Question about competition with friend
Chisox6
Senior Member
A friend and I have a competition going for last 13 months. He basically bets on the current line and I take the other side or vice versa. He mostly bets MLB and NFL with some rare NCAAF and NBA.
Anyway, I was winning for the past year, maybe $500-$600. He usually would play maybe 5 plays per week. Then recently he went on a crazy run for mlb. 26-6 over last few weeks, with 2-3 plays a day and up like $1400. Mostly betting small favorites around -140 to -150. He is not beating the closing line consistently or anything. Should I be at all worried that this is some sustainable run? My mind tells me know, but I'd be lying if it didn't have me a bit worried.
Thanks in advance.
Chisox
Anyway, I was winning for the past year, maybe $500-$600. He usually would play maybe 5 plays per week. Then recently he went on a crazy run for mlb. 26-6 over last few weeks, with 2-3 plays a day and up like $1400. Mostly betting small favorites around -140 to -150. He is not beating the closing line consistently or anything. Should I be at all worried that this is some sustainable run? My mind tells me know, but I'd be lying if it didn't have me a bit worried.
Thanks in advance.
Chisox
Comments
I wouldn't worry, I don't think it's sustainable, everyone goes through hot and cold stretches, just ride it out, things will eventually turn. If he was consistently beating the closer, it would be a different story
Yes, currently in Milwaukee. Thanks for advice, appreciate it.
None that I can pick up on. He seems to simply be picking small favorites (-140 to -150) mostly where the favorite has the better pitcher (in his mind at least, usually the one with the better ERA). Only thing a little different is he hasn't bet any run lines lately, where as before with mlb he was occasionally (maybe 10%) of the time betting the favorite -1.5
OK. Any big changes would be something to watch for. It seems that others in this thread are on the right track.