Atlantis MLB Season Wins vs. Locals Season Wins
ericvanden
Senior Member
Hey guys
Could use some help although I am pretty sure on what to do. My local has roughly 12 MLB Season Win Totals that are different from the Atlantis. They range from 2 wins to 6 wins off. Am I pretty safe hitting all the Totals off by 3+ wins or is the Atlantis that soft with their openers? Any help would be greatly appreciated! There are 4 that are off by 4.5 Wins, thinking about max betting those. Thanks guys!
E
Could use some help although I am pretty sure on what to do. My local has roughly 12 MLB Season Win Totals that are different from the Atlantis. They range from 2 wins to 6 wins off. Am I pretty safe hitting all the Totals off by 3+ wins or is the Atlantis that soft with their openers? Any help would be greatly appreciated! There are 4 that are off by 4.5 Wins, thinking about max betting those. Thanks guys!
E
Comments
Houston 57.5
Minnesota 65.5
Kansas City 85.5
Cincinnati 87.5
What are the numbers from your local and which way are you leaning? I admit that 6 games off is a lot.
Stay away from Minnesota. They added 2 "starters". Yeah...that should help. Look at the projected starting line-up. Ugly. The Miracle might score more runs than the Twins.
Avoid the Twins at all costs.
Just my two cents worth.
W-L: 51-111
Pythagorian Expected W-L: 55-107
Record in 1 run games: 18-36
vs own division: 25-51
vs others: 26-60
They have hit rock bottom and I'm expecting their record to improve. Even though there are almost no known names on their roster. I would bet the over at Atlantis.
I believe they lost on their season totals last year isn't it? Which is a good thing for you.
Now I understand you.
Here is my explanation as to the numbers I just gave. Houston under performed their Pythagorian record by 4 wins. So this year, if they score and allow the same amount of runs, they might be at 55 wins if things normalize, and they might even get to 57 or 58 if they get a little bit more lucky in 1-run games where their record was 18-36. That's based on regressional expectations alone. A more in-depth look at their players/pitchers and their numbers can reveal more. They're still just in their second year in the AL, so indeed, 64 wins might be too much. I do like the amount of young talent they have though.
Yeah Im not trying to analyze the teams as much as I am trying to figure out if Atlantis post solid enough numbers to use as a reference point against a locals lines. Id think that if they've had onoy one losing season, that its a fairly strong indicator that it is. Seriously appreciate your input Obi. Just not sure how much edge Im getting. Locals lines will have changed before Pinny or Bookmaker open their openers. (not sure when that is)
2014 MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL REGULAR SEASON WINS
DIAMONDBACKS 80
BRAVES 87.5
ORIOLES 78
RED SOX 87.5
CUBS 68.5
WHITE SOX 77
REDS 83.5
INDIANS 80
ROCKIES 75.5
TIGERS 89.5
MARLINS 69.5
ASTROS 63.5
ROYALS 79.5
ANGELS 87.5
DODGERS 93.5
BREWERS 79.5
TWINS 71.5
METS 73.5
YANKEES 85.5
A'S 89
PHILLIES 76
PIRATES 84.5
PADRES 78.5
GIANTS 85.5
MARINERS 80.5
CARDINALS 91.5
RAYS 87.5
RANGERS 86.5
BLUE JAYS 79.5
NATIONALS 87.5
TeamTotal
Arizona Diamondbacks o80 (-115) u80 (-115) Atlanta Braves o87.5 (-115) u87.5 (-115) Baltimore Orioles o78.5 (-125) u78.5 (-105) Boston Red Sox o88 (-115) u88 (-115) Chicago Cubs o69 (-115) u69 (-115) Chicago White Sox o77 (-115) u77 (-115) Cincinnati Reds o83.5 (-115) u83.5 (-115) Cleveland Indians o80.5 (-115) u80.5 (-115) Colorado Rockies o76.5 (-115) u76.5 (-115) Detroit Tigers o89.5 (-115) u89.5 (-115) Houston Astros o64 (-115) u64 (-115) Kansas City Royals o80.5 (-120) u80.5 (-110) Los Angeles Angels o87.5 (-115) u87.5 (-115) Los Angeles Dodgers o93.5 (-115) u93.5 (-115) Miami Marlins o69.5 (-115) u69.5 (-115) Milwaukee Brewers o80 (-115) u80 (-115) Minnesota Twins o71 (-115) u71 (-115) New York Mets o73.5 (-115) u73.5 (-115) New York Yankees o86.5 (-115) u86.5 (-115) Oakland Athletics o89 (-115) u89 (-115) Philadelphia Phillies o76 (-115) u76 (-115) Pittsburgh Pirates o84 (-115) u84 (-115) San Diego Padres o79 (-115) u79 (-115) San Francisco Giants o86 (-115) u86 (-115) Seattle Mariners o81 (-115) u81 (-115) St Louis Cardinals o91 (-115) u91 (-115) Tampa Bay Rays o87.5 (-115) u87.5 (-115) Texas Rangers o86.5 (-115) u86.5 (-115) Toronto Blue Jays o79.5 (-115) u79.5 (-115) Washington Nationals o87.5 (-115) u87.5 (-115)