Betting Talk

Last possesion of the first half

PettimorePettimore Senior Member
edited March 2012 in Sports Betting
Why do teams that are down wind the clock down for the last shot? Why not just run your regular offense and if you get a great shot , just take it. Mich just got the ball back , down 13 with 26 secs left and don't get a shot off in time.

Comments

  • OakmountOakmount Senior Member
    edited March 2012
    And if they do get it off, they rarely make it, but seem to get the rebound, with no time left. Or, they shoot a 3, when you need 1 or 2. Crazy, but very predictable.
  • nyjets1532nyjets1532 Senior Member
    edited March 2012
    theres no way the other team can score if you take the last shot......make or miss, theres no chance that your deficit will increase
  • tribecalledjefftribecalledjeff Senior Member
    edited March 2012
    The expected value of you taking the last shot is definitely greater than that of giving the other team a possession as well.
  • PettimorePettimore Senior Member
    edited March 2012
    no way.........if you get the ball back with a full shot clock.....and you give your best shooter a wide open look. in ten seconds ............is that better than a bad look with 2 seconds left?
  • OakmountOakmount Senior Member
    edited March 2012
    Agree Petty. That's like saying a short stop run run across the diamond until the last second, then through it. Or at least it's similar. If you have the shot, shoot it. Defense is an option. Why rush it with no chance at a tip in?
  • PettimorePettimore Senior Member
    edited March 2012
    tribecalledjeff wrote: »
    the expected value of you taking the last shot is definitely greater than that of giving the other team a possession as well.

    so.....you are behind.....and you want to shorten up the game?
  • tribecalledjefftribecalledjeff Senior Member
    edited March 2012
    Pettimore wrote: »
    so.....you are behind.....and you want to shorten up the game?

    There's 20 minutes left in the game! Nobody needs to panic at halftime and worry about lengthening/shortening the game at that point.

    If the game is tied with :20 seconds left, do you take the first good look or do you make sure that you get the last shot? It's the exact same idea.

    One possession for you >>>>>> One possession for each team.

    Do you guys the going for a 2-for-1 is a good idea? Well a 1-for-0 is even better.
  • PettimorePettimore Senior Member
    edited March 2012
    WE CAN DISAGREE.........BUT IF i'M BEHIND BY 8 WITH 20 SECONDS LEFT IN THE FIRST HALF.........i WANT MY BEST SHOOTER.........TRYING AN OPEN 3
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