A Locals NBA offer
ericvanden
Senior Member
So a local owes me about 5k. He told me he would give me the middle line on the ML (ie. +350/-450 would be +400) on all NBA games in exchange for dropping the 5k he owes. My max wager is $3k. Is there any reason in the world to not take his offer (assuming that he pays)?
I'm strongly leaning towards yes and banging every dog ML.
I'm strongly leaning towards yes and banging every dog ML.
Comments
No way, tell him to pay up. What happens if you bang the Moneylines & he owes you 5k in two weeks?
On the dogs...If you come out of the gate on a 2-20 run or something like that, your bankroll still fine paying the 35k and continuing on at 2k/game? Some variance in play for you hammering dogs every night.
And on the flip side...you come out hot and you're up 60k after a few weeks, you feel good about collecting it?
http://sportsbettingsites.org/betting-tools/no-vig-calculator/
Use this to find the true no vig line, in this case +368. If he's going to give you the average, in this case +400, you'll have an edge with the dog ML on every single play. Whether you can collect or not is something I can't speak to, but mathematically, fire away.