Key's NBA Line Thursday 4-1-10
KeyElement
Banned
Dallas, +2, 196
Denver, +1, 197
Denver, +1, 197
KeyElement
Banned
Comments
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ChaseG, I really don't know why you bother yourself with this thread as you have overwhelming faith in huge favorites. Of course that is your choice, but I too would like to see the Knicks +20 in all or any of their road games. Going into last night the highest they had been all season was +12.5 and compiled an 8-3 ATS overall record and 7-3 ATS on the road. The two conference leaders, highly respected as probably the best teams in the league, are Cleveland and LA Lakers, who are 11-16 and 6-14 ATS as double digit favorites. Playing on double digit favorites in the NBA is financial suicide and playing on double digit dogs is a gold mine, so please let me know when you find a book that makes a -20 line on an NBA game.
how do you question any of Key's picks after they lose? if you don't like his pick go the other way. it's your money you make the decision but don't ask the guy why after he came up with a certain POD after he loses. you think he likes losing? from the plays i've seen (although a smallish sample) if you've been on Key's POD you're winning. plus if you know that the blazers win 90% of these kind of games .... you should have made a nice score last nite!
Additionally, I subscribe to a service where I have usually not been able to get the published line by anywhere from 1/2 to 3 pts. but regardless I have still profitted. Nevertheless, it is clear to me that I would have done better if it were not for the 1/2 to 3 points.
Like I said, you love your big favorites, go play them
While I agree it's certainly better to question a play before the game, I don't see anything wrong with questioning a bet after the game provided it's done in a constructive manor. Most successful bettors/cappers I know question their bets after the game. Nothing wrong with post-game analysis.
As usual, this is a general comment and not meant to specifically address you, Key, or Chase.
In this case, yes, I think Chase could phrase his posts better in order to make them more productive. However, that doesn't mean he shouldn't feel free to question a pick after-the-fact.
I respectfully disagree, the reasoning for the play was CLEARLY stated well before the game. This sour grapes questioning is total bullshit on Chase's part. If he liked the other side before the game then he should have played the other side. If he played Key's selection then he played it because Key gave him a complete explanation of why he liked the game. It was Chase's opportunity to question that reasoning prior to the game, not after.