donny2
donny2 · Senior Member
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(Quote) Are you serious with this question? How can someone like you with a so called model cannot figure something like this out? This is pretty common sense. You are either a troll or you pulling people's strings here. I cannot believe pe…
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Danshan, whether you are up or down units... I would say the same thing. The thing is I don't think you have a clue at what you are doing. If you did, why you keep asking questions to others then and arguing with others? If you are a modeler wit…
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(Quote) Maybe you are off because you have no clue what you are doing and using information incorrectly. I can't believe anyone here takes you seriously. I bet if you show your model to someone who knows modeling, they would laugh at your so cal…
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How about you have no clue what you are doing then?
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When you used to post nba lines, i recalled certain games, you posted numbers that were beyond off. It was where common sense would say that number you put was off. I don't think you know what you are doing. That is what i think. If you are mak…
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Well of course number in nba will be more efficient than wnba. But many times they are off by quite a bit. Well I have seen you post nba numbers a while back. I will say i notice some of them were off by a lot. I honestly do not think you know …
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You kept saying your projected numbers are real good. You mean projected lines in nba compared to nba closing lines? If anyone is off by much in projecting nba closing lines in sides, they are a moron. For totals, much different. Still no one s…
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Conn vs sun. You put number at 155. Number opened at 161. So your numbers show the 161 was off by 6 points. So you obviously bet the under here at open correct? Closing line went down to 159.5 points. So you got 1.5 points of line value since …
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If no one is betting your mlb plays, why post it then? So what you are doing is trying to beat the closing line correct? What you just describe is beating the closing number regardless of what happens correct? You say if you could repeat this p…
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What edge? He has no edge. Look at his projected mlb lines. He says they are his horrible projected lines based on the starting pitching. If its horrible, why are you sharing it then? To joke or troll around? I took at your lines and then lo…
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Why would anyone take your picks seriously? You don't even have a huge sample size. Not hard to do good or bad in a short sample. Your model that you use, i have strong hunch if anyone who does model legitimately takes a look at your model if you…
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If you don't have a model, then why you keep talking about your model then? Look at the way you are talking like okay from looking at that, its apparent you have no idea what you are talking about and putting an exclamation point on it. No one wo…
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Fine you use a completely different method. You ever thought okay im doing everything correctly wrong? You keep arguing about the opening and closing line thing. You argue things that basically everyone agrees which is written in books etc. You…
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First off, what is your record YTD in all your sports and the plus or minus units in each sport since you posted here? The problem here is you seem to supposedly use a complex model. Yet why do you ask questions that seem to be very newbie to oth…
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Have you ever thought or wondered this guy is doing everything completely wrong? When he says hey teach me like I don't have a clue. Yet you guys look at what numbers or plays this guy posts for other sports? He posts other sports like CFL. Do…
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How can anyone here take him seriously? His posts sound like he is joking around. When he starts posting like this... remember i don't know nothing... you really going to take advice from some guy like that? When he posts and then ends it with an…
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(Quote) How do you know his model is legit? So how can he model if he doesn't seem to know the basics and ask basic questions? That to me make no sense at all. Its like him knowing a complicated level of math... but then can't comprehend basic…
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(Quote) I don't care whether he wins or loses. Its i dont understand how someone can be a modeler and be supposed be an expert in advanced stats yet... why does he ask silly question about closing lines and beating the closing line when the answe…
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Why in the world would you want him back in this forum? No he should not be in the forum. There was nothing wrong with him asking questions. He could ask the dumbest question there is... nothing wrong with that. I ask ton of questions as well. …
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I have looked at the RHE and i notice like its been mentioned, its heavily correlated. But in terms of units, is it really profitable taking the Under RHE vs the full game under? Because like its been mentioned... there is heavy juice on the under…
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I have looked at the RHE and i notice like its been mentioned, its heavily correlated. But in terms of units, is it really profitable taking the Under RHE vs the full game under? Because like its been mentioned... there is heavy juice on the under…
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Anyone?
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(Quote) I'm curious but what amounts are you betting? Also so you are basically betting vegas books only or vegas books and us online books? - - - Updated - - - (Quote) Well when i wrote those countries, i meant like its one of these countries b…
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(Quote) I never said I was located in Costa Rica. I'm located in Mexico.
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Hey there. Okay thats in the west coast so i have not been there. But are you basically doing everything yourself now?
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Hey there. Im from the US but relocated in Mexico. Thus here... i have access to books like pinnacle etc where you cannot access it from the US. - - - Updated - - - My thoughts were if you know these things, wouldn't it be hard to be profitable …
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(Quote) Do you do this full time or recreationally? However, how would you know a big line move isn't a head fake though where the line immediately goes back the other way? Also you talk about getting lot of middles. Well when the line goes th…
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Well i notice this happens a low with cbb totals. What is the most likely reason? One side decide to bet big on one side and another side/group like the line now so they bet big on the other side? Or more likely its the same person or group betti…