TommyL's 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball Picks
TommyL
Super Moderator
I'll post all of my college hoops plays this season in this thread. I'll only be posting picks (and records) in this thread so as to keep it clean and make it easier for me to find and track everything. Any thoughts on picks, thoughts on hoops in general, witty banter, etc will be posted in this thread ->
http://www.bettingtalk.com/forum/showthread.php/177729-TommyL-s-College-Hoops-Discussion
To make life easier for me, I'd ask that you post any questions/comments and anything else in that thread that I attached. I'm happy to answer questions and enjoy discussing anything college hoops related with all of you.
I'll be posting full games (sides and totals) and 2nd half plays (might have the very occasional 1st half play, but it'll be rare). My intention is to increase my volume of totals, and to decrease the volume on sides as the season goes along (and totals for that matter). It's clear through the years that my edge decreases as we get deeper into the season, so my volume should reflect that. I haven't had too much volume on 2nd halves through the years, but I do play to get more involved with them this season depending on my available time. As for sides/totals, it'll probably be a mix of overnight and morning (with the occasional play later in the day/evening if something moves into range).
Below is a link to my final record from last year. Spent a great deal of time over the least few months tweaking/researching and everything else that went along with getting ready for tomorrow (or today I guess, since I expect to start making plays in a few hours), so I'm hoping that it paid off. Good luck to everyone this season.
http://www.bettingtalk.com/forum/showthread.php/176199-TommyL-s-March-2014-College-Hoops-Plays?p=841124&viewfull=1#post841124
http://www.bettingtalk.com/forum/showthread.php/177729-TommyL-s-College-Hoops-Discussion
To make life easier for me, I'd ask that you post any questions/comments and anything else in that thread that I attached. I'm happy to answer questions and enjoy discussing anything college hoops related with all of you.
I'll be posting full games (sides and totals) and 2nd half plays (might have the very occasional 1st half play, but it'll be rare). My intention is to increase my volume of totals, and to decrease the volume on sides as the season goes along (and totals for that matter). It's clear through the years that my edge decreases as we get deeper into the season, so my volume should reflect that. I haven't had too much volume on 2nd halves through the years, but I do play to get more involved with them this season depending on my available time. As for sides/totals, it'll probably be a mix of overnight and morning (with the occasional play later in the day/evening if something moves into range).
Below is a link to my final record from last year. Spent a great deal of time over the least few months tweaking/researching and everything else that went along with getting ready for tomorrow (or today I guess, since I expect to start making plays in a few hours), so I'm hoping that it paid off. Good luck to everyone this season.
http://www.bettingtalk.com/forum/showthread.php/176199-TommyL-s-March-2014-College-Hoops-Plays?p=841124&viewfull=1#post841124
Comments
Plays for Friday, 11/14
730 James Madison +16 Virginia
731 Georgia +2.5 Georgia Tech
770 Boise State -2.5 San Diego
799 IUPUI +11 Indiana State 1.5 UNITS
805 Houston +12.5 Murray State
Plenty more to come tomorrow I'm sure
That might be it for today.
730 James Madison +16 Virginia
731 Georgia +2.5 Georgia Tech
751 Ball State +26.5 Utah
755 Milwaukee/Auburn over 147.5
764 Rice/Oregon State under 137.5
770 Boise State -2.5 San Diego
799 IUPUI +11 Indiana State 1.5 UNITS
805 Houston +12.5 Murray State
820 UNLV -6.5 Morehead State
846 Mississippi -12 Charleston Southern
848 Mississippi Valley St/Indiana under 153
861 UMKC/Missouri over 147
868 Alcorn State/California under 139.5
763 Rice Team Total under 62.5
879 Lehigh +27.5 Villanova
881 Central Arkansas +33.5 Creighton
788 West Virginia -10.5 Monmouth
726 Minnesota/Louisville under 76
524 Ohio -12 Appalachian St
530 St. Bonaventure -6.5 Dartmouth
547 North Dakota +22.5 Northern Iowa
562 LSU -14 Gardner Webb
Will be gone all day tomorrow, so that will probably be it. Will post Sunday plays either really late tomorrow night or Sunday morning.
543. Boise st -6 Loyola Marymount
709 Buffalo +32.5 Kentucky 1.5 UNITS
729 Cal St Northridge +26.5 Arizona
734 Seton Hall -11 Mercer 2 UNITS
743 IUPUI +23.5 Purdue
Totals and record update to come in a bit
723 Valparaiso/Missouri over 138.5
727 George Washington/Rutgers over 143.5
747 South Dakota/Stanford over 141.5
Unweighted: 9-9-0 (-.9 units) Avg CLV: +.5
Non-WA and 2nd halfs: 4-0-1 (+4 units)
Overall Weighted Units: +2.55
I think the above is how I'll track the season. Any full game sides and totals first (with corresponding average CLV), any 2nd halfs/team totals/props/non-WA stuff next, and then a final tally on units. For full game sides and totals, I will use anything from 1-2 units, but I'll make all 2nd halfs/non-WA 1 unit plays.
I'm also keeping track of a count of plays that beat/lose to close and my action points, but I'll just throw that in once every few weeks.
532 Temple +4 Louisiana Tech
549 Jacksonville State +32.5 Louisville
552 Arkansas State -5 Tennessee Martin
566 USC -8 Tennessee Tech
Unweighted: 17-12-0 (+3.8 units) Avg CLV: +.24
Non-WA and 2nd halfs: 4-0-1 (+4 units)
Overall Weighted Units: +8.75
532 Temple +5 La Tech .5 UNIT (adding an additional .5 to the unit I already played)
560 Western Carolina/Alabama under 134.5
575 Bucknell +19 Michigan
581 Bethune Cookman/Arizona State over 139
583 Delaware +8.5 Liberty