Betting Talk

Dragon Shot's--Week 6

DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
edited May 2009 in Sports Betting
There was NO Week 5 plays, outside schedule precluded my access to computer most evenings.

Shot #6-1 (Level 1)

Part #1

1:45pm Switxerland Super league

FC Basel (-273) v. FC Luzern

FC Vaduz v. FC Zurich (-385)

2:00pm Germany Bundesliga

Bayern Munich (-385) v. Bayer Leverkusen

2 units to win 2.54 units

Really prefer the over in both Zurich & Munich games if it were 3 or less. At 3.5 goals, should/could happen, BUT...

Part #2

Will roll forward, if win to baseball tonight.

Regards,

Comments

  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Results:

    Basel 2 - 0 Luzern (win)
    Vaduz 3 - 5 Zurich (win)
    Bayern Munich 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen (win)

    Shot #6-1 (level 1)

    Part 2:

    7:05pm Chicago WS TT OVER 4.5 (-135)
    7:10pm Atlanta/NY Mets UNDER 9.5 runs (-157)
    10:15pm San Francisco (Cain) (-134)

    4.54 units to win 18.05 units
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Chicago is OVER
    Atlanta/NY Mets 3-3 in 10th...3 runs to work with so...

    Shot # 6-1 Hedge (a)

    Washington (+122)

    2 units to win 2.44 units

    Shot # 6-1 Hedge (b)

    Washington +1.5 runs (-175)
    LA Angels (Weaver) (-131)

    Tomorrow 11:30 am ( will post detail )
    Germany Bundesliga 2
    Frieburg (+144)
    Nurneburg (-273)

    3:00pm England

    Man Utd (-340)

    1 unit to win 10.95 units

    Regards,
  • beefcakebeefcake Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Nice payout regardless tonight...good job..
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    WOW!!!

    Finally went to bed after the Nationals went ahead 7-5, expecting to wake up with a 1/2 unit loss.

    Thankfully, SF came back to win 9-7.

    Shot 6-1 (Level 1)

    Part 's 1&2 +18.05 units
    Hedges a & b -3.00 units

    Net profit Level 1--15.05 units.

    Be Back with a couple of speculative Lead-ins for Level 2 shortly.

    Regards,
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Wednesday, May 13

    Shot # 6-1 (Level 2)

    Part 1:

    11:30am
    Germany Bundesliga 2

    FC Nurnberg (-290) v. Osnabruck
    SC Freibrug (+135) v. Greuther Furth

    3:00pm
    England Premier

    Manchester United (-348) v. Wigan

    2 units to win 6.14 units

    Part 2:

    11:30am
    Germany Bundesliga 2

    FC Nurnberg (-290) v. Osnabruck
    SC Freibrug / Greuther Furth DRAW (+219)

    3:00pm
    England Premier

    Manchester United (-348) v. Wigan

    1 units to win 4.52 units

    Just speculating to get out of the gate.

    Regards,
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Shot # 6-2 (level 1)

    3 team Round Robin
    3 2 teamers 1 3 teamer
    1 unit each, Total risk 4 units

    Germany Bundesliga
    2:00 pm

    Armenia Bielefeld/Hoddenheim DRAW (+244)
    Energie Cottbus/Borussia M-Gladbach DRAW (+233)
    Schalke 04/ Stuttgart DRAW (+248)

    4 units to win 70.88 units

    2 of 3 win at least 7.46 units

    Regards,
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Germany Bundesliga 2 Results:

    Nurnberg 2 - 0 Osnabruck
    Freiburg 0 - 0 Gareth Furth

    Part 2 is alive, Part 1 goes down.

    NOW...to the horns of a dilema. Man United is as sure a thing as there is in sports betting, IMHO, yet I have lost more than my fair share of sure things.

    So I am choosing between:
    1.) the Draw (+428)
    2.) Wigan +0.5 goals (+278)
    3.) Wigan +1.5 goals (-116)

    Tonights Baseball games are:

    8:40pm Colorado (Marquis) (-152)
    9:40pm Cincinnati (Cueto) (-130)

    Since 1/2 of yesterdays profit is 7.5 units, and 3 units are already in play, I an going to do a 2 part hedge.

    Hedge (a)

    3:00pm Wigan/Man Utd DRAW (+428)
    8:40pm Colorado (Marquis) (-152)
    9:40pm Cincinnati (Cueto) (-130)


    1 unit to win 14.49 units

    Hedge (b)

    3:00pm Wigan +1.5 goals (-116)
    8:40pm Colorado (Marquis) (-152)
    9:40pm Cincinnati (Cueto) (-130)


    2 units to win 8.92 units

    Obviously, a Man Utd win will be rolled into Colorado & Cincinnati after the game.

    Regards,
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Oops...

    Shot #6-1 (Level 2)

    Part 3:

    Man United -1.5 goals (-102)
    Colorado (-152)
    Cincinnati (-130)

    1.5 units to win 7.21 units.

    Budget Spent ;-)
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Shot # 6-2 (Level 1)

    0-3...-4.00 units.

    Shot #6-1 (Level 2)

    Wigan 1 - 2 Manchester United.

    Personally the absolute best result because I was loaded on Man Utd, with the Wigan +0.5 goal hedge.

    Colorado (-157)
    Cincinnati (-130)

    5.52 units to win 10.47 units

    This is the rollover of part 1.

    Summary:

    Hedge (b)

    2 units to win 8.92 units

    So, playing for 19.39 units.

    Was all the screwing around worth it? Maybe, the Colorado/Cincinnati shot pays less than 2-1, the screwing around raised the odds to a bit better than 2.5-1

    Regards,
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Colorado get's clobbered so Shot # 6-1(level 2) is history.

    Profit from (Level 1) +15.05 units
    Loss from (Level 2) -7.5 units

    Net profit +7.55 units

    Back to work, boys & girls.

    Regards,
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Thursday, May 14

    Shot # 6-3 (Level 1)

    3 team Round Robin
    3 2-teamers, 1 3-teamer

    11:30am
    Finland

    HJK Helsinki/ FC Honka OVER 2.5 goals (+105)
    MyPa (+115) v. FC Lahti

    12:00 noon
    Denmark

    Midtjylland (-118) v. Aalborg

    4 units to win 16.31 units

    2 of 3 winners break-even

    Let's see if we can get out of the blocks cheaply.
  • beefcakebeefcake Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    was liking that helsinki over myself...GL D
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Shot #6-3

    Zip, Zero, NADA

    -4 units.

    Will be looking to work with:
    France Ligue 2 Montpelier (-210) 2:00pm
    Eanglan League 1 playoff Scunthorpe +0.5 goals (+107) 2:45pm

    Probably no choice until 1:00-1:30ish

    Regards,
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited May 2009
    Friday, May 15

    Shot # 6-5

    A little Speculation...like that hasn't happened before

    France Ligue 2
    2:00pm

    Dijon (-105) v. Angers
    Montpelier (-200) v. Ajaccio

    Belgium
    2:30pm

    Lokeren/Mechelen DRAW (+225)

    England League 1 play-off
    2:45pm

    Scunthorpe +0.5 goals (+108) v. MK Dons

    1 unit to win 18.80 units

    Regards,

    NOTE: For truth in advertising...I despise MK Dons re: the AFC Wimbledon situation, but they have a good team. The pick of Scunthorpe is based on the fact that other than a 3 week period when they were focused on a trophy competition, Scunthorpe have lost only 4 of the remaining 17 away games. that's 75+% non-loss rate, AND they beat MK Dons in MK earlier in the year 2-0.
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