over 2, 2.5 (-120) 1.2 units to win 1 unit
    England -2.5, -3 Malta (-136) 1.36 units to win 1 unit
    Northern Ireland/San Marino over 3, 3.5 (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit
    USA -.5 Costa Rica (-133) 2.66 units to win 2 units
    Trinidad and Tobago E Honduras (+125) 1.5 units to win 1.875 units
    Mexico -1.5 Panama (-101) 1.01 units to win 1 unit

    Saturday (9/2)

    Ireland -.5 Georgia (-129) 2.58 units to win 2 units
    Albania -2, -2.5 Liechtenstein (-131) 2.62 units to win 2 units
    Serbia -2 Moldova (-133) 1.33 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited August 2017
    One more (overnight tonight)...

    Solomon Islands +2, +2.5 New Zealand (+103) 1.5 units to win 1.545 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Updated Result for 2017: +41.075 units (ROI: +18.4%)
  • paddyboy111paddyboy111 Senior Member
    edited October 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    Updated Result for 2017: +41.075 units (ROI: +18.4%)

    Nice run. Eagerly awaiting your WC qualifier plays.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Thursday (10/5)

    Australia -.5 Syria (-115) 1.725 units to win 1.5 units
    Czech Republic/Azerbaijan over 2.5 (+151) 1 unit to win 1.51 units
    Poland/Armenia over 3.5 (+155) 1 unit to win 1.55 units
    Germany/Northern Ireland over 2.5 (-137) 1.37 units to win 1 unit
    Denmark/Montenegro under 2.5 (-119) 1.785 units to win 1.5 units
    Uruguay -.5 Venezuela (-145) 1.45 units to win 1 unit

    Friday (10/6)

    Macedonia/Italy under 3.5 (-122) 1.22 units to win 1 unit
    Ireland -2, -2.5 Moldova (-129) 2.58 units to win 2 units
    Finland/Croatia under 3 (-127) 1.27 units to win 1 unit
    Ivory Coast -.5 Mali (+120) 1 unit to win 1.2 units
    Costa Rica -.5 Honduras (-126) 1.26 units to win 1 unit

    Saturday (10/7)

    Belgium +.5 Bosnia & Herzegovina (-191) 1.91 units to win 1 unit
    Estonia/Gibraltar over 2.5 (-137) 1.37 units to win 1 unit
    Netherlands -1.5 Belarus (-126) 1.89 units to win 1.5 units
    Congo DR -.5 Libya (-110) 2.2 units to win 2 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Missed the boat on the US game, should have played it a day or two ago when the line was still undervaluing us. I hate myself for going back to the well on the Netherlands, but figure I'll give them another chance to disappoint me this cycle. And for the love of God, please act like you care on Friday night, Costa Rica.
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited October 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    And for the love of God, please act like you care on Friday night, Costa Rica.

    When checking the concacaf lines out of curiosity yesterday this was the one that didn't make sense to me either. My guess was that lack of motivation was the reason except I know CR called in a strong squad so I would like to believe that means they're not mailing it in.

    As an aside, not sure when you switched your avatar but I guess I get full blame now if the US doesn't come through.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Goats wrote: »
    As an aside, not sure when you switched your avatar but I guess I get full blame now if the US doesn't come through.

    As much as I love Pulisic, I've got an even bigger man-crush on Barkley right now, so had to change it (at least until the 5-11 NY Giants draft him in May and I'm forced to start rooting against him).
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    Costa Rica -.5 Honduras (-126) 1.26 units to win 1 unit

    Postponed to Saturday due to the storm, so it's no action. I thought about playing it again (it's at -120 now), but it's increasingly likely that they could be all but locked into a World Cup spot, in which case I question how seriously they'll take this one.
  • duritodurito Senior Member
    edited October 2017
    Might as well just cancel WC at this point
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    U17 World Cup tomorrow morning...

    Colombia +.5, +1 Ghana (+107) 1 unit to win 1.07 units
    Paraguay +1 Mail (-124) 1.86 units to win 1.5 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    durito wrote: »
    Might as well just cancel WC at this point

    Hopefully Messi knows someone that can get him tickets...
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    One more for tomorrow morning...

    USA -2 India (-137) 1.37 units to win 1 unit
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited October 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    One more for tomorrow morning...
    USA -2 India (-137) 1.37 units to win 1 unit

    You left the full team alone just so you could jinx the kids? Nice job.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Goats wrote: »
    You left the full team alone just so you could jinx the kids? Nice job.
    Guess you haven't learned yet that Josh Sargent is unjinxable...if things go well enough the next few weeks, he'll be right up there with Saquon Barkley in my book. I couldn't have been more excited for his future after the u20s this summer (meaning he joins Stu Holden, Josh Gatt, and Rubio Rubin).
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited October 2017
    I know everyone raves about Sargent and I saw all his recent U20 and U17 matches (qualifying and U20 WC) and saw the goals, some of which were special, but for some reason he didn't jump out at me as the stud prospect people far smarter than me see him as. And ofc I mean soccer coaches/analysts, not you. :)

    Clearly I'm missing something. Hope this tourney brings me around.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    U17 tomorrow...

    Costa Rica +2 Germany (+132) 1.5 units to win 1.98 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Goes in 10 minutes...

    USA -2 Panama (+406) 1unit to win 4.06 units
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited October 2017
    TommyL wrote: »
    Goes in 10 minutes...

    USA -2 Panama (+406) 1unit to win 4.06 units

    Nice hit. Can't believe you played it knowing I would be there though. :)

    Obviously helluva game. Looking forward to re-watching it on DVR later or tomorrow.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Two more U17 for tomorrow morning...

    Brazil E Spain (-114) 1.14 units to win 1 unit
    Guinea E Iran (+105) 1.5 units to win 1.575 units

    Tuesday (10/10) Asian Qualifier...

    Australia -1, -1.5 Syria (-122) 2.44 units to win 2 units

    More to come from Sunday/Monday/Tuesday games, but wanted to nab that one before it moves.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Sunday (10/8)

    Scotland/Slovenia over 2 (-117) 1.755 units to win 1.5 units
    Mexico U17 -.5 Iraq U17 (-160) 1.6 units to win 1 unit

    Monday (10/9)

    Iceland -2.5 Kosovo (-102) 2.04 units to win 2 units
    Ukraine E Serbia (-105) 1.05 units to win 1 unit
    Serbia wins UEFA Group D (-1400) 2.8 units to win .2 units
  • LancerLancer Senior Member
    edited October 2017
    On Monday is that Ukraine to beat Croatia?
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Lancer wrote: »
    On Monday is that Ukraine to beat Croatia?

    Yes, sorry about that.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    U17 tomorrow morning...

    Colombia -2.5 India (-145) 1.45 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Coming back for more...

    Colombia -2 India (-134) 1.34 units to win 1 unit
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Tuesday (10/10)

    USA/Trinidad & Tobago under 2.5, 3 (-119) 2.38 units to win 2 units

    More to come...
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Updated Result: +50.52 units (ROI: +19.0%)

    Pending Plays (both tomorrow)

    Australia -1, -1.5 Syria (-122) 2.44 units to win 2 units
    USA/Trinidad & Tobago under 2.5, 3 (-119) 2.38 units to win 2 units
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    Tuesday, 10/10

    Belarus/France under 3.5, 4 (-107) 1.07 units to win 1 unit
    Portugal -1, -1.5 Switzerland (+152) 1 unit to win 1.52 units
    Andorra/Latvia under 2.5 (-129) 1.29 units to win 1 unit
    1st half Hungary -.5 Faroe Islands (-145) 1.45 units to win 1 unit
    Greece -4, -4.5 Gibraltar (-158) 1.58 units to win 1 unit
    Colombia/Peru under 2.5 (-131) 1.31 units to win 1 unit
    Chile/Brazil under 2.5, 3 (-118) 1.18 units to win 1 unit
    Mexico E, +.5 Honduras (-117) 1.755 units to win 1.5 units

    Might have another U17 play or two if some more options become available on those games (though feels like I'm already playing most of the board).
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited October 2017
    One more...

    Argentina/Ecuador under 2.5 (-102) 1.02 units to win 1 unit
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