1500* - Portland Trail Blazers, 500*s - Milwaukee w/Gallardo over Paulino, Detroit w/Porcello over G
I think Game One's 108-81 romp by the Rockets has skewed the thinking in this series just a little. Portland battled hard in Game Two, and scratched out the 4-point win but no cover as the 6-point favorite.
I expect a similar style game tonight in Houston, as I see Portland staying close to Houston all the way in this one, with the game being decided late by a basket or two tops.
The Blazers have covered 7 of their last 9 on the road this year, and while, and they have been able to split the last 4 against the spread on Houston's hardwood.
I don't doubt for a minute that this is a bad matchup long haul for the upstart Blazers, but Houston does have a history of not making it out of the 1st round, so look for the points to work in this one tonight.
Take Portland in what should be a closely played, hotly-contested affair.
1500♦ - Portland Trail Blazers
On the diamond I like the way Milwaukee is pitching and hitting right now, and I expect their good fortune to continue tonight in Houston.
The Astros were cooled down in yesterday's 2-0 loss to the Dodgers, and now they face a Milwaukee team that took the last pair in Philly, and have won 3 of their last 4 overall.
Yovani Gallardo has been tough on the road early this year, going 1-0 in his 2 roadies, allowing 2 runs in 13 innings of work. Gallardo also went 2-0 back in 2007 against Houston, without allowing an earned run in 15 frames of work!
Felipe Paulino is coming off 6 shutout frames in his debut 5 days ago, but can he duplicate that effort?
I don't think so!
Milwaukee is 21-12 versus Houston the last 2 seasons, and they get them again tonight.
Take the Brewers.
500♦ - Milwaukee w/Gallardo over Paulino
♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦
American League, and Zach Greinke has to give up a run(s) sometime, doesn't he?
Greinke has been lights-out this April, but he is matched against an up-n-comer in Rick Porcello who notched his 1st big league win in his last start at Seattle.
Detroit is 11-7 the last 2 seasons at Kauffman Stadium, and the price on this game is absolutely perfect for a play on the "live" dog.
Geinke has been great, but tonight's line is inflated, and the Tigers do have some sticks in that lineup that are capable of putting up a few runs.
Take Detroit in the underdog role.
500♦ - Detroit w/Porcell over Greinke
♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
906 FLA (-135) SportBet vs 905 PHI
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSO*NAL PLAY **
JOHNSON over Myers...SPORTBET.com Using -130 !!
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
913 SFG (-120) SportBet vs 914 ARI
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
922 BOS (-135) SportBet vs 921 NYY
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
LESTER over Chamberlain
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
929 SEA (-120) SportBet vs 930 ANA
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
BEDARD over Loux...SPORTBET.com Using -115 !!
vegas-runner
triple-dime bet
514 DET 5.5 (-110) Bodog vs 513 CLE
Analysis:
*** NBA PLAYO?FFS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
PLEASE...Wait on this Bet...CRIS, BETUS ,BODOG, ect...have all gone to 5.5, and the Majority of Public Bettors still haven't pulled the trigger on the Cavs...Which they certainly will...That may force the books to adjust this Line to 6...Which is by far the Biggest "KEY" Number in the NBA...
My line shows that this number is already 3pts too high...considering it's a Playoff Game...And the Cleveland bandwagon continues to grow, which the books are well aware of...That's the reason that they are forcing bettors to pay such a premium to back them...And their plan is working, as bettors can't seem to get enough of the Cavs, regardless the number...
We'll go ahead and grab the Points...in a game we may very well see a ML Winner for Detroit...But with that said, we always look to get the best of it...and if we can get this bet down at +6, then we are getting even more the best of it...than at +5.5...VR
Take Cleveland minus the points tonight in Detroit.
In what is the easiest call of the night I love the Cavaliers as they bury the Pistons tonight in game three of this series. After all given the pair of double digit wins for Cleveland to start this series it is very clear that Detroit just does not match up to the Cavaliers. In fact once you factor in that Cleveland has won the last 5 series meeting, while covering 4 of those 5 games is very clear that Cleveland is just better then Detroit. Well given the plethora of losing number Detroit currently has of 5 straight loses, 0-6 ATS in their last six games and a losing 2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall games I just dont see any miracle win tonight for the Pistons. Not when Cleveland is playing very well right now by winning and covering 7 of their last 8 games, including winning both games in this series by an average of 15 points per game. Bottom line I see nothing short of a Cleveland blowout tonight as the Cavaliers lay the foundation for a series sweep tonight. Take Cleveland minus the road chalk as they win by double digits once again.
All Cleveland!
200♦ Florida Marlins
Go with the Marlins tonight over the Phillies for a few reasons. First is I like the Marlins returning home where they are a solid 5-1 so far this season. Reason number two throwing tonight for Florida is Johnson who 2-0 with a 2.91 ERA in three starts has been close perfect this season. Meanwhile, for the Phillies its hard seeing them winning given their losing 6-8 record and the fact they are going with Myers who carries in a 5 plus ERA into tonight. Even better its the Phillies who 5-16 in the last 21 games Myers has against Florida. So sticking with the numbers I say take the Marlins at home tonight as they bounce back with an easy home win after being swept in Pittsburgh last series out.
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
517 POR 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 518 HOU
Analysis:
** NBA 2* PLAYOFF PERSONAL PLAY **
BODOG Using +6.5 ...Very KEY Number in NBA !!
vegas-runner
triple-dime bet
517 POR / 518 HOU Under 184.5 Bodog
Analysis:
*** NBA PLAYOFFS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
BODOG Using 185 !!
HENCE FORTH I WILL ONLY CALL HIM THE BLOOMING IDIOT
HE TALKS ABOUT ALL GAMES, HERES SOME OF HIS RAMBLINGS ON
baseball board is busy! marlins very popular, but price isnt right for me maybe look to the total in that one, &mets in all public parlays
half a minute ago from mobile web but u have to get the best numbers , esp on Totals, so make sure u get the best and increase your win % !! thats how guys like me make $$
8 minutes ago from mobile web last nights free play on the under in jazz game wasa winner, and i think at least 2 of these NBA games go under 2nite as well,
9 minutes ago from mobile web fridays not bets days for baseball, sats and sun, much better lines to get paid on, but tourists here driving some wrong way,
13 minutes ago from mobile web i bet some baseball at another book, after cashing a bet i made the last nite, im looking to ad maybe onbe more in baseball late ,
14 minutes ago from mobile web there has been a stream of smart $ bets all day at all books, on 76ers, i bet em to win series, so i have 2 agree with that move
17 minutes ago from mobile web i think the under in that game is the bettor bet, but if line gets to 7 im looking at pistons as well
19 minutes ago from mobile web of course the most poular bet in NBA tonite is "the cavs" public $ and some smart guys too, but my money is Not on cle, not in this spot
20 minutes ago from mobile web in the NBA i have a major bet going tonite, that i will be betting MORE on.. and one sat, The rest of Big $ bettors waiting to bet in 1 hr 2
21 minutes ago from mobile web its friday and that means there are lots of bad bets and bad $ being thrown around on the strip !! haha
23 minutes ago from mobile web im back on the vegas strip !! one of the biggest sportsbooks here, and its getting busy here!
26 minutes ago from mobile web baseball 2-1 last night with nice win on Angels + $$, u can get NBA bets free thru June, if you are serious bettor, http://tiny.cc/FBJ700
about 4 hours ago from web im looking at a big $ bet in baseball, one $$ bet NBA tonite, last nites freebie won, get on the list for tonite, at http://tiny.cc/FBJ700
about 6 hours ago from web im going to a strip casino where i can bet a larger limit, i hope the line doesnt move too much before i get there,2nites game will be $ too
about 6 hours ago from web i just bet a large sum on an NBA game for Saturday, line is off by 4 to 6 points , much like last nights play on the UNDER in Utah, call me
NBA
2 Star Selection
DETROIT (+5 1/2) over Cleveland
24-Apr-09 04:05 PM Pacific Time
The Pistons were thoroughly dominated in the first 2 games of this series in Cleveland, but that certainly doesnt mean theyll be dominated tonight at home. Teams that lose the first 2 games of a series by a combined 30 points or more are actually 13-4 straight up and 16-1 ATS in game 3 at home since 2004. That includes last years 72-108 loss by Cleveland at Washington after the Cavs won the first two games by a combined 37 points. You may also remember how last years top team, the Celtics, won games 1 and 2 against Atlanta by 23 points and 19 points and then lost straight up 93-102 as an 8 ½ point road favorite in game 3. Cleveland is 33-15 ATS in all playoff games in the LeBron James era, but the Cavs are just 1-5 ATS in those games if they are coming off consecutive wins and a playoff win of 10 points or more in their last game so this would be the game that the Cavaliers let up. Detroit has been horrible at home this season (13-28 ATS), but using their home games (with Rasheed Wallace playing) against Clevelands road games yields a line of Cavs by 4 points and using all games (home or road) gives me a fair price of 3 points in this game. Detroit also applies to the same 57-20-3 ATS playoff situation that applied to both Dallas and Utah last night and Ill take Detroit in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more.
2-Stars at +4 or more. (if you have +5, then you should wait for the line to go to +5 1/2)
Opinion
Orlando (-3 ½) over PHILADELPHIA
24-Apr-09 05:05 PM Pacific Time
The 76ers were lucky to split their two games in Orlando considering that they were down by 18 points in each game, and their 100-98 game 1 win was a function of 3-point shooting variance (Philly made 58% to Orlandos 28% from 3 point range in game 1). Philadelphias 3-point shooting returned to normal in game 2 (31% is barely above what was expected), but Orlando (a 38% 3-point shooting team for the season) made only 6 of 23 long range shots (26%) in game 2. The Magic have outscored the Sixers by 7 points in this series despite making just 11 of their 41 3-point shots (27%) while the 76ers, the NBAs worst 3-pint shooting team at 32% for the season, has made 43% of their 3-pointers. Orlando has proven themselves to be the far superior team in this series and only 3-point shooting variance has kept them from winning by double-digits in each game. Road favorites or picks are 11-3 ATS in game 3 of a best of 7 series if they did not win both games 1 and 2 and I expect Orlando to reclaim the home court advantage in this series (as long as the 3-point percentages are close to normal for each team). Philadelphia is still just 2-12 straight up and 4-10 ATS against the leagues top 4 teams (Lakers, Cavs with James playing, Celtics and Magic), including 0-7 straight up and 1-6 ATS at home. Orlando, meanwhile, is 21-6-1 ATS in road games when not favored by 6 points or more (excluding their final week road losses at NJ and Milw when they sat their starters) and they won and covered both games in Philly. My ratings favor Orlando by only 2 ½ points, so the line is a bit high, but the situation is favorable and Ill consider Orlando a Strong Opinion at -4 or less and Id take the Magic in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less.
Opinion
Portland (+6) over HOUSTON
24-Apr-09 06:35 PM Pacific Time
The Rockets out-played the Blazers in the first 2 games, winning by 27 points in game 1 and losing by just 4 points in game 2, but my ratings favor Houston by just 5 points in this game and the situation actually slightly favors the Blazers. Ill lean with Portland at +5 or more.
texting out my personal bets for later NBA, and baseball, u can get on list, at http://tiny.cc/FBJ700, lets win again 2nite
11 minutes ago from mobile web pistons definately worth a look +6 or + 6.5 the smart $$ is on em and i say its an under as well.
13 minutes ago from mobile web i have e good plays on the west coast that will get the money instead, BTW, pistons up to +6 now here in NBA
14 minutes ago from mobile web will jabba and the yanks circle the wagons and beat the red sox? all the money says red sox get it tonite, but im not betting it,
16 minutes ago from mobile web in the AL , i hear the twins are happy to be out of boston!! so expect em to play well tonite in cleveland, and twins getting action here
23 minutes ago from mobile web astros paulino get some smart $ bet on him, land astros +1.5 at home can be be a good one
40 minutes ago from mobile web better bet is nats +1.5 +110, rather than mets on RL, but i found better games to bet anyway, so y bother with this one
30 DIMER - DETROIT TIGERS (Porcello over Greinke)....10 DIMERS - CAVS & BLAZERS
30 DIMER - DETROIT TIGERS (Porcello over Greinke)
No one in the bigs has pitched better than Zach Grienke of the KC Royals, as Greinke has won ALL 3 of his starts, and has not allowed a run to score in any of his starts.
You know the G-Man just loves situations like this, as you know damn well that sooner or later, Greinke is going to give up a few runs, and I feel tonight is the night it happens!
Both teams are 8-7, but it is Detroit that has gone 11-7 the last 2 years in games played at Kansas City.
Oh, and by the way, the Tigers youngster Rick Porcello showed what he is capable of doing at this level, as he stymied the Seattle Mariners in Seattle, working 7 innings while allowing just 1 run to score for his 1st big league win his last time out!
I am not saying Greinke is going to get bombed, but at this price, you HAVE TO play the underdog Tigers, as they do have the better overall hitters, and chances are they are going to break through, and scuff up Zach just enough to post the win.
10 DIMER - CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
The once-feared Pistons are dying a slow death, and tonight they will be put to the brink of elimination, as Cleveland deals them the "death blow" with a big win, and cover at the Auburn Palace.
Cleveland has won 5 straight now over Detroit, and they have covered in 4 of those 5. The Cavs do not like the Pistons, and vice-versa, so I would expect Cleveland to come out for blood this evening since the rest of the Eastern Conference playoffs appear to be going to go on a little longer than this series might.
The Cavs want some rest in between series', and that means they must put the dagger in the Pistons heart in this one.
Expect it to happen, as Detroit has now lost 5 in a row, and 8 of their last 11 straight up, and have failed 6 straight against the spread.
Cavs take it!
10 DIMER - PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
Going to go against the grain in this one, as I feel sure the public will jump on the Rockets in this home game, especially after the way Houston blew out the Blazers in Game One at the Rose Garden.
Portland was able to fight back and win Game Two, but did not cover as the favorite. Look for a similar game to develop tonight, as I have a feeling the Blazers who have covered 7 of their last 9 on the road are going to keep this one tight for the full 4 quarters.
Keep in mind Houston has had trouble escaping the 1st round of the postseason for a long, long time, and that collar gets awfully tight when you are expected to deliver.
Take the points, as the young Blazers prove sticky tonight for the Rockets.
Today's Complimentary Selection
Well, here we go once again, the annual Yankees-Red Sox rivalry renews tonight at Fenway Park, and both team come in sporting winning streaks. New York has captured 3 in a row, while Boston has won 7 in a row to improve to 7-2 this season at home.
G-Man will back Boston on their home field to draw first blood, as Jon Lester looks like he has shaken off his 2 early bombings, and has righted his ship. Lester fired 7 scoreless his last time out in a home win over Baltimore.
Lester also went 2-0 in his 3 starts against the Yankees a season ago, working 23 innings while allowing a scant 3 runs to score.
Joba Chamberlain is still a work in progress in the starting rotation, and his last start of 5 runs in just 5 innings in a no-decision against the Indians has the G-Man not trusting Joba in this series opening spot.
Boston's 7-game winning streak is the one that continues, while the Yankees 3-game uptick takes the hit.
Go with the Red Sox minus the small home chalk.
4♦ BOSTON
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
__________________
"We can't win them ALL, but we can lose IT all!"
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take"
Comments
MLB
Sharps are looking at another favorite today in #922 Boston -135.
NBA
The pubic is ALL OVER the Cavs tonight -5.0 on the road against Detroit.
BOSTON RED SOX
1500* - Portland Trail Blazers, 500*s - Milwaukee w/Gallardo over Paulino, Detroit w/Porcello over G
I think Game One's 108-81 romp by the Rockets has skewed the thinking in this series just a little. Portland battled hard in Game Two, and scratched out the 4-point win but no cover as the 6-point favorite.
I expect a similar style game tonight in Houston, as I see Portland staying close to Houston all the way in this one, with the game being decided late by a basket or two tops.
The Blazers have covered 7 of their last 9 on the road this year, and while, and they have been able to split the last 4 against the spread on Houston's hardwood.
I don't doubt for a minute that this is a bad matchup long haul for the upstart Blazers, but Houston does have a history of not making it out of the 1st round, so look for the points to work in this one tonight.
Take Portland in what should be a closely played, hotly-contested affair.
1500♦ - Portland Trail Blazers
On the diamond I like the way Milwaukee is pitching and hitting right now, and I expect their good fortune to continue tonight in Houston.
The Astros were cooled down in yesterday's 2-0 loss to the Dodgers, and now they face a Milwaukee team that took the last pair in Philly, and have won 3 of their last 4 overall.
Yovani Gallardo has been tough on the road early this year, going 1-0 in his 2 roadies, allowing 2 runs in 13 innings of work. Gallardo also went 2-0 back in 2007 against Houston, without allowing an earned run in 15 frames of work!
Felipe Paulino is coming off 6 shutout frames in his debut 5 days ago, but can he duplicate that effort?
I don't think so!
Milwaukee is 21-12 versus Houston the last 2 seasons, and they get them again tonight.
Take the Brewers.
500♦ - Milwaukee w/Gallardo over Paulino
♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦
American League, and Zach Greinke has to give up a run(s) sometime, doesn't he?
Greinke has been lights-out this April, but he is matched against an up-n-comer in Rick Porcello who notched his 1st big league win in his last start at Seattle.
Detroit is 11-7 the last 2 seasons at Kauffman Stadium, and the price on this game is absolutely perfect for a play on the "live" dog.
Geinke has been great, but tonight's line is inflated, and the Tigers do have some sticks in that lineup that are capable of putting up a few runs.
Take Detroit in the underdog role.
500♦ - Detroit w/Porcell over Greinke
♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦
double-dime bet
906 FLA (-135) SportBet vs 905 PHI
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSO*NAL PLAY **
JOHNSON over Myers...SPORTBET.com Using -130 !!
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
913 SFG (-120) SportBet vs 914 ARI
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
922 BOS (-135) SportBet vs 921 NYY
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
LESTER over Chamberlain
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
929 SEA (-120) SportBet vs 930 ANA
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
BEDARD over Loux...SPORTBET.com Using -115 !!
vegas-runner
triple-dime bet
514 DET 5.5 (-110) Bodog vs 513 CLE
Analysis:
*** NBA PLAYO?FFS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
PLEASE...Wait on this Bet...CRIS, BETUS ,BODOG, ect...have all gone to 5.5, and the Majority of Public Bettors still haven't pulled the trigger on the Cavs...Which they certainly will...That may force the books to adjust this Line to 6...Which is by far the Biggest "KEY" Number in the NBA...
My line shows that this number is already 3pts too high...considering it's a Playoff Game...And the Cleveland bandwagon continues to grow, which the books are well aware of...That's the reason that they are forcing bettors to pay such a premium to back them...And their plan is working, as bettors can't seem to get enough of the Cavs, regardless the number...
We'll go ahead and grab the Points...in a game we may very well see a ML Winner for Detroit...But with that said, we always look to get the best of it...and if we can get this bet down at +6, then we are getting even more the best of it...than at +5.5...VR
10 Star MLB Yankees +125
10 Star MLB NYY / BOS OVER 9.5
10 Star MLB Royals -165
10 Star MLB Astros +125
5 Star MLB Nationals +240
15* San Fran Giants 9:40pm ET
15* Portland Trail Blazers 9:30pm ET
10* Atlanta Braves 7:10pm ET
Friday's Action
1000♦ Cleveland Cavaliers
Take Cleveland minus the points tonight in Detroit.
In what is the easiest call of the night I love the Cavaliers as they bury the Pistons tonight in game three of this series. After all given the pair of double digit wins for Cleveland to start this series it is very clear that Detroit just does not match up to the Cavaliers. In fact once you factor in that Cleveland has won the last 5 series meeting, while covering 4 of those 5 games is very clear that Cleveland is just better then Detroit. Well given the plethora of losing number Detroit currently has of 5 straight loses, 0-6 ATS in their last six games and a losing 2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall games I just dont see any miracle win tonight for the Pistons. Not when Cleveland is playing very well right now by winning and covering 7 of their last 8 games, including winning both games in this series by an average of 15 points per game. Bottom line I see nothing short of a Cleveland blowout tonight as the Cavaliers lay the foundation for a series sweep tonight. Take Cleveland minus the road chalk as they win by double digits once again.
All Cleveland!
200♦ Florida Marlins
Go with the Marlins tonight over the Phillies for a few reasons. First is I like the Marlins returning home where they are a solid 5-1 so far this season. Reason number two throwing tonight for Florida is Johnson who 2-0 with a 2.91 ERA in three starts has been close perfect this season. Meanwhile, for the Phillies its hard seeing them winning given their losing 6-8 record and the fact they are going with Myers who carries in a 5 plus ERA into tonight. Even better its the Phillies who 5-16 in the last 21 games Myers has against Florida. So sticking with the numbers I say take the Marlins at home tonight as they bounce back with an easy home win after being swept in Pittsburgh last series out.
All Florida!
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
517 POR 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 518 HOU
Analysis:
** NBA 2* PLAYOFF PERSONAL PLAY **
BODOG Using +6.5 ...Very KEY Number in NBA !!
vegas-runner
triple-dime bet
517 POR / 518 HOU Under 184.5 Bodog
Analysis:
*** NBA PLAYOFFS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
BODOG Using 185 !!
Toop, do you know how many stars Lovell goes up to? I know his highest are his "blank check" games.
And oregonron doesn't post fbj plays because he is fbj or his secret lover.
houston astros
arizona
oakland
all listed pitchers
HENCE FORTH I WILL ONLY CALL HIM THE BLOOMING IDIOT
HE TALKS ABOUT ALL GAMES, HERES SOME OF HIS RAMBLINGS ON
baseball board is busy! marlins very popular, but price isnt right for me maybe look to the total in that one, &mets in all public parlays
half a minute ago from mobile web but u have to get the best numbers , esp on Totals, so make sure u get the best and increase your win % !! thats how guys like me make $$
8 minutes ago from mobile web last nights free play on the under in jazz game wasa winner, and i think at least 2 of these NBA games go under 2nite as well,
9 minutes ago from mobile web fridays not bets days for baseball, sats and sun, much better lines to get paid on, but tourists here driving some wrong way,
13 minutes ago from mobile web i bet some baseball at another book, after cashing a bet i made the last nite, im looking to ad maybe onbe more in baseball late ,
14 minutes ago from mobile web there has been a stream of smart $ bets all day at all books, on 76ers, i bet em to win series, so i have 2 agree with that move
17 minutes ago from mobile web i think the under in that game is the bettor bet, but if line gets to 7 im looking at pistons as well
19 minutes ago from mobile web of course the most poular bet in NBA tonite is "the cavs" public $ and some smart guys too, but my money is Not on cle, not in this spot
20 minutes ago from mobile web in the NBA i have a major bet going tonite, that i will be betting MORE on.. and one sat, The rest of Big $ bettors waiting to bet in 1 hr 2
21 minutes ago from mobile web its friday and that means there are lots of bad bets and bad $ being thrown around on the strip !! haha
23 minutes ago from mobile web im back on the vegas strip !! one of the biggest sportsbooks here, and its getting busy here!
26 minutes ago from mobile web baseball 2-1 last night with nice win on Angels + $$, u can get NBA bets free thru June, if you are serious bettor, http://tiny.cc/FBJ700
about 4 hours ago from web im looking at a big $ bet in baseball, one $$ bet NBA tonite, last nites freebie won, get on the list for tonite, at http://tiny.cc/FBJ700
about 6 hours ago from web im going to a strip casino where i can bet a larger limit, i hope the line doesnt move too much before i get there,2nites game will be $ too
about 6 hours ago from web i just bet a large sum on an NBA game for Saturday, line is off by 4 to 6 points , much like last nights play on the UNDER in Utah, call me
Thanks
Real slow right now no picks nowhere
5* GOM Boston Red Sox -139
3* Tampa Bay Rays -133
4* Philadelphia 76ers +3.5
3* Cleveland Cavliers -5.5
Guaranteed NBA LOCK on the Portland Blazers
NBA
2 Star Selection
DETROIT (+5 1/2) over Cleveland
24-Apr-09 04:05 PM Pacific Time
The Pistons were thoroughly dominated in the first 2 games of this series in Cleveland, but that certainly doesnt mean theyll be dominated tonight at home. Teams that lose the first 2 games of a series by a combined 30 points or more are actually 13-4 straight up and 16-1 ATS in game 3 at home since 2004. That includes last years 72-108 loss by Cleveland at Washington after the Cavs won the first two games by a combined 37 points. You may also remember how last years top team, the Celtics, won games 1 and 2 against Atlanta by 23 points and 19 points and then lost straight up 93-102 as an 8 ½ point road favorite in game 3. Cleveland is 33-15 ATS in all playoff games in the LeBron James era, but the Cavs are just 1-5 ATS in those games if they are coming off consecutive wins and a playoff win of 10 points or more in their last game so this would be the game that the Cavaliers let up. Detroit has been horrible at home this season (13-28 ATS), but using their home games (with Rasheed Wallace playing) against Clevelands road games yields a line of Cavs by 4 points and using all games (home or road) gives me a fair price of 3 points in this game. Detroit also applies to the same 57-20-3 ATS playoff situation that applied to both Dallas and Utah last night and Ill take Detroit in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more.
2-Stars at +4 or more. (if you have +5, then you should wait for the line to go to +5 1/2)
Opinion
Orlando (-3 ½) over PHILADELPHIA
24-Apr-09 05:05 PM Pacific Time
The 76ers were lucky to split their two games in Orlando considering that they were down by 18 points in each game, and their 100-98 game 1 win was a function of 3-point shooting variance (Philly made 58% to Orlandos 28% from 3 point range in game 1). Philadelphias 3-point shooting returned to normal in game 2 (31% is barely above what was expected), but Orlando (a 38% 3-point shooting team for the season) made only 6 of 23 long range shots (26%) in game 2. The Magic have outscored the Sixers by 7 points in this series despite making just 11 of their 41 3-point shots (27%) while the 76ers, the NBAs worst 3-pint shooting team at 32% for the season, has made 43% of their 3-pointers. Orlando has proven themselves to be the far superior team in this series and only 3-point shooting variance has kept them from winning by double-digits in each game. Road favorites or picks are 11-3 ATS in game 3 of a best of 7 series if they did not win both games 1 and 2 and I expect Orlando to reclaim the home court advantage in this series (as long as the 3-point percentages are close to normal for each team). Philadelphia is still just 2-12 straight up and 4-10 ATS against the leagues top 4 teams (Lakers, Cavs with James playing, Celtics and Magic), including 0-7 straight up and 1-6 ATS at home. Orlando, meanwhile, is 21-6-1 ATS in road games when not favored by 6 points or more (excluding their final week road losses at NJ and Milw when they sat their starters) and they won and covered both games in Philly. My ratings favor Orlando by only 2 ½ points, so the line is a bit high, but the situation is favorable and Ill consider Orlando a Strong Opinion at -4 or less and Id take the Magic in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less.
Opinion
Portland (+6) over HOUSTON
24-Apr-09 06:35 PM Pacific Time
The Rockets out-played the Blazers in the first 2 games, winning by 27 points in game 1 and losing by just 4 points in game 2, but my ratings favor Houston by just 5 points in this game and the situation actually slightly favors the Blazers. Ill lean with Portland at +5 or more.
When you going to Reno?
BTW....Thanks Toop!!!
3* San Diego ML -118
3* Florida ML -130
3* Milwaukee/Houston Over 8.5 -116
3* LA Dodgers ML -101
Friday April 24th, 2009
NBA
4* Cleveland -4.5 -105
3* Orlando/Philadelphia Over 191 -110
3* Portland/Houston Over 184.5 -111
NHL
4* NY Rangers/Washington Over 5 -115
5 star cappers from squarepicks
Friday April 24th, 2009
MLB
5* NY Mets -1.5 -113
5* Detroit/KC Royals Over 8.5 -107
texting out my personal bets for later NBA, and baseball, u can get on list, at http://tiny.cc/FBJ700, lets win again 2nite
11 minutes ago from mobile web pistons definately worth a look +6 or + 6.5 the smart $$ is on em and i say its an under as well.
13 minutes ago from mobile web i have e good plays on the west coast that will get the money instead, BTW, pistons up to +6 now here in NBA
14 minutes ago from mobile web will jabba and the yanks circle the wagons and beat the red sox? all the money says red sox get it tonite, but im not betting it,
16 minutes ago from mobile web in the AL , i hear the twins are happy to be out of boston!! so expect em to play well tonite in cleveland, and twins getting action here
23 minutes ago from mobile web astros paulino get some smart $ bet on him, land astros +1.5 at home can be be a good one
40 minutes ago from mobile web better bet is nats +1.5 +110, rather than mets on RL, but i found better games to bet anyway, so y bother with this one
20 Pitt
50 Fla
50 Atl under
100 Steam Az/SF under
Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - DETROIT TIGERS (Porcello over Greinke)....10 DIMERS - CAVS & BLAZERS
30 DIMER - DETROIT TIGERS (Porcello over Greinke)
No one in the bigs has pitched better than Zach Grienke of the KC Royals, as Greinke has won ALL 3 of his starts, and has not allowed a run to score in any of his starts.
You know the G-Man just loves situations like this, as you know damn well that sooner or later, Greinke is going to give up a few runs, and I feel tonight is the night it happens!
Both teams are 8-7, but it is Detroit that has gone 11-7 the last 2 years in games played at Kansas City.
Oh, and by the way, the Tigers youngster Rick Porcello showed what he is capable of doing at this level, as he stymied the Seattle Mariners in Seattle, working 7 innings while allowing just 1 run to score for his 1st big league win his last time out!
I am not saying Greinke is going to get bombed, but at this price, you HAVE TO play the underdog Tigers, as they do have the better overall hitters, and chances are they are going to break through, and scuff up Zach just enough to post the win.
10 DIMER - CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
The once-feared Pistons are dying a slow death, and tonight they will be put to the brink of elimination, as Cleveland deals them the "death blow" with a big win, and cover at the Auburn Palace.
Cleveland has won 5 straight now over Detroit, and they have covered in 4 of those 5. The Cavs do not like the Pistons, and vice-versa, so I would expect Cleveland to come out for blood this evening since the rest of the Eastern Conference playoffs appear to be going to go on a little longer than this series might.
The Cavs want some rest in between series', and that means they must put the dagger in the Pistons heart in this one.
Expect it to happen, as Detroit has now lost 5 in a row, and 8 of their last 11 straight up, and have failed 6 straight against the spread.
Cavs take it!
10 DIMER - PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
Going to go against the grain in this one, as I feel sure the public will jump on the Rockets in this home game, especially after the way Houston blew out the Blazers in Game One at the Rose Garden.
Portland was able to fight back and win Game Two, but did not cover as the favorite. Look for a similar game to develop tonight, as I have a feeling the Blazers who have covered 7 of their last 9 on the road are going to keep this one tight for the full 4 quarters.
Keep in mind Houston has had trouble escaping the 1st round of the postseason for a long, long time, and that collar gets awfully tight when you are expected to deliver.
Take the points, as the young Blazers prove sticky tonight for the Rockets.
Today's Complimentary Selection
Well, here we go once again, the annual Yankees-Red Sox rivalry renews tonight at Fenway Park, and both team come in sporting winning streaks. New York has captured 3 in a row, while Boston has won 7 in a row to improve to 7-2 this season at home.
G-Man will back Boston on their home field to draw first blood, as Jon Lester looks like he has shaken off his 2 early bombings, and has righted his ship. Lester fired 7 scoreless his last time out in a home win over Baltimore.
Lester also went 2-0 in his 3 starts against the Yankees a season ago, working 23 innings while allowing a scant 3 runs to score.
Joba Chamberlain is still a work in progress in the starting rotation, and his last start of 5 runs in just 5 innings in a no-decision against the Indians has the G-Man not trusting Joba in this series opening spot.
Boston's 7-game winning streak is the one that continues, while the Yankees 3-game uptick takes the hit.
Go with the Red Sox minus the small home chalk.
4♦ BOSTON
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
__________________
"We can't win them ALL, but we can lose IT all!"
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take"
CBB/NBA POD's YTD 136-103-1 ATS (Including OVER/UNDER plays)
MLB POD'S YTD 17-24-1 (3-3 with Moneyline Dogs)