2017 mlb wagers
modeledthat
Senior Member
i have been working on this model and lurking for quite some time. after achieving desired results so far i am ready to start posting plays. i will maintain a weighted and unweighted record. weighted wagering is the preferred method using 1/4 kelly staking. the percentage listed after each selection is the stake.
902
phi
-116
1.80%
902
cin
+115
2.87%
913
det
+120
2.13%
902
phi
-116
1.80%
902
cin
+115
2.87%
913
det
+120
2.13%
Comments
Welcome. Without giving too much a way can you give me a feel for your process or angle?
prefer not to at this point, but maybe in a one on one basis in the future
Welcome! Just please make sure to read the record keeping guidelines at the top of the forum if you plan to keep a record. Thanks and GL.
w: 1-2 -0.63% roi -9.28% line value -2.08%
resume plays tomorrow morning
966
cws
+165
2.52%
974
min
+113
3.33%
954
stl
-102
1.83%
980
laa
-133
2.88%
904
pit
-101
1.67%
925
cin
+162
2.56%
907
mil
+108
2.21%
975
cin
+130
2.48%
969
tb
-130
4.12%
972
cws
+138
2.08%
958
nym
-175
2.08%
961
wsh
-166
2.05%
915
col
+127
1.84%
910
bal
+115
2.09%
915
nyy
+129
2.43%
908
mil
+138
1.76%
912
cin
-159
4.17%
902
mia
-116
2.48%
927
tb
-104
1.77%
967
cws
+178
1.34%
969
bos
-177
2.23%
974
tex
+115
2.67%
979
wsh
+106
2.90%
904
atl
-115
2.38%
905
sf
-110
2.77%
912
kc
+121
2.40%
909
wsh
+116
3.91%
uw: 12-18 -6.32% roi -18.57% line value -0.31%
w: 12-18 -8.17% roi -11.09% line value -0.31%
952
cin
+115
1.87%
960
ari
-190
3.77%
961
wsh
-110
2.34%
904
cin
+116
2.73%
952
cin
+102
2.63%
964
det
-149
3.45%
974
wsh
-130
2.95%
926
wsh
-173
2.82%
970
bos
-191
5.41%
902
atl
-114
2.35%
909
cin
+160
2.95%
930
kc
+118
2.61%
903
mia/pit o8.5
-118
928
wsh
-270
5.75%
totals: 0-1-0 -1.18% -100.00% roi 4.93% line val
sides uw: 20-23 -5.87% -11.22% roi -0.10% line val
sides w: 20-23 -5.20% -4.51% roi -0.10% line val
965
nyy
-119
2.20%
957
cin
+107
2.47%
951
atl/wsh o8
-119
916
min
-104
2.43%
929
kc
+106
2.40%
927
ari/det o9
-105
correct, look at rotation numbers if there is confusion