i think RAS would say it totally depends on each play individually as some plays he is going to have his line that he came up with for the play much higher or lower than the actual line he bet on. So sometimes he may say yes but in general he is going to say not a chance in most sports as the lines are awful sharp.
Generally speaking, no. You want to beat the closing line on average, and the totals are beating the close by 2.85 points on average, so I would advise at least staying within 1.5 points. Maybe even less as we move furter along in conference play.
Review the RAS user guide carefully for further advice on getting the release line. If you still can't get full game line, try the 1H line, it has almost identical long term +EV.
Early on you could play the pick and play again at 1-2 pts worse. Now it's play the pick and play again at 3-5 pts worse.
Since lines are clearly getting sharper (And frankly I think RAS is better at sides) I'm playing the pick for all I can get and betting back at 3+ pts or the ridiculous +130-+140 Pinny offers.
Generally speaking, no. You want to beat the closing line on average, and the totals are beating the close by 2.85 points on average, so I would advise at least staying within 1.5 points. Maybe even less as we move furter along in conference play.
Review the RAS user guide carefully for further advice on getting the release line. If you still can't get full game line, try the 1H line, it has almost identical long term +EV.
slight bump
New to the forum but I was wondering about betting the first half line. I'm sort of torn when it comes to betting an OVER 1h in a RAS play for example since one of your angles might be that a +14 dog will actually be more "active" in keeping it close then the books think and there will be fouls at the end of the game.
Ex: there was a game earlier in the year where Santa Clara played Oklahoma. The first half was low scoring but at the end of the game the Santa Clara coached started fouling down 8-10 points with about 2 mins left. Couple of FTs and some Santa Clara 3s and the total hit. I know you guys watch some tape and focus a lot on pace etc. but I'm sure late game coaching philosophies also come into play in your analysis.
There will be games like that, and then there will be others that fly over first half, and then tighten up and play under in the second. In the end it is all very similar +EV.
Pettimore
Senior Member
Comments
Review the RAS user guide carefully for further advice on getting the release line. If you still can't get full game line, try the 1H line, it has almost identical long term +EV.
Early on you could play the pick and play again at 1-2 pts worse. Now it's play the pick and play again at 3-5 pts worse.
Since lines are clearly getting sharper (And frankly I think RAS is better at sides) I'm playing the pick for all I can get and betting back at 3+ pts or the ridiculous +130-+140 Pinny offers.
Sean
slight bump
New to the forum but I was wondering about betting the first half line. I'm sort of torn when it comes to betting an OVER 1h in a RAS play for example since one of your angles might be that a +14 dog will actually be more "active" in keeping it close then the books think and there will be fouls at the end of the game.
Ex: there was a game earlier in the year where Santa Clara played Oklahoma. The first half was low scoring but at the end of the game the Santa Clara coached started fouling down 8-10 points with about 2 mins left. Couple of FTs and some Santa Clara 3s and the total hit. I know you guys watch some tape and focus a lot on pace etc. but I'm sure late game coaching philosophies also come into play in your analysis.