If New England tries to throw the ball 40+ times I believe they will get their ass kicked. I don't think a 38 yr old Tom Brady can beat this team throwing that much. I've watched NE come out 5 wide, hurry up for years. It makes no sense to do it. New England has to play conservative and rely on the defense to win this game.
i respect everyone's view on this game and wouldn't have started thread if I didn't. My take comes down to whom does belicheat want to put his SB chances in the hands of? Does he give the dope smoking, punch throwing (2X) playing on his 5th team in 5 years 30 carries and hope for the best? Or does he let the offense flow through his multi SB winning, future HOF QB?
Attempts up to 36.5 -145 OV
Not that the Market gets everything right, just saying a huge aspect of this matchup being missed.
I'm playing Julian Edelman OVER 0.5 rushing attempts. In 14 games played this year(regular season), he has a rushing attempt in 8 of those. His shortest run was 4 yards and has averaged 9.4 ypc. In the post season, he had a carry against the Colts for 12 yards. I think Belicheat will use his entire playbook and Edelman will have at least 1 carry.
GL
Homer my thought on this prop, (Brady under attempts) as I've mentioned, is based on the season total number and my opinion of the best way to beat Seattle. It's 1 of a dozen props, game bet, super bowl squares, pools, etc... that I'll have on the game. It's just 1 of many on the day I guess is what I'm saying. (Not a big play for me either way)
I also don't think market agreement in low level prop limits, which the vast majority bet OVER everything, is anything of substance.
Good luck Sunday. Good thread to get people involved.
Goskowski under 8.5 points (-35)
Hauschka under 8.5 points (-35)
It would take three fg's to beat me which is a lot for one game, or two fg's and three extra points, which is 27 points and I'm not expecting either team to score that many. I think there's a better chance of me winning both than losing both, and if I split, the juice I lose isn't that bad
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 5256 R.Gronkowski no TD scored +125* vs R.Gronkowski scores a TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 159 L.Blount rush attempts/. Over 14½*+110**
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 177 M.Lynch rushing yards/. Under 82½*+145**
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 5009 T.Brady yards of longest pass comp/. Under 37½*-130**
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 5155 J.Edelman a rush attempt -110* vs J.Edelman no rush attempt*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 5271 M.Hoomanawanui receiving yards ov 6½ -110* vs M.Hoomanawanui receiving yards un 6½*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 6056 M.Lynch no TD scored +135* vs M.Lynch scores a TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 6105 R.Turbin receiving yards over 8½ +135* vs R.Turbin receiving yards under 8½*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 6255 L.Willson scores a TD +230* vs L.Willson no TD scored*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1182 First TD rushing,defensive,spec.teams +117* vs First TD is receiving*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1755 No turnover in game +780* vs A lost fumble or an interception*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 2313 First score a safety +6000* vs Any other score first*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 352 SEA punts first -155* vs SEA scores first*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 530 Team to score last loses Superbowl +170* vs Team to score last wins Superbowl*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 977 M.Lynch grabs crotch after TD score +420* vs M.Lynch no TD or no crotch grab after TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm Props Football 4268 First kickoff not a touchback +140* vs First kickoff results in a touchback
Football - 426013 Yes (first kickoff touchback) -130 for Game
That's why it is called gambling suckas:
2/1/15 6:05pm* Props*Football* 912 National Anthem under 119.00 seconds +155* vs National Anthem over 119.00 seconds*
2/1/15 6:05pm* Props*Football* 913 National Anthem over 122.00 seconds +175* vs National Anthem under 122.00 seconds*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4056 SEA first TD is not passing +105* vs SEA first TD is passing*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4199 First 1st down gain on a run +160* vs First 1st down gain on a pass*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4297 Roughing the passer penalty called +145* vs No roughing the passer penalty called*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4304 SEA penalized for off or def holding 1st -110* vs NE penalized for off or def holding 1st*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4309 Offsetting penalties called +220* vs Offsetting penalties do not occur*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1170 1st TD not rushing or passing +850* vs Offense scores first TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1172 First offensive play a pass / sack +110* vs First offensive play a rush*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1191 Any punt returns for TD +950* vs No punt returns for TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1406 No TD scored in 1st quarter +235* vs A TD scored in 1st quarter*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 341 NE converts a 4th down +125* vs NE no converted 4th down*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1033 Score in first 5:00 +175* vs No score in first 5:00*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 300 Longest score a FG +105* vs Longest score a TD*
Fuckers. knew i was going to miss the release of it!!! Worst line ever. this thing should be about 44.5.
i'll join the self congrats theme!!!
keep this in mind for next time, assuming Brady doesn't retire, L4 games vs top 10 rush defenses (non div, those game are different) Brady avg ~50 attempts per game...yes, sometimes it is that easy.
keep this in mind for next time, assuming Brady doesn't retire, L4 games vs top 10 rush defenses (non div, those game are different) Brady avg ~50 attempts per game...yes, sometimes it is that easy.
I was going to post nice job but I see that you already took care of yourself
Guys, this is enough. I know I'm thru with this place. Besides checking in with my golf guys & CPech, this place has become like all the others.
Most (all) of you might not care whether I stay or not, but I know my feelings are the same as many others. They won't put up with this childish bs either.
Comments
i respect everyone's view on this game and wouldn't have started thread if I didn't. My take comes down to whom does belicheat want to put his SB chances in the hands of? Does he give the dope smoking, punch throwing (2X) playing on his 5th team in 5 years 30 carries and hope for the best? Or does he let the offense flow through his multi SB winning, future HOF QB?
Attempts up to 36.5 -145 OV
Not that the Market gets everything right, just saying a huge aspect of this matchup being missed.
GL
GL
I also don't think market agreement in low level prop limits, which the vast majority bet OVER everything, is anything of substance.
Good luck Sunday. Good thread to get people involved.
Hauschka under 8.5 points (-35)
It would take three fg's to beat me which is a lot for one game, or two fg's and three extra points, which is 27 points and I'm not expecting either team to score that many. I think there's a better chance of me winning both than losing both, and if I split, the juice I lose isn't that bad
Lines are from pinnacle about a half hour ago. 1 big odds play I played at heritage at the bottom. I think it's at 5 dimes as well.
M.Lynch 4752 Under 82.5 Rushing Yards +131
M.Lynch 4759 Over 19.5 Receiving Yards -119
4604 Russell Wilson vs Tom Brady +6 Completions +111
4614 Russell Wilson vs Tom Brady +8 Pass Attempts +113
R.Turbin 4769 Over 13.5 Rushing Yards -138
Russell Wilson 4657 Over 17.5 Completions -113
Russell Wilson 4659 Over 28.5 Pass Attempts -108
Russell Wilson 4669 Over 1.5 TD passes +106
Tom Brady 4506 Under 262.5 Yards -123
Tom Brady 4510 Under 36.5 Pass Attempts +131
Team to commit first turnover(fumble or INT) 5711 New England Patriots -108
Player to score 1st TD in game 5483 Shane Vereen +1576
Player to score 1st TD in game 5482 Russell Wilson +1418
Shane Vereen 4951 Over 38 Rush+Receiving Yds -137
Will Shane Vereen score a TD 4967 Yes +319
* at heritage
*432137 NE/SEA Yes(blocked punt in game) +726
NO - Will there be a defensive/ST TD -170
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 159 L.Blount rush attempts/. Over 14½*+110**
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 177 M.Lynch rushing yards/. Under 82½*+145**
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 5009 T.Brady yards of longest pass comp/. Under 37½*-130**
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 5155 J.Edelman a rush attempt -110* vs J.Edelman no rush attempt*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 5271 M.Hoomanawanui receiving yards ov 6½ -110* vs M.Hoomanawanui receiving yards un 6½*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 6056 M.Lynch no TD scored +135* vs M.Lynch scores a TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 6105 R.Turbin receiving yards over 8½ +135* vs R.Turbin receiving yards under 8½*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 6255 L.Willson scores a TD +230* vs L.Willson no TD scored*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1182 First TD rushing,defensive,spec.teams +117* vs First TD is receiving*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1755 No turnover in game +780* vs A lost fumble or an interception*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 2313 First score a safety +6000* vs Any other score first*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 352 SEA punts first -155* vs SEA scores first*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 530 Team to score last loses Superbowl +170* vs Team to score last wins Superbowl*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 977 M.Lynch grabs crotch after TD score +420* vs M.Lynch no TD or no crotch grab after TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm Props Football 4268 First kickoff not a touchback +140* vs First kickoff results in a touchback
Football - 426013 Yes (first kickoff touchback) -130 for Game
That's why it is called gambling suckas:
2/1/15 6:05pm* Props*Football* 912 National Anthem under 119.00 seconds +155* vs National Anthem over 119.00 seconds*
2/1/15 6:05pm* Props*Football* 913 National Anthem over 122.00 seconds +175* vs National Anthem under 122.00 seconds*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4056 SEA first TD is not passing +105* vs SEA first TD is passing*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4199 First 1st down gain on a run +160* vs First 1st down gain on a pass*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4297 Roughing the passer penalty called +145* vs No roughing the passer penalty called*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4304 SEA penalized for off or def holding 1st -110* vs NE penalized for off or def holding 1st*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 4309 Offsetting penalties called +220* vs Offsetting penalties do not occur*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1170 1st TD not rushing or passing +850* vs Offense scores first TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1172 First offensive play a pass / sack +110* vs First offensive play a rush*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1191 Any punt returns for TD +950* vs No punt returns for TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1406 No TD scored in 1st quarter +235* vs A TD scored in 1st quarter*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 341 NE converts a 4th down +125* vs NE no converted 4th down*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1033 Score in first 5:00 +175* vs No score in first 5:00*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 300 Longest score a FG +105* vs Longest score a TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 903 Coin toss lands tails -101* vs Coin toss lands heads*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 158 R.Wilson no interception thrown +120* vs R.Wilson throws an interception*
*
gl
boom
Blount to score first td +900
1 carry and wins the bet! Yeah!
boom
Congrats, I like your chances Boom, but I've seen some strange happenings in this NFL.
Winner before you got settled in
i'll join the self congrats theme!!!
keep this in mind for next time, assuming Brady doesn't retire, L4 games vs top 10 rush defenses (non div, those game are different) Brady avg ~50 attempts per game...yes, sometimes it is that easy.
I was going to post nice job but I see that you already took care of yourself
I believe that is a false statement.
Nonetheless, we are obliged to play our roles.
You talk, I post winners. Just what we do.
But I do plan on starting a thread that drills deeper than that. Should be fun and insightful, if we can pry some honest feedback out of BT members.
Most (all) of you might not care whether I stay or not, but I know my feelings are the same as many others. They won't put up with this childish bs either.