2 free bets on spurs to win it all
underwraps
Senior Member
GAME 6 bet spurs ML +280
BET SPURS TO WIN IT ALL IN GAME 7 +333
BET MIAMI on SERIES LINE -135
THAT'S YOUR FREE PLAY FOR TODAY. If heat wins the series your even if the spurs win you win a few bucks with no Risk
BET SPURS TO WIN IT ALL IN GAME 7 +333
BET MIAMI on SERIES LINE -135
THAT'S YOUR FREE PLAY FOR TODAY. If heat wins the series your even if the spurs win you win a few bucks with no Risk
Comments
Little slow here
BEST
if they win on game 6 then u have 3 chance to choice to make money
goodluck
In Finals history there have been 17 game 7's and only 3 times has the road team won Washington 78, Boston 74, and Boston 69 it's also worth noting that Home teams are 90-23 79.6% all time in NBA game 7's the last one Miami vs Indy.
That's just some history and it tells us that SAS better do it in game 6 or the odds are way against them.
Now after game one I bet -110 $550 now I'm thinking and I never put myself in a spot to lose twice on the same bet. This being a series bet and I don't believe in hedging unless it's change of life money but for those in my situation here's something to think about
Use any numbers you want I'm going to use Even money they were around also after the first game Why not bet $250 on SAS ML Game 6 to win (+290) $725 and if they win you pick up $225 profit if they lose you still pick up $250 profit if of course Miami wins game 7. Lets see even if you want to get out of the bet you can bet SAS again in game 7 lets keep it at +290 for $250 and if Miami wins you break even and if SAS wins game 7 you pick up at least $225 with no risk
Does that make sense?
That hedge is just throwing away equity. The correct move, as I think you know, is to hold the original ticket.
I agree and as I stated unless it's going to change my life I always sit. There are a lot of people here that discuss hedging I thought I would give them something to think about. By the way Good luck in the future and welcome your insights and plays are appreciate.
Only way to lose is the Heat win game 6, and then Spurs win game 7.. which historically doesn't seem probable.
-When a team is leading 3-2 NBA and on the road: 59-32 (.648)
-When a team is leading 3-2 NBA and on the road in the Finals: 10-6 (.625)
-Home team in game is 14-3 (.823)
Am I missing something?
So you think they will lose the series? Or do you think they defy all odds lose game 6 and win in game 7 to cause even more maximum pain
I think Miami wins the next 2.
I see you have an Avatar of Stu did you know him by chance?
I'm not so sure of that and the only reasoning I have behind it, is that I have the Lord of the NBA King of Sparta clocked for a total of
125k on the spurs to win it all on avg +200 before game 1 even started.
lol we will see. Solid argument though. Spurs win tonight.
You are still pretending like you have inside info on what bob picked? He publicly stated he didn't make a series bet. What's his incentive to lie?
Bob would never bet 125K on the Spurs +200 to win the series for the simple reason he could get more value just betting the Spurs on a game by game basis. He also would never bet 125K. He doesn't even bet that much on regular season totals anymore where his edge is huge.
You don't make millions betting basketball by making -EV bets like Spurs +200 for the series lol
You might be right but you don't have the logins so anything you say don't mean shit to me
Bob just mentioned on twitter he doesn't have any action on the Spurs. Why would he lie to his 30,000 followers ? Also If I can figure out taking the Spurs +200(For the Series) was mathematically wrong certainly Bob can lol. Much more value just betting San Antonio game to game.
Can you show your math?
Assuming one has the bankroll that bob does, the correct move is to bet as much as you can on pretty much every edge you can find.
What edge did the Spurs +200 to win the series have when betting San Antonio game by game offered much more value ?
The series bet either has an edge or it doesn't. Whatever perceived value you see after the fact in the individual games isn't relevant.