Betting Talk

WGC Match Play

Fat PolamaluFat Polamalu Senior Member
edited May 2015 in Sports Betting
Here is what I got.

To Win:
R.Moore - +6801
P.Casey - +3300 e/w
B.Weisberger - +11000 e/w
L.Oosthuizen - +5000 e/w
B.Koepka - +5000 e/w
(e/w is T4)

Group Winners
#5 - G.Coetzee +350
#6 - R.Palmer +250
#7 - B.Grace +450
#8 - D.Johnson +120
#11 - J.Walker +210
#10 - B.Weisberger +300
#14 - M.Kuchar +120

Day 1 Matches
Todd +127 over Haas
Wiesberger -103 over Donaldson
Coetzee +186 over Furyk
Oosthuizen -114 over Bradley
Schwartzel +106 over Dubuisson

Anybody else playing?

Comments

  • BayOceanBayOcean Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    Sorry really like Furyk to advance... Like SCHWARTZEL play...
  • drewbydrewby Fantasy Expert
    edited April 2015
    Haven't placed any wagers yet but looking at Wiesberger, Mahan, Oost, Willett as long shots to win with Poulter / Matsuyama in contention as well.

    I typically am DFS golf only but in Vegas this week so able to play. Initial cut at each group trying to gauge odds from offshore books I liked Horschel, Spieth, Stenson, Oos, Jaidee, Palmer, Grace, Dub, Scott, Wies, Poulter, Koepka, English, Willett, and Matsuyama respectively. Obviously will not be betting all of them.

    Take it with a grain of salt, feel better about my DFS game than sportsbook game :)
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    Won't lay chalk in this format unless big under lay. Waiting for some favs to move up. Looking at Lahiri(+) over RPalmer.
  • PerfectDriftPerfectDrift Junior Member
    edited April 2015
    I usually don't play favorites either in this format.

    Harris English +100
    Jason Dufner +210
    Stephen Gallacher +130

    Playing futures with Paul Casey and Hideki Matsuyama
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited April 2015
    Here is what I ended up playing (5Dimes)...

    Group 1 Winner - Not McIlroy (-110)
    Group 3 Winner - Todd (+410)
    Group 7 Winner - Day (+145) - This one is down to +135, I'd pass at the current price
    Group 11 Winner - Walker (+205)
    Group 15 Winner - Not Willet (-380)

    Rose -185 Leishman
    Walker -140 Woodland
    Every +135 Westwood
    F Molinari +180 Scott
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    M/UPS:

    Lahiri vs RPalmer
    Koepka vs Henley
    Bradley vs Oothus
    Kirk vs PCasey
    Leishman vs Rose
  • Fat PolamaluFat Polamalu Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    TommyL wrote: »
    Group 3 Winner - Todd (+410)

    I had this as of play, but backed off. I've got him ranked as the best putter in the group, and only a few points Stenson overall. But I also noticed that Haas' to win price has been the biggest move down at pinny (11000 down to +5911).

    I'd love to hear your thoughts behind this play if your willing to share.

    Good luck this weekend fellas.
  • TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
    edited April 2015
    Fat Polamalu wrote: »
    I had this as of play, but backed off. I've got him ranked as the best putter in the group, and only a few points Stenson overall. But I also noticed that Haas' to win price has been the biggest move down at pinny (11000 down to +5911).

    I'd love to hear your thoughts behind this play if your willing to share.

    Good luck this weekend fellas.

    Really more of a play against Haas/Senden, although Todd's current form certainly factors in. Haas has been much worse than you'd think in Match Play formats, and you could argue that no one in this field is playing worse than Senden right now. Stenson has obviously been playing very well and is a good Match Play guy, but I really think that Todd has a >20% chance of taking this group down.
  • ricodotricodot Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    my day 1

    poulter over simpson
    day over Hoffman
    koepka over Henley
    bubba over m a jimenez
    fowler over English
    lowry over McDowell
    dubuisson over schwartzel
    Matsuyama over levy
  • Fat PolamaluFat Polamalu Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    Here is what I got for Day 2.

    Coetzee +106 vs Kaymer
    JB Holmes -105 vs Henley
    Casey +121 vs Scott
    Kirk -115 vs Molinari


    Good luck today if you're playing.
  • drewbydrewby Fantasy Expert
    edited April 2015
    I took Jaidee, Koepka, Watson, Horschel, Matsuyama, Wiesberger, Mahan, and Poulter. All chalk, some light some heavy, outside of Jaidee and Wiesberger.
  • Fat PolamaluFat Polamalu Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    drewby wrote: »
    I took Jaidee, Koepka, Watson, Horschel, Matsuyama, Wiesberger, Mahan, and Poulter. All chalk, some light some heavy, outside of Jaidee and Wiesberger.

    I had Jaidee over Furyk on my list, but decided against it. :idoit:

    Good luck today.
  • KashmirKashmir Senior Member
    edited April 2015
    R3
    Coetzee over Jaidee -130
  • Fat PolamaluFat Polamalu Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    Day 3
    Oosthuizen +113 over Watson
    Simpson -104 over Woodland
    Kirk +106 over Scott
  • Fat PolamaluFat Polamalu Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    Day 4
    Holmes +120 over J.Furyk
    Leishman +101 over Woodland
  • KashmirKashmir Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    I just bet on Furyk over Holmes -140
  • Fat PolamaluFat Polamalu Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    Kashmir wrote: »
    I just bet on Furyk over Holmes -140

    :laugh:
    Good luck tomorrow.

    What do you think of the Fowler/Oosthuizen match?
    Im leaning Oostuizen but Im hoping to see some underdog odds.
  • KashmirKashmir Senior Member
    edited May 2015
    Fat Polamalu wrote: »
    :laugh:
    Good luck tomorrow.

    What do you think of the Fowler/Oosthuizen match?
    Im leaning Oostuizen but Im hoping to see some underdog odds.

    I think they have it priced correctly. That is a toss up IMO. They have both played well and I have them ranked very closely coming in.

    I really wanted to bet on Mahan over Senden but that price is too high.
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