NFL Playoffs
ebemiss
Senior Member
Played
102 Houston +3.5 -113
104 Minnesota +5 -114
(current lines at Pinnacle)
my numbers for opening weekend
Away Away Home Home Total Away Home Date Location
Kansas City Chiefs 17.98 Houston Texans 20.23 38.2 2.25 -2.25 1/9/2016 (Home)
Pittsburgh Steelers 24.13 Cincinnati Bengals 20.33 44.46 -3.8 3.8 1/9/2016 (Home)
Seattle Seahawks 21.9 Minnesota Vikings 22.1 44 0.2 -0.2 1/10/2016 (Home)
Green Bay Packers 24.43 Washington Redskins 22.03 46.47 -2.4 2.4 1/10/2016 (Home)
scoring breakdowns (1h vs 2h points scored/allowed overtime not included)
NFL average is at 50% of 1h vs 2h points
1H SCORING 2H SCORING
Arizona 0.499 0.501
Carolina 0.485 0.515
Cincinnati 0.467 0.533
Denver 0.484 0.516
Green Bay 0.475 0.525
Houston 0.520 0.480
Kansas City 0.531 0.469
Minnesota 0.487 0.513
New England 0.470 0.530
Pittsburgh 0.478 0.522
Seattle 0.484 0.516
Washington 0.482 0.518
using current lines and pct's 1h totals come out to
KC/Houston 21 actual 20
Pitt/Cincy 21.5 actual 23
Sea/Min 19.2 actual 20
GB/Wash 21.5 actual 21.5
Looks like Pit/Cin only a little value for 1h. Nothing major
102 Houston +3.5 -113
104 Minnesota +5 -114
(current lines at Pinnacle)
my numbers for opening weekend
Away Away Home Home Total Away Home Date Location
Kansas City Chiefs 17.98 Houston Texans 20.23 38.2 2.25 -2.25 1/9/2016 (Home)
Pittsburgh Steelers 24.13 Cincinnati Bengals 20.33 44.46 -3.8 3.8 1/9/2016 (Home)
Seattle Seahawks 21.9 Minnesota Vikings 22.1 44 0.2 -0.2 1/10/2016 (Home)
Green Bay Packers 24.43 Washington Redskins 22.03 46.47 -2.4 2.4 1/10/2016 (Home)
scoring breakdowns (1h vs 2h points scored/allowed overtime not included)
NFL average is at 50% of 1h vs 2h points
1H SCORING 2H SCORING
Arizona 0.499 0.501
Carolina 0.485 0.515
Cincinnati 0.467 0.533
Denver 0.484 0.516
Green Bay 0.475 0.525
Houston 0.520 0.480
Kansas City 0.531 0.469
Minnesota 0.487 0.513
New England 0.470 0.530
Pittsburgh 0.478 0.522
Seattle 0.484 0.516
Washington 0.482 0.518
using current lines and pct's 1h totals come out to
KC/Houston 21 actual 20
Pitt/Cincy 21.5 actual 23
Sea/Min 19.2 actual 20
GB/Wash 21.5 actual 21.5
Looks like Pit/Cin only a little value for 1h. Nothing major
Comments
105 Pittsburgh -1.5
103 OVER Seattle/Minnesota 39.5
305 Seattle +3
304 Arizona -7
312 Denver +3
312 Arizona +3
my numbers
New England Patriots... 23.9 Denver Broncos... 23.1... 47 -0.8 0.8 1/24/2016 (Home)
Arizona Cardinals... 23.4 Carolina Panthers.. 25.4 ... 48.8 2 -2 1/24/2016 (Home)
Over 20.5 Denver team total
Go Broncos :drinking::drinking::drinking::drinking:
102 Denver +6 -115 (BM)
my numbers
Carolina Panthers 23.6 Denver Broncos 20.6 44.2 -3 3 02/07/2016 *NEUTRAL*
Manning looked ok when they spread the field and let him read quick early read throws. He looked like crap when they tried to run Kubiak's play action stuff. He's slow and by the time he turns back around the rush was on him. Osweiler is much better suited to run that stuff moving forward. Although I get why they are using Manning right now.
If they play close to the vest and try to grind out possessions I think they'll have success. If they have to chase 2 scores, it's not good.
The defense, if everyone plays and is healthy enough, is the main reason for the play. Not as confident in them as I was vs. NE but at this point the line is too much in my opinion.
Denver hasn't faced a QB like this kid and yes there defense is very good but this Kid dots the eye IMO as sad as it may seem Manning goes out a loser. Tough number I'll say that didn't think it would get passed a field goal. Good luck I prefer Super Bowl Props
Both teams average around 66 plays offense and defense per game.
[HTML]| | total | Rush Att | rush yds | RUN TD | Pass Comp | Pass Att | Pass yds | PASS TD | Pass Int |
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| Carolina Panthers | 359.2 | 29.2 | 129.2 | 1.2 | 19.9 | 33.2 | 230 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Denver Broncos | 346.9 | 24.2 | 98.7 | 1.1 | 22.7 | 37.5 | 248.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |[/HTML]
Manning per game avg 2 playoff games
19 for 34.5 199 yds 1 TD 0 INT
The passing props for Carolina look close to season averages.
I like both of these over at plus money. found them at heritage sports.
247 CJ.Anderson receiving yards O 14½ +104
251 R.Hillman receiving yards O 9½ +122
Carolina's defense led the NFL is RB receiving targets with 9.5 per game. They also give up, on average, about 50 yds a game to RB's receiving for the season.
Last week they allowed 9 receptions for 60+ yds to Arizona's RB. In the divisional game they gave up multiple catches to multiple backs. With Manning's short passing game I think these may have some value.
With both at plus money I think they are worth a shot if they are going to split time. If you think Hillman will play more his receptions of 1.5 is plus money on the over as well.