NFL Playoff Props and Plays Thread
tro19
Senior Member
Greg Jennings over 4.5 receptions -130 (Bovada)
I know about all the receivers on the field for the Pack may go against this play, but Jennings came back as Rodgers favorite target even after missing most of the season. Rodgers will be in the shotgun for pretty much all day. Jordy Nelson is not 100% which makes this even a more solid play IMO. Last 2 games 8 rec vs Tenn and 7 rec vs Minn.
I know about all the receivers on the field for the Pack may go against this play, but Jennings came back as Rodgers favorite target even after missing most of the season. Rodgers will be in the shotgun for pretty much all day. Jordy Nelson is not 100% which makes this even a more solid play IMO. Last 2 games 8 rec vs Tenn and 7 rec vs Minn.
Comments
Morris had a huge game last week and I'm a believer, but Seattle's offense revolves around Lynch more than anything while Washington will ride on RG3's back as far as he will take em. Add the fact that Morris touched the ball a whopping 35 times Sunday night. Both teams have a very good run-D, but I give the edge to Lynch here.
Hawkins has the potential to put up big #s vs the Texans horrid secondary. I don't see much of a running game from either side and Green will get double coverage all day. Hawkins could real in 5 or 6 today.
It was around 180 last week depending on site. Don't know the completions # from last week or if it went over or not.
-2.35 units so far
thanks for you response ,luck
49ers -3 -115 (BM)
As an avid Packer fan, I do know this. Green Bay has an average O-line and San Fran will get to Rodgers. I know it was week one, but San Fran beat GB in just about every aspect of the game. Constant pressure all day and Rodgers had happy feet. A-Rod hung in there, but IMO the Pack will have to play the perfect game to pull this out, but I don't see it. You can say that Green Bay's offensive line has gotten better, but just a few weeks ago, the Giants were at Rodgers all day. Also, SF has improved at the QB position. There was only one team I was worried that the Pack would play on their way to the big game, and it's the 49ers. Oh, and them Seahawks are looking mighty tough as well.
To much value here not to bet this IMO. Pass happy teams have had luck vs San Fran this year at the TE position. Packers in week 1, Finley had 7 catches and a TD, Thomas and Graham had a combined 8 catches for New Orleans and a TD in week 12, and Hernandez for NE had 10 catches and a TD in week 15. Worth a half unit here IMO
It's no secret that the Pack has issues at the line. I know Smith is hurt on the other side, but they will still have success getting to Rodgers. I think he will be rolling out of the pocket alot in this game. He could have this in the first half.
Tie/San Francisco 16/1 (Bovada)
Risking .1 unit to win 1.6 units
This will be a lot of fun to watch if you hit the HT portion.
+1.05 units for playoffs
Looks as though Corey Graham will be assigned to Welker which will be a tough matchup. I think Brandon Lloyd will get a few more looks this week. Last 5 games he's had 51 targets. Welker under 7.5 receptions at Bovada maybe a play as well.
White has had over 10 targets in 4 of last 5 games. In close games 6 pts or less, White failed only 2 times out of 8 to get to this total and he had 5 receptions in those 2. I don't see much of a running game for Atlanta, so White should get plenty of looks.
Russell Wilson and co. exposed the Falcons in the 2nd half last week. I will also throw another name (Cam Newton). Atlanta ranked 7th in the league in offensive line stats, but Matt Ryan was hit 89 times during the regular season. I will roll with the stout defense and the mobile young QB.