Question: it's been a very long time since this last happened to me, I'm blanking on memory, but my Cin play vs. Mets was suspended at 1-1 tie through 6th inning, to resume today -- the play is cancelled, no matter the outcome today, yes?
Question: it's been a very long time since this last happened to me, I'm blanking on memory, but my Cin play vs. Mets was suspended at 1-1 tie through 6th inning, to resume today -- the play is cancelled, no matter the outcome today, yes?
The question may come up: should you play -200 or greater faves, and if so ML or run line? As most likely know, over the long run, playing big faves is not a winning proposition. However, it's all about grading plays and picking spots. There are times when a big fave is actually a good play, considering odds of winning versus what the line projects. And then it comes down to, if you're going to play a big fave, lay the wood or the run line? Needless to say, over time, with near 3000 games of big fave games considered, ML and RL are both losers, BUT the run line is less of an ROI loser. Playing ML is significantly in the red, whereas the RL is just under breakeven. Big faves of -200 or greater win on average by 1.7 runs, above the -1.5 lay, so again it's a matter of picking your spots, doing your homework, and making sure your handicap has the fave coveringr the -1.5 runs.
Again, I don't often play such big faves, period, but I will when the numbers argue that the seemingly inflated line is still low, and yet I'm going to make the play laying the runs. I think I'm a wash thus far this season on these plays, with the big faves either losing outright (thankful then I laid runs at deflated price) or with this last play, the Reds winning by 1 run, ugh.
Comments
904 Cubs -139
918 Bost -128
980 Milw -133
907 Cin +146
909 LAD -1.5 runs -123
924 TB -119
930 Milw -137
960 StL -129
980 Milw -151
Yes, the play is 'no action'.
918 Oak -170
957 Cubs -118
961 Tex +131
972 Det +100
925 Sea -103
966 Tor -160
915 Tor +111
Again, I don't often play such big faves, period, but I will when the numbers argue that the seemingly inflated line is still low, and yet I'm going to make the play laying the runs. I think I'm a wash thus far this season on these plays, with the big faves either losing outright (thankful then I laid runs at deflated price) or with this last play, the Reds winning by 1 run, ugh.
957 Phil +174
976 KC -170
Took a much-needed reprieve yesterday coming off a brutal 1-6 slide. Hope to revert things this week heading into the Allstar break.
958 Milw -148
961 NYM +125
965 Balt -116
926 Bost -1.5 runs -103
921 Balt -125
924 Sea -185
911 NYM +114
976 Bost -181
912 Wsx -113
906 Colo -106
907 Phil +271
920 Sea -140
980 Tex -125
901 Ariz +124
904 Colo -165
922 Bost -143
908 Milw -124
914 SD -150
923 Tex +136
Still on the plus side, but it has been an extended slow bleed the last several days, very frustrating.
951 LAD -185
954 Phil +112
979 Clev -165
977 Bost +130
903 LAD -106
905 Pitt +101
908 StL -149