Betting Talk

Soccer Picks For February ...

luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
edited February 2011 in Sports Betting
I will post all of my soccer picks for the month of February in this thread ...

Good luck to all!

February - 1st:

Soccer - Netherlands - Eredivisie:
[2:00pm EDT] - Utrecht @ De Graafschap - Utrecht (+125)
[2:00pm EDT] - Utrecht @ De Graafschap - Over 2.5 Goals (-112)

Soccer - England - Premier League:
[2:45pm EDT] - Chelsea @ Sunderland - Chelsea (-130)
[3:00pm EDT] - Aston Villa @ Manchester United - Over 2.5 Goals (-148)
[3:00pm EDT] - Wigan @ West Brom - West Brom (-134)

Soccer - England - Championship:
[2:45pm EDT] - Swansea @ Bristol City - Swansea (+115)
[2:45pm EDT] - Leicester @ Sheffield UTD - Leicester (+113)

Soccer - England - League 1:
[2:45pm EDT] - Swindon @ Bournemouth - Bournemouth (-113)

Soccer - Italy - Serie A:
[2:45pm EDT] - Lazio @ AC Milan - AC Milan (-166)
[2:45pm EDT] - Lazio @ AC Milan - Over 2.5 Goals (-108)

* NOTE * - All of my soccer lines / picks come from 5 Dimes unless noted otherwise.
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Comments

  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    {5-5} Yesterday, Lets see if we can havea break-out day today!

    February - 2nd:

    Soccer - Brazil - Campeonato Carioca:
    [2:00pm EDT] - Americano Campos @ America RJ - America RJ (+111)
    [2:00pm EDT] - Cabofriense @ Madureira - Madureira (-138)

    Soccer - Brazil - Campeonato Paulista:
    [2:00pm EDT] - Noroeste @ Paulista - Paulista (-135)

    Soccer - Scotland - Premier League:
    [2:45pm EDT] - Dundee UTD @ Inverness CT - Dundee UTD (PK) (-133)

    Soccer - England - Premier League:
    [2:45pm EDT] - Manchester City @ Birmingham - Manchester City (-112)
    [3:00pm EDT] - West Ham @ Blackpool - West Ham (PK) (+130)

    Soccer - England - League 1:
    [2:45pm EDT] - MK Dons @ Bristol Rovers - Over 2.5 Goals (-118)

    Soccer - Italy - Serie A:
    [2:45pm EDT] - Napoli @ Chievo - Draw (+209)
    [2:45pm EDT] - Juventus @ Palermo - Palermo (+122)

    Soccer - South America - Copa Libertadores:
    [7:00pm EDT] - Corinthians @ Dep. Tolima - Corinthians (+130)
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Soccer picks currently 5-3-1 (count the PPD as a push, doesn't matter) with Corinthians pending ... Hopefully they can do their part to make us all some $ today!

    Within the 5 wins so far is a -138, -118, +111, +122, & +130 so not too bad, a shame Man City decided to give up their lead relatively late though :(
  • kass101kass101 Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Soccer picks currently 5-3-1 (count the PPD as a push, doesn't matter) with Corinthians pending ... Hopefully they can do their part to make us all some $ today!

    Within the 5 wins so far is a -138, -118, +111, +122, & +130 so not too bad, a shame Man City decided to give up their lead relatively late though :(

    That was a pretty weak penalty in the Man City game.
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Yep certainly not a good way to lose ....
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    February - 3rd:

    Soccer - England - Blue Square Premier:
    [2:45pm EDT] - Crawley @ Kettering - Crawley (-1) (-107)

    Soccer - Italy - Serie A:
    [2:45pm EDT] - Inter Milan @ Bari - Inter Milan (+103) {HT}

    Soccer - Portugal - Liga De Honra:
    [3:15pm EDT] - Feirense @ Freamunde - Feirense (+149)

    Soccer - Brazil - Campeonato Carioca:
    [4:30pm EDT] - Volta Redonda @ Vasco - Vasco (-1) (-116)

    Soccer - Brazil - Campeonato Paulista:
    [4:30pm EDT] - Sao Bernardo @ Bragantino - Bragantino (-111)
  • camarocamaro Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    what is the vasco score.....i can't find it....thanks
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    0-0 65th min

    Flashscore.com
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Yep not looking good ... all down hill after Inter decided to save all their offense for the 2nd half
  • francofranco Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Big card today. Are you going to end the week with some winners?
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    February - 4th:

    Soccer - France - National:
    [2:00pm EDT] - Frejus @ Creteil - Creteil (PK) (-134)

    Soccer - Netherlands - Eerste Divisie:
    [2:00pm EDT] - Emmen @ G.A. Eagles - G.A. Eagles (-130)
    [2:00pm EDT] - Veendam @ Roosendaal - Veendam (+153)

    Soccer - Germany - Bundesliga:
    [2:30pm EDT] - Schalke @ Dortmund - Schalke (+0.5) (+125)

    Soccer - Italy - Serie B:
    [2:45pm EDT] - Padova @ Reggina - Padova (+304)

    Franco - Hope so.
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    * A crappy February so far, but im grinding it out - have updated record late tonight *

    February - 5th:

    Soccer - Spain - La Liga:
    [12:00pm EDT] - Espanyol @ Almeria - Almeria (+156)

    Soccer - Italy - Serie A:
    [12:00pm EDT] - Sampdoria @ Udinese - Udinese (-1) (+104)
    [2:45pm EDT] - Juventus @ Cagliari - Juventus (PK) (-119)

    Soccer - France - National:
    [12:00pm EDT] - Bastia @ Strasbourg - Bastia (+157)

    Soccer - England - League 1:
    [12:20pm EDT] - Southampton @ Peterborough - Over 3 Goals (-133)

    Soccer - Germany - Bundesliga:
    [12:30pm EDT] - Stuttgart @ Moenchengladbach - Over 2.5 Goals (-151)

    Soccer - England - Premier League:
    [12:30pm EDT] - Manchester UTD @ Wolves - Manchester UTD (-107) {HT}
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Alright for those who were brave enough to follow, my soccer picks have finished the day 5-2 hitting {-151, -133, -119, +104, & +156} lines! :)

    Will post updated February and final January record later tonight and may also have a play in the Australia A-League for February 6th, late tonight as well (still looking it over).
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    * May not get around to updating record till Monday *

    February - 6th:

    Soccer - Australia - A-League:
    [1:00am EDT] - Sydney @ Newcastle - Sydney (+139)
    [1:00am EDT] - Sydney @ Newcastle - Under 2.5 Goals (-123)
    [4:00am EDT] - Gold Coast @ Perth - Gold Coast (+107)
    [4:00am EDT] - Gold Coast @ Perth - Under 2.5 Goals (-118)

    * Probably add more picks in the morning *
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    February - 6th:

    * Added Picks {2-2 in the A-League this morning} *

    Soccer - Portugal - Portuguese Liga:
    [11:00am EDT] - Beira Mar @ Academica - Academica (+119)

    Soccer - Portugal - Liga De Honra:
    [11:00am EDT] - Moreirense @ Estoril - Estoril (+112)

    Soccer - France - Ligue 1:
    [11:00am EDT] - Lille @ Auxerre - Auxerre (+287)

    Soccer - Belgium - Jupiler League:
    [12:00pm EDT] - Lokeren @ Germinal - Germinal (PK) (-118)

    Soccer - Brazil - Campeonato Paulista:
    [2:00pm EDT] - Corinthians @ Palmeiras - Over 2.5 Goals (+103)
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    February - 8th:

    Soccer - International - Friendly:
    [12:00pm EDT] - Sweden @ Cyprus - Sweden (-103)
    [1:00pm EDT] - Mali @ Ivory Coast - Ivory Coast (-1) (-104)
    [1:30pm EDT] - Ukraine @ Romania - Ukraine (+140)
    [2:45pm EDT] - Wales @ Ireland - Ireland (-146)
    [3:30pm EDT] - Panama @ Peru - Peru (-1) (-101)

    Soccer - England - Johnstone's Paint Trophy:
    [2:45pm EDT] - Carlisle @ Huddersfield - Over 2.5 Goals (-145)

    Soccer - England - League 1:
    [2:45pm EDT] - Swindon @ Leyton - Over 2.5 Goals (-124)
    [2:45pm EDT] - Bristol Rovers @ Rochdale - Rochdale (-130)
    [2:45pm EDT] - Bristol Rovers @ Rochdale - Over 2.5 Goals (-126)
  • Deli314Deli314 Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Do you have a favorite among the International's other than Sweden of course?
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Sorry Deli just saw this now .... My favorite is Sweden :)

    For real if I had to choose an International I like best it would be Peru -1 ... If I had to pick a favorite overall I like Swindon @ Leyton - Over 2.5 Goals (-124) the best.

    Good luck!
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Soccer picks finish the day 6-1-2, hopefully I was able to make you guys some $! :)
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    February - 9th:

    Soccer - International - Friendly:
    [2:00pm EDT] - Bulgaria @ Estonia - Bulgaria (-146)
    [2:15pm EDT] - England @ Denmark - Draw (+112) {HT}
    [2:30pm EDT] - Norway @ Poland - Draw (+107) {HT}
    [2:30pm EDT] - Finland @ Belgium - Belgium (-1) (-107)
    [2:30pm EDT] - Switzerland @ Malta - Over 3 Goals (-105)
    [2:30pm EDT] - Austria @ Netherlands - Over 2.5 Goals (-148)
    [2:45pm EDT] - Italy @ Germany - Germany (-135)
    [3:00pm EDT] - Portugal @ Argentina - Argentina (+140)
    [3:00pm EDT] - Portugal @ Argentina - Over 2.5 Goals (+103)

    * Deli - I may be gone for a few minutes so just in case, my "favorite" would be Belgium (-1) (-107); not sure if you played both "favorites" yesterday but they went 1-0-1 if you did*
  • Deli314Deli314 Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Luv, thanks, i took Sweden in ESPN streak for cash so at least it wasnt such a waste and jumped on your Ireland pick! Nice day yesterday
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Soccer let down today ... Soccer picks go 4-5 but hitting both the side and total in the Argentina at least helped to minimize some of the damage.
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    February - 11th:

    Soccer - Germany - Bundesliga 2:
    [2:30pm EDT] - Duisburg @ Augsburg - Under 2.5 Goals (-125)

    Soccer - Argentina - Premiera Division:
    [5:00pm EDT] - Newells Old Boys @ Estudiantes - Estudiantes (-1) (-107)

    Soccer - Uruguay - Primera Division:
    [5:00pm EDT] - Club Nacional @ Fenix - Over 2.5 Goals (-137)
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    My soccer picks have finished the day 2-0-1! Hope I was able to make you guys some $! :)
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    luv,

    Thanks, put your 3 plays, + 2 of my own in Holland, and Miami ML. I took Estudiantes ML (-168) rather than -1 goal. Just waiting of Heat win for 9-1 pay-off (yes, I have hedged looking for a middle. Gladly settle for 6.5/7-1)

    Regards,
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Nice! i will be rooting them in for you! Glad I could help!
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    luv,

    If you get a chance could you look at the Palermo/Fiorentina game in Serie A, Sunday morning 6:30am? I really like Palermo in this game and can't quite understand the line Palermo (-125) Fiorentina (+432) Draw (+262)...Palermo is a very good home side, Fiorentina hasn't won away, yet has drawn 6 of 12 away. Yet if that line is based on a high likelyhood of a draw, it would in the (+215) range.

    Any thoughts would be appreciated.

    Regards,
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    February - 12th:

    Soccer - Germany - Bundesliga:
    [9:30am EDT] - Freiburg @ Schalke - Schalke (-138)
    [9:30am EDT] - Nurnberg @ Stuttgart - Nurnberg (+0.5) (+106)
    [9:30am EDT] - Hamburger @ Wolfsburg - Wolfsburg (PK) (-117)

    Soccer - England - Premier League:
    [10:00am EDT] - Stoke @ Birmingham - Birmingham (+168)
    [10:00am EDT] - West Ham @ West Brom - West Ham (+0.5) (+109)
    [10:00am EDT] - West Ham @ West Brom - Over 2.5 Goals (-132)
    [10:00am EDT] - Newcastle @ Blackburn - Blackburn (+131)

    Soccer - England - Championship:
    [10:00am EDT] - Preston @ Hull - Hull (-151)
    [12:20pm EDT] - Leicester @ Derby - Leicester (+119)

    Soccer - Netherlands - Eredivisie:
    [2:45pm EDT] - PSV @ Alkmaar - PSV (PK) (-129)
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Dragon -

    Fiorentina {11th in the table} @ Palermo {5th in the table} -

    Yep I see what you are saying. Palermo is (8-2-2) at home this season; outscoring opponents 23-10. While Fiorentina is acutally a surprising IMO (0-6-6) on the road, being outscored 8-15! With their home/away records aside Palermo is in much better form having won 3 of their last 4 in the Serie A and their 1 defeat was a 3-2 loss away to Inter. The opposite can be said for Fiorentina who has only won 1 of their last 4 (a 1-0 home win against Genoa).

    Last time these two played was back in early October, at Artemio Franchi and Palermo was able to get the 2-1 away victory. The only thing that I would be concerned about would be the possibility of a draw. I would expect Fiorentina to play back giving most of the possession to Palermo and looking to play a very tight game. Fiorentina are not exactly known as a counter-attacking team so I do not see them getting the ball forward to often. Fiorentina have drawn 4 of their last 6 away games vs (Juventus, Bologona, Napoli, Parma) so they can certainly lock things down and grab a draw. But going on home / away record and current form I can see placing a bet on Palermo (-121) to win. The draw maybe be so high (+259) because even though Fiorentina has drawn on the road a bunch recently Palermo is still a better team and a much better team at home compared to Fiorentina away, so they give draw a nod but not a big nod. If your lines posted for this match are from 5 Dimes like mine are then it looks like there has been some money come in on the draw, since your post and mine.

    Hope this helps! Good luck!
  • DragonswirlDragonswirl Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    luv,

    That's my analysis precisely.

    It is the draw (+259) which confuses me. IF the line is respecting Fiorintins'a draw propensity that number should be (+220ish). The draw number's in Serie A this round have 6 draws priced between (+213-+227), Chievo/Cagliari (+199...2 strong draw sides), and Parma/Milan (+378...that high number gives credit to Milans high likelyhood of winning); Lecee/Canania (+248...2 relegation battlers with Catania decent at home, Lecce poor away). It seems (+259) is distinctly dismissing the draw, so WHY is Palermo only (-121) to win?

    I think Palermo (-121) is a gift, OR Draw (+259) is a gift. AND the Man rarely gives gifts. I think a more appropriate line is Palermo (-150ish), and Draw (+220).

    Thanks,
  • luvthemoneyluvthemoney Senior Member
    edited February 2011
    Well I kind of expect that by tomorrow morning shortly before kick off that the lines will be closer to how you think they should ... after todays results people in Europe will start to look at the games tomorrow and prices will move. I know from personal experience that I really loved a line that was like +130 the night before but I decided to go to sleep instead and then when I woke up to place the bet it was like -115 and I was like, wow I missed that ... so there is still time to that Palermo -121 to move to -150, but I think that Palermo is decent value for right now. Good luck!
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