If you’re looking for a “safe” Survivor Pool selection, Week 3 in the NFL will have not one, but two, big home favorites that could be exactly that.
For the second time in the last four weeks of NFL action, there will be two favorites of at least 16 points in the same week. (It also occurred in Week 17 last year when the 49ers were -16.5 against the Cardinals and the Broncos were -17 against the Chiefs.)
Seahawks -16.5 vs. Jaguars
Broncos -16 vs. Raiders
How rare are favorites this big? Since 1998, there have only been 38 teams favored by that much (about 2.5 per season). If you take the undefeated 2007 Patriots (8 times) out of the equation, that number shrinks to 30.
*Another fact: Since 1990, favorites of 16 or more are 61-3 straight up, but only 27-36-1 against the spread (42.9%). H/t to KillerSports.com for the database.
Below are all of the LVH SuperBook’s “look-ahead” lines for NFL Week 3.
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All odds courtesy of the LVH SuperBook.
THURSDAY, SEPT. 19
Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles -5
SUNDAY, SEPT. 22
San Diego Chargers
Tennessee Titans -3.5
Cleveland Browns
Minnesota Vikings -3.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New England Patriots -9
Houston Texans -1
Baltimore Ravens
St. Louis Rams
Dallas Cowboys -4
Arizona Cardinals
New Orleans Saints -9
Detroit Lions
Washington Redskins -3
Green Bay Packers -1
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Giants
Carolina Panthers -3
Atlanta Falcons
Miami Dolphins pk
Indianapolis Colts
San Francisco 49ers -9.5
Jacksonville Jaguars
Seattle Seahawks -16.5
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets -3
Chicago Bears -2.5
Pittsburgh Steelers
MONDAY, SEPT. 23
Oakland Raiders
Denver Broncos -16