NHL puckline parlays correlation
D-ICEMAN1288
Junior Member
My local allows me to parlay -1 1/2 +1 1/2 pucklines to totals.The numbers are from Pinnacles.Todays game #51 Washington Capitol vs Carolina Hurrricane game.$100 parlay of Washington Capitols -1 1/2 +260 parlay to over 5 1/2 +123 would get back $696.#55 NJ Devils +1 1/2 -193 parlay to under 5 1/2 -123 gets back $171.I understand 5 1/2 is a key total for these correlations.Any members crush these years ago with information to fully exploit these +ev plays will be fully appreciated.Most +ev situations to look for?
Comments
Philadelphia 76ers/Detroit Pistons Total Points 12/6/2014 4:41:01PM
OVER 99 for 2nd Half -110
Detroit Pistons 12/6/2014 4:41:01PM
Spread -7 for 2nd Half -110
: Please click on the continue button, then make a different selection.
Correlation found on Philadelphia 76ers's game.
Philadelphia 76ers/Detroit Pistons Total Points 12/6/2014 4:41:01PM
UNDER 99 for 2nd Half -110
Philadelphia 76ers 12/6/2014 4:41:01PM
Spread +7 for 2nd Half -110
: Please click on the continue button, then make a different selection.
So do any of You know how and why this is correlated on a 2nd half NBA parlay ?? Because heritage seems to think it is and blocks the wagers
Home Team Controls Pace 190.1 Detroit
do you think that's enough to justify a contrasting pace for those 2 teams?
A customer support staff member has replied to your support request, #54665 with the following response:
This is the rule in regards to correlated plays in Basketball:
The generally applied parameters for a significantly correlated parlay in Basketball are as follows:
A) Full game total is less than twelve (12) times the full game spread.
First or Second Half total is less than fifteen (15) times the First or Second Half spread.
C) Quarter total is less than eighteen (18) times the Quarter spread.
In your case it is consider correlated since the spread is 8 x 15 makes it 120 which is a lot more than the total for the second half.
This was based on tonight's 2nd half NO vs Utah NO -8 u 101.5
Example
Cagliari vs Juventus
Win Probability 69.6% 20.2% 10.2%
Odds 1.25 4.50 8.00
Correct Odds 1.44 4.95 9.81
Edge -13.0% -9.1% -18.4%
TOTALS (2.5) Over Under
Win Probability 55.3% 44.7%
Odds 1.55 1.90
Correct Odds 1.81 2.24
Edge -14.3% -15.0%