Betting Talk

Friday Picks

Big DogBig Dog Banned
edited September 2009 in Sports Betting
<!--StartFragment -->Posted Picks (All Sports) for 2009: 227-155-6 for Plus 58.8 units
MLB Picks for 2009: 155-103-4 for Plus 30.7 units
WNBA Picks for 2009: 23-15-1 for Plus 8.9 units
NFL Picks for 2009: 18-5 for Plus 18.8 units
NCAAF Picks for 2009: 11-8 for Plus 4.3 units

Last Results:
Dodgers Over Washington ML Won 0.5 units
Dodgers Over Washington RL Lost 0.475 units
Boston Over K.C. RL Won 1.0 units

NCAAF:
So. Carolina + 4 1/2 Over Ole Miss Won 1.0 units
So. Carolina vs Ole Miss Over 51 1/2 lost 1.1 units
2nd half
Ole Miss -3 Over S. Carolina lost 1.1 units

Well Brians, not a bad day yesterday but it cold have been really good if I had not messed up. First, your calculator has done well this year and it seems most times you have a pick rated 4 or higher, it wins. Yesterday, you had Boston rated a 10, the highest rating I remember and I posted it for only 1 unit because I've been keeping our risk low by playing only one unit on run lines. Then, I tried to middle the NCAAF game. Sometimes I out smart myself.
I like a lot of MLB games today and am anxious to see if your calculator agrees with any of them.

The new goal for our Money Management Line System is to win 100 units by the end of the year and the current lines are as follows:
.5, .5, .5, 5, .5, .5, 5, .5, .5, 5, .5, .5, 5, .5, .5, 5, .5, .5, .5, .5, 5, .5, .5, .5
.8, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, .8, .7, 0.8, 0.8, 0.9, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 1.2, 1.1, 1.2, 1.6, 1.7, 1.1, 1.1, 1.7, 1.7, 1.2

Suggested MLB Picks for today:
Braves Over Washington
Dodgers Over Pirates
Toronto Over Seattle
Florida Over Mets
Angles Over Oakland
Giants Over Cubs

Record of Picks (All Sports) Posted Since Joining Forum in May of 2007
582-395-19 (59%) for Plus 342.5 Units
Silver Bullet Picks for 2009: 5-0 for Plus 9 Units

Good Luck !

Comments

  • jrballard72jrballard72 Senior Member
    edited September 2009
    I have been following you for a short period of time so i'm sure you have explained this in previous posts but i was just wondering if you only play favorites or if i've just been tailing for too short of a time to know. Thanks and keep up the great capping.
  • Big DogBig Dog Banned
    edited September 2009
    I have been following you for a short period of time so i'm sure you have explained this in previous posts but i was just wondering if you only play favorites or if i've just been tailing for too short of a time to know. Thanks and keep up the great capping.
    Good Question. I've been asked this before but probably good to answer it again. I look for the teams that I think have the best chance of wininng. These are usually favorites but not always. In MLB, a lot of our run lines are + juice and therefore considered dogs. And, last night's South Carolina pick was a +4 1/2 dog. Matter of fact, I take the dogs and + points with a lot of NCAAF and NFL games.
    Hope this answers your question.
  • jrballard72jrballard72 Senior Member
    edited September 2009
    Thanks, I just noticed it with the MLB selections and i definately don't doubt your method since you have the record to back it up. Thanks
  • briansbrians Banned
    edited September 2009
    Been A Little Lazy Today

    So Now I Have To Do Some Crameing

    Be Back Soon
  • refaholic10refaholic10 Senior Member
    edited September 2009
    <table class="datatable" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th class="headergrey" colspan="15">Projected Umpires for 9/25/2009</th> </tr><tr><th class="header2" colspan="3">Home Plate Umpire</th> <th class="header2" colspan="2">Scoring</th> <th class="header2" colspan="5">Home Team Record</th> <th class="header2" colspan="5">Average Game Stats</th> </tr><tr><th class="header1" width="80" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Game</th><th class="header1" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">OU</th><th class="header1" width="80" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Umpire</th><th class="header1" width="35" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Home</th><th class="header1" width="35" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Road</th><th class="header1" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">W/L</th><th class="header1" width="40" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Units</th><th class="header1" width="40" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Ov/Un</th><th class="header1" width="40" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Ov %</th><th class="header1" width="40" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">Un %</th><th class="header1" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">AVG</th><th class="header1" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">ERA</th><th class="header1" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">WHIP</th><th class="header1" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">BB</th><th class="header1" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">SO</th></tr><tr class="cell1"> <td>ATL at WAS</td><td align="right">8</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell2"> <td>LA at PIT</td><td align="right">9</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell1"> <td>NYM at FLO</td><td align="right">9</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell2"> <td>CIN at HOU</td><td align="right">9</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell1"> <td>PHI at MIL</td><td align="right">8.5</td><td>B KNIGHT</td><td align="right">4.8</td><td align="right">5.3</td><td align="right">17-16</td><td align="right"> <table width="90%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#dc1414"><td><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="cell1" align="center">-1.0</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td> <td align="right"> 17-15</td> <td align="right"> 53.1%</td> <td align="right"> 46.9%</td> <td align="right"> 0.276</td> <td align="right"> 4.8</td> <td align="right"> 1.5</td> <td align="right"> 7.3</td> <td align="right"> 13.6</td></tr><tr class="cell2"> <td>STL at COL</td><td align="right">8.5</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell1"> <td>SDG at ARI</td><td align="right">9</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell2"> <td>CHC at SFO</td><td align="right">7</td><td>G DAVIS</td><td align="right">5.4</td><td align="right">4.5</td><td align="right">18-14</td><td align="right"> <table width="90%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr bgcolor="green"><td><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="cell2" align="center">+0.6</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td> <td align="right"> 13-16</td> <td align="right"> 44.8%</td> <td align="right"> 55.2%</td> <td align="right"> 0.261</td> <td align="right"> 4.6</td> <td align="right"> 1.4</td> <td align="right"> 7.2</td> <td align="right"> 12.8</td></tr><tr class="cell1"> <td>SEA at TOR</td><td align="right">7.5</td><td>J LAYNE</td><td align="right">3.8</td><td align="right">4.3</td><td align="right">18-13</td><td align="right"> <table width="90%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr bgcolor="green"><td><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="cell1" align="center">+1.3</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td> <td align="right"> 11-17</td> <td align="right"> 39.3%</td> <td align="right"> 60.7%</td> <td align="right"> 0.245</td> <td align="right"> 3.9</td> <td align="right"> 1.3</td> <td align="right"> 6.6</td> <td align="right"> 14.1</td></tr><tr class="cell2"> <td>BOS at NYY</td><td align="right">9</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell1"> <td>BAL at CLE</td><td align="right">10</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell2"> <td>TAM at TEX</td><td align="right">9</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell1"> <td>MIN at KAN</td><td align="right">8.5</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell2"> <td>DET at CHW</td><td align="right">9</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr><tr class="cell1"> <td>OAK at LA </td><td align="right">9</td><td colspan="13" align="center">Umpire information is NOT AVAILABLE for this game</td></tr></tbody></table>
  • stepbystepstepbystep Senior Member
    edited September 2009
    Big Dog,

    What do you think of the Missouri/Nevada game? I think Mizzu can easily cover the 7 points. Last year it was a rout and Mizzu has started well this year. Not in conference play yet.

    Also I´ve been following you since I joined last month. One of my favorite and most trusted threads....
    I would lik to learn more about your Money Management System.... still can´t follow it ... don´t really understand how it works... but looks like a great tool.

    I´d like to contribute as often as I can...


    Thx,

    Step
    Step
  • Big DogBig Dog Banned
    edited September 2009
    Thanks Step. I plan to check that game later this afternoon.
    I've explained my line system in the past and you can search my posts if you have time. But, I'll explain it again before the end of the year. For what it's based on, you can search the net for "cancellation system" and find lots of articles.
    And, your input will be welcome in this thread.
  • briansbrians Banned
    edited September 2009
    aTLANT A 3
    LAD 3
    PHILLY2
    ST LOUIS 4
    TORONTO 2
    BOSTON 2
    TWINS 3
    T BAY 2
  • Big DogBig Dog Banned
    edited September 2009
    Thanks very much Brians. Here are our picks for today plus a low juice money line.

    Braves Over Washington ML 0.9 to win 0.6
    Braves Over Washington RL 0.6 to win 0.6

    Dodgers Over Pirates RL 1.2 to win 1.0 units

    Cleveland Over Baltimore ML 1.3 to win 1.2 units



    Ok, now off to look at tonight's football game.

    Good Luck !
  • Big DogBig Dog Banned
    edited September 2009
    Here is the NCAAF pick I'm playing tonight.

    Missouri -7 Over Nevada 2.2 to win 2.0 units

    Good Luck !
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