Service Play Thread for Friday
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RULES:
1. Please do not post any plays from site sponsors:
Right Angle Sports
Advantage Plays
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Doc's Sports (Strike Point, Vegas Sports Informer, Robert Ferringo, Allen Eastman)
2. Please do not post any plays from site contributors:
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3. Please keep the thread as clean as possible by not repeating requests for plays.
4. DO NOT post e-mail addresses or request others to post their own.
Thank you!
Comments
The Astros got shut out in consecutive games (totaled just seven hits) on Sunday (3-0 at St Louis) and Monday (7-0 at Pittsburgh), which dropped them to 1-6 to open the 2009 season. However, they've put together back-to-back wins with a 4-1 win on Wednesday and a 6-3 win on Thursday (both at Pittsburgh). Lance Berkman hit a tie-breaking three-run homer in the sixth inning in Thursday's win for the Astros. The Reds enter this game 4-4, losing their most recent game 9-3 at Milwaukee on Wednesday, after opening that three-game series with a 7-6 win on Monday and another victory on Tuesday (6-1). These teams open a four-game series tonight in Houston, with right-handers Cueto (Cin) and Oswalt (Hou) on the mound. The Reds were just 31-50 (minus-$1,246) on the road last year, including 17-33 (minus-$1,285) vs right-handers (averaged only 3.9 RPG). That's only part of Cincy's woes in this game. Roy Oswalt has absolutely 'OWNED' the Reds in his career, going 23-1 with a 2.47 ERA in 28 career games (26 starts) against them (Astros are 22-4 in those 26 starts). He suffered his only loss against the Reds back on April 28, 2006 and since then, has gone 8-0 with a 2.39 ERA over eight subsequent starts against Cincy. Just some quick notes regarding Oswalt's career, before getting to Cincy's starter, Johnny Cueto. Oswalt has been among MLB's finest pitchers since going 14-3 (2.73 ERA) in his first year with the team (2001). He was an Opening Day loser to Carlos Zambrano and the Cubs 4-2 in 2009, going seven innings, while allowing seven hits and three ERs. He then pitched poorly in St Louis on Saturday, allowing six runs and nine hits over six innings for the Astros in an 11-2 loss to the Cardinals. That outing was somewhat surprising, as he had a 1.83 ERA in five previous starts at the new Busch. He'll take a career 129-66 (3.15) mark into this game, which is a winning percentage of .662. It should also be noted that the Astros are an impressive 157-94 in all his starts (.625), with the breakdown being much more favorable at home (87-37 or .702) than it is on the road (70-57 or .551). That's more good news for the Astros. As for Cueto, he made a HUGE 'splash' last year (his rookie season) in his first two starts. He beat the D'backs in Cincy 3-2, going seven innings while allowing one hit and one ER and striking out 10 with no walks. In his next start at Milwaukee, he got a no-decision in a 3-2 loss, allowing five hits and two ERs in 6.1 innings (eight Ks and no walks). After two ML starts, Cueto was 1-0 with a 2.03, striking out 18 batters (with ZERO walks) in 13.1 innings. However, he finished the season 9-14 with 4.81 ERA in 31 starts (Reds were 12-19). That included an 0-3 mark with a 7.84 ERA in four starts vs the Astros (Reds lost all four games). Oswalt has yet to "hit his stride" in 2009 but what better team to do just that against, than the Reds? The Astros were 12-3 last year vs the Reds, plus Cueto's four starts vs Houston last year were a 'nightmare.'
NL Game of the Month on the Hou Astros
April 17, 2009
Hondo's prayers for the Padres were answered last night when they rallied and then held off the Metamucils to beef up the bankroll to 175 lezcanos.
Tonight, he'll keep on praying and take another stab with San Diego -- 10 units on Young to come up tall in Philadelphia.
Mighty hit with the Blackhawks Thursday night.
Friday it's the Hurricanes. The surplus is 445 sirignanos.
(975) KANSAS CITY ROYALS
(976) TEXAS RANGERS
Take "(975) KANSAS CITY ROYALS"
Texas can be impressive when their offense is smoking the baseball, as when the Rangers went on to a 19-6 victory over the Orioles Wednesday night with 19 hits. However, this pitching staff is awful. They got with soft throwing lefty Matt Harrison here (6.35 ERA). He has allowed 9 hits and 5 walks in 5 innings. Kansas City has had an impressive start, doing it with pitching depth, ranked No. 2 in the AL in ERA. They go with their ace here in Gil Meche (3.21 ERA), who has a 12-2 strikeout to walk ratio. Pitching dominates offense in this one. Play the Royals.
(959) MILWAUKEE BREWERS
(960) NEW YORK METS
Take "(960) NEW YORK METS"
Livan Hernandez is not exactly a pitcher who inspires confidence and the Mets just lost a series at their new home to the Padres. But I like the Mets to grab a win tonight as they face the Brewers. Dave Bush is a notoriously poor early season pitcher, with a career April-May ledger of 7-20. The Brewers aren't playing well at all, and even if they jump out to a lead here, their shaky bullpen could get victimized late. I'll lean to laying the spot with the Mets.
Baseball
#951 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis +170
#953 - MLB - 3 units on Florida -124
#964 - MLB - 3 units on LA Dodgers -144
#971 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore +137
#978 - MLB - 3 units on Minnesota -114
NATIONAL LEAGUE
San Diego (7-3) at Philadelphia (4-4)
The Padres will try to make it seven wins in their last eight games when they send Chris Young (2-0, 1.38 ERA) to the mound in Philadelphia opposite the Phillies Cole Hamels (0-1, 17.18).
San Diego took two of three from the Mets on the road this week, including Thursdays 6-5 win. The Padres have scored six runs or more in five of their last six games and they are 7-3 in their last 10 series openers. Dating back to last season, San Diego is still on a host of negative runs that include 17-45 as a road dog, 15-37 on the road against teams with a winning record and 21-43 as a pup anywhere.
Philadelphia fell 8-2 in Washington on Thursday, ending a three-game winning streak. The Phillies had scored 24 runs during the three-game streak before managing just the two on Thursday. They are on several positive streaks, including 42-19 overall, 26-8 at home, 37-18 as a favorite and 39-18 in series openers.
Philadelphia has won eight of the last 12 series matchups, including four of six last season.
Young has allowed just three runs (two earned) this season and gave up just one unearned run on four hits in seven innings of action against the Giants on Sunday. Last season he gave up two runs on five hits in six innings of a 4-2 win in Philadelphia. The Padres are 6-0 in Youngs last six Friday starts, but they are on slides of 5-11 in his last 16 road outings and 2-6 when hes a road dog.
Hamels got hammered in his first start of the season and his first career start at Coors Field giving up seven runs (all earned) on 11 hits in 3 2/3 innings of a 10-3 loss to the Rockies a week ago today. Prior to that outing, the Phillies had won five straight games and seven of eight with Hamels on the hill, with the lefty allowing two earned runs or fewer and pitching at least six innings in each of those eight games.
Hamels went 7-7 with a 2.99 ERA in 17 home starts last season. Hes also 2-1 with a 2.40 ERA in five career outings against San Diego. Philly is 27-11 in Hamels last 38 home starts and 46-19 in his last 65 outings as a favorite.
With Young on the hill, the Padres are on over streaks of 8-3 when hes a dog, 6-0 when he pitches on Fridays and 5-2 when he starts the series-opener. As a team, San Diego is on over runs of 6-2-1 as a road dog, 4-0-1 on the road, 4-0 on Fridays and 5-1 on the road against righties. With Hamels pitching, Philadelphia is on under streaks of 7-1 overall and 4-0 at home. As a team the Phillies are on under runs of 5-1 as a home favorite and 8-3 as a favorite anywhere, but the over is 5-0-1 in their last six overall and 6-1 in their last seven against the N.L. West.
In this series, the under is 4-1 in the last five clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Baltimore (6-3) at Boston (3-6)
The surprising Orioles will try to keep their early season momentum going when they send Jeremy Guthrie (2-0, 2.25 ERA) to the hill opposite the Red Sox and new acquisition Brad Penny (1-0, 4.50) at Fenway Park.
Baltimore has taken the first two games of each of their three series this season, including in Texas Monday and Tuesday before getting walloped on Wednesday 19-6. The Orioles have scored five or more runs in each of their six victories and have scored three or less in two of their three defeats. Even with the nice start, Baltimore is still on some ugly runs, including 17-37 overall dating back to last season, 15-40 against A.L. East competition, 21-44 as a dog, 5-16 as a road dog and 8-20 against right-handed starters.
The Red Sox have spaced their three wins around a pair of three-game losing streaks, but they managed an 8-2 win in Oakland on Wednesday to salvage a series win. Boston is on some amazing home streaks, including 65-31 overall, 67-31 as a home favorite and 64-30 at home against right-handed starters.
The Red Sox have dominated this series recently, winning 44 of the last 59 meetings and 23 of the last 29 at Fenway. They have also beaten Guthrie in five of the last seven times theyve faced him.
Guthrie has allowed just three runs in 12 innings this season and is coming off six inning of shutout baseball against the Rays on Saturday, leading Baltimore to a 6-0 win. Guthrie made four starts against Boston last season with the Orioles going 2-2. At Fenway he allowed five runs on seven hits in 4 2/3 innings of a 9-2 loss. Baltimore is just 3-7 in Guthries last 10 outings against A.L. East rivals, but the Orioles are 5-2 when he opens a series and 6-2 when he gets five days of rest.
Penny made his debut for Boston on Saturday and allowed three runs on five hits in six innings as the Red Sox beat the Angels 5-4.
The over is 7-3-1 in Guthries last 11 starts against A.L. East teams, 7-1-1 in his last nine as a dog and 5-1-1 in his last seven series openers. As a team, the Orioles are on over streaks of 13-3 after an off-day, 24-9-2 in series openers, 36-16-2 on the road and 49-23-6 as a dogs. For Boston, the over is 5-0 in their last five overall, but the under is on runs of 8-3-1 following an off-day, 8-3-1 on Fridays, 10-3-1 in series openers and 4-1 against A.L. East teams. In this rivalry, the over is 4-1-2 in Guthries last seven starts against the Red Sox.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
Detroit (5-4) at Seattle (7-3)
The red-hot Mariners look to continue their early season success when they send Felix Hernandez (1-0, 4.15) to the mound at Safeco Field against the visiting Tigers and Justin Verlander (0-1, 9.35).
Detroit has won four of its last five games, including a 9-0 drubbing of the White Sox on Wednesday. The Tigers opened the season on the highway and dropped three of four in Toronto. They are just 1-7 in their last eight roadies and they are 4-9 in their last 13 Friday contests.
Seattle had its six-game winning streak snapped on Thursday when it fell at home to the Angels, 5-1. The Mariners had allowed three runs or less in three straight games before Thursdays loss. Despite last nights setback, they have still won five of their last six at home but they are on slides of 8-20 against teams with a winning record, 2-6 against A.L. Central squads and 2-5 as a favorite.
While Detroit is 4-1 in its last five overall, the Tigers are on slides of 15-37 as a dog, 12-31 as a road pup, 6-18 in series openers, 1-7 on the road and 4-9 on Fridays. Seattle is on runs of 5-2 at home and 4-0 against righties, but it is on negative streaks of 17-35 after a loss and 8-19 against teams with winning records.
Verlander got rocked in his season debut, giving up eight runs on eight hits in 3 2/3 innings at Toronto, but bounced back on Saturday and gave up just three runs (one earned) on two hits in five innings of a 4-3 home victory over Texas. Verlander faced the Mariners three times last season and the Tigers were 2-1, including a July win in Seattle when he allowed two runs on eight hits in six innings of an 8-4 win. With Verlander on the hill, the Tigers are just 5-13 on the road, 1-4 in series openers and 1-4 on the road against teams with winning records, but they are 12-3 when he faces A.L. West competition.
After a strong season opener in Minnesota, Hernandez got shelled in Oakland on Saturday, giving up five runs on seven hits in five innings, but the Mariners offense rallied to win 8-5. Hernandez was spectacular against the Tigers last season, shutting them out on two hits over seven innings of a 5-0 home victory. Seattle is 13-5 when Hernandez opens a series and 8-3 when he faces A.L. Central foes, but the Mariners are just 2-5 in his last seven overall and 1-5 when he goes on grass.
The Tigers are on over runs of 12-4 when Verlander opens a series and 7-3 when hes a dog, and as a team, Detroit is on under streaks of 5-2-1 overall and 5-1-1 against teams with a winning record. The Mariners are on under runs of 20-9-1 in Hernandezs last 30 starts, 20-8-3 when he opens a series and 8-2 in his last 10 Friday games, while as a team, Seattle is on over rides of 8-2 against right-handed starters, 6-0 as a favorite and 5-1 at home against righties.
Finally, the over is 14-6-1 the last 21 head-to-head clashes overall and 5-2 in Verlanders last seven against Seattle.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Friday, April 17th, 10:15 PM ET
Carlo Campanella is off to a 6-2 start with his "MLB Pitching MisMatches" and Arizona fits that role as road Favorite starting Haren on the mound in San Francisco for this Friday west match-up. San Francisco opened the season at 0-5 against Division opponents and now must face Haren, who's allowed just 3 Earned Runs in his 13 Innings Pitched this season. Those two starts came against the Dodgers and Colorado, who have stronger line-ups than these Giants, who own a .236% Team Batting Average. HUGE Pitching MisMatch here as he squares off against the Giants Sanchez, who is 1-5 when starting against Arizona with an ERA of 8.56. 7* Play On Arizona Good luck - Carlo Campanella
Date/Time: Friday April 17 / 7:05PM EST
Sport/Type: MLB / Side
Game: Florida Marlins @ Washington Nationals
Graded Selection: 2* Florida Marlins -129
Analysis:
The Washington Nationals will look to build upon their first win of the 2009 campaign as they defeated the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday night in DC 8 to 2 after opening the season by going 0-7. That will be a tall order as the Marlins are coming in off a sweep of the Braves at Turner Field for the first time ever and are playing as well as anyone right now. Not only are the Fish getting timely hitting including a batting average of .282, they had nine or more hits eight times this season and their starting pitching and bullpen have been playing well. Ricky Nolasco will take the bump and try to extend the Marlins' winning streak to five as he takes the mound for the first time since Saturday's 8-4 loss to the New York Mets. He allowed four runs and seven hits in five innings. "I wasn't feeling too great," Nolasco told the teams' official Web site. Nolasco, though, has enjoyed success against Washington in his career, going 6-1 with a 4.10 ERA. On April 6, he earned the opening-day win over Washington as he struck out six in six innings in a 12 to 6 win. The Nationals will send John Lannan to the hill with his 0-2 record and ERA of 10.00; he was the losing pitcher in that first meeting with Nolasco. The Marlins are 7-1 when playing at Nationals Park and should get number eight tonight as they continue their solid play on offense and defense. Nolasco is 13-6 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons, Fish are 5-1 the last six starts by Nolasco versus Washington and they are 21-7 their last 28 in this series. Washington is 18-43 versus teams with a win percentage of .600 or more and 17-42 when facing right-handed starters. Lay the chalk with the Fish as they get another easy win over the Nationals in DC on Friday night.
Graded Selection: 2* Florida Marlins 6 Washington Nationals 3
Game: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia +150 (moneyline)
The Flyers were never in game one as the Penguins dominated from start to finish, and never had to worry. The fate and resolve of the Flyers will certainly be more apparent in this one. They have lived up to those words on the season, as they have followed-up a horrible loss of three goals or more with an 18-7 mark. They have also followed-up a two goal or less offensive performance with a 19-7 mark. The Penguins have been hot at home, but the last team to take them down in this building was the Flyers, and I expect them to answer the bell for game two. The Flyers get the call here.
04/17/2009
MLB Baseball
Marlins -130 over Nationals
Nolasco/Lannan
Soccer:
VVV Venlo/FC Emmen over 3 (Dutch Eerste Divisie)
Metz/Clermont Foot over 2 (France Ligue 2)
MLB:
Marlins/Nationals over 9 even
Pirates +107
5* Star - 6+ Run Differential (Highest-Rated 3 Unit Play)
4* Star - 5 Run Differential (2 Unit Play)
3* Star - 4 Run Differential (1 Unit Play)
2* Star - 2 to 3 Run Differential (Slight Edge)
1* Star - 0 to 1 Run Differential (No Play Recommended)
Today's Play:
4* Houston (-145) 2 Unit Play
Baseball (MLB)
DIAMONDBACKS
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Game Time: 4/17/2009 10:15:00 PM Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Reason: I'm laying the price with ARIZONA. I typically don't play that much road "chalk," in any sport. However, every once in awhile, I feel that we can actually find strong value with the road favorite. I believe that this is one of those cases. Note that Arizona is 17-10 (+4) the last 27 times it was a road favorite in the -125 to -150 range. During the same stretch, the Giants were just 5-13 (-6.3) when listed as home underdogs in the +125 to +150 range. Haren goes for the visitors and he's already off to an 0-2 start. However, a closer look shows that he's been outstanding, recording a 2.08 ERA. As he noted: "I pride myself on being consistent, going out there every time and giving the team a chance. I've done that. I haven't gotten 'Ws,' but I'm where I need to be pitching-wise. You can't really measure a pitcher by wins and losses anyway. There's only so much I can control." Haren should finally get some run support this evening as he's matched up against Jonathan Sanchez. Like Haren, Sanchez (0-1) is still winless. Unlike Haren, he's made only one start and he got rocked. He lasted just 4 2/3 innings and gave up nine baserunners and five earned runs. That was at pitcher-friendly Petco Park vs. the light-hitting Padres, too. Note that Sanchez had a 5.01 ERA last year (5.88 in 2007!) and that he's 1-5 with an ugly 8.56 ERA and awful 2.012 WHIP in seven career starts versus Arizona. Of course, if Haren was pitching at home against Sanchez, he'd be a much higher-priced favorite. In fact, Haren was a bigger favorite than this in each of his last three home starts against the Giants and those games came against Cain (twice) and Lincecum, both of whom are much better than Sanchez. Haren was matched up against Sanchez once. That game came here last July and Arizona won by a score of 10-2. Including that result, Haren was 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA in four starts against the Giants last season. Look for him to continue his strong pitching this evening, only this time, look for it to lead to an Arizona victory.
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins Game Time: 4/17/2009 8:10:00 PM Prediction: Minnesota Twins Reason: I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Don't be fooled by their slow start. With their crew of high quality starters, the Angels remain the team to beat in the AL West. They showed that last night as Saunders held the Mariners to three hits and one run through seven complete innings, en route to a 5-1 LA victory. The Angels' problem is that they're not currently healthy. In fact, they're currently missing Kelvim Escobar, John Lackey AND Ervin Santana. That's opened the door for the likes of Dustin Moseley. He'll take the mound for the Halos for this evening's series opener at Minnesota. He'll be opposed by Nick Blackburn and I feel that gives an edge to Minnesota. Moseley has been fairly solid in his first two starts, going 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA. Note that both his starts came at home and that this will be his first on the road. Before getting too excited about Moseley's stats, keep in mind that he's still got an ugly 5.40 ERA in 63 Major League appearancess, 22 of them starts. He was 2-4 with a terrible 6.79 ERA last season with 10 of his 12 appearances coming as a starter. Opposing batters hit a whopping .343 against him in six road starts. Due to a sub-par outing his first time out, Blackburn's stats admittedly aren't that impressive yet. However, he was solid in his last start, allowing three runs in six complete innings vs. the White Sox. That's typically about what we came to expect from him, in terms of innings, as he averaged nearly six innings per start last season. In fact, he averaged greater than six innings per start when pitching at home. In 14 starts here, he was 8-3 with a stellar 2.95 ERA. Blackburn did lose his lone home start against the Angels, which came last April. However, that was hardly his fault. Indeed, he allowed just five hits and one run (6 K's, 1 walk) through seven complete innings. However, facing Saunders, the Twins couldn't provide any support and Blackburn got stuck with a 1-0 loss. With Moseley on the mound, he should get some runs to work with this time. While I expect the Twins to have an edge on the mound, I also like the scheduling situation. The Twins played here at Minnesota yesterday evening, losing to Roy Halladay and the Jays. Their game was already in the seventh inning before the first pitch in the Angels' game was even thrown. Off that late game, the Angels had to fly from Seattle all the way to Minnesota. Note that the Angels will also be without Vladimir Guerrero, as he returned to Los Angeles with a strained pectoral muscle, in order to see the team orthopedist. The Twins are 27-17 (+7.6) the the last 44 times that they played at home with a line ranging from +100 to -125. Looking back further and we find them at a profitable 133-98 (+20.5) their last 241 in that role. I expect them to improve on those stats by starting this series off with a victory.
POD - Seattle Mariners -120
Pick # 1 Oakland Athletics / Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.0 100
"WOW". I'm sure that's your first thought looking at today's card. But trust me, I'm playing games and I'm playing series. That may not make total sense, but Monday morning we're going to look at our bank rolls and we're going to have more money in it than we do Friday afternoon. That's what I know. If you do not want this much action, this is the order you should cut the plays: Cut the underdog plays first, Cut the totals second (trust me, just for today), cut the Runline System third. So if you want to play games but don't want this much action just get on the straight sides that I've tossed out there.
I think we're going to have a good day and I know that we're going to have a great weekend. Let's see what we can do.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #970 Toronto (-130) over Oakland (7 p.m.)
Hey, as long as the Blue Jays keep winning were going to keep playing them. They have looked incredible to this point in the season. Absolutely sensational. They have been able to do no wrong and they are destroying left-handed pitching. Oakland does not hit lefties very well, and that also hurts because Torontos bullpen is stacked with left-handed pitchers. Oakland is coming off a nice series with the Red Sox and I dont think that the turf is going to serve them well. Toronto gets Game 1.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #962 Houston (-145) over Cincinnati (8 p.m.)
Two guys that are very happy to see the Reds come to town: Lance Berkman and Roy Oswalt. Oswalt has been garbage this year, but he has won 22 of 26 starts against the Reds over the last few seasons. I know that this is a different Reds team, but the bottom line is that when you own a franchise, you own a franchise. The Astros are 48-21 against the Reds in the last 70 meetings and the Stros are 55-19 in Oswalts home starts. He gets his first win of the season tonight.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #980 Seattle (-125) over Detroit (10 p.m.)
King Felix and the Ms have a lot of mojo right now. Their new manager really has this team playing good baseball and has them playing the game the right way. Much like the Blue Jays and the Marlins, the Mariners are just smoking hot and were going to go to the well a little bit. Justin Verlanders has proven time and time again that hes just not the same guy he was three years ago. Detroit is 5-13 with Verlander on the road and is 5-11 when he has extra rest. Detroit is also 15-37 as an underdog and 1-7 on the road.
1-Unit Play. Take #960 New York Mets (-125) over Milwaukee (7 p.m.)
Mets are starting to feel the pressure a bit, I believe. But the Brewers just really arent a very good team right now. They have been dropping series against teams Cubs aside that just arent very good (Reds, Giants). And Milwaukee has not looked good doing it. The Brewers are 3-12 in their last 15 road games and are 4-13 backing Dave Bush on the road. The Mets have faced some really good starting pitching over the last week and I think that Bush is going to be throwing softballs up there to a lineup that is really focused on getting some momentum. Mets get 2-of-3 in this series this weekend without breaking a sweat.
1-Unit Play. Take #953 Florida (-125) over Washington (7 p.m.)
This is along the same lines as the Blue Jays. As long as the Marlins keep winning well keep playing them. They are 21-7 over the Nationals over the last couple years and dominated them last week in Miami. John Lannan has not looked sharp this year and the Marlins right-handed power Uggla, Ramirez, etc. should have another solid day against him.
Runline Systems Plays
1-Unit Play. Take #952 Chicago Cubs (-180) over St. Louis (2 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #952 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +110) over St. Louis (2 p.m.)
Hey, Im sure P.J. Waters is a nice guy. Hes probably going to have a great career. But hes not going to beat Carlos Zambrano this afternoon. Its the kids first career start and hes doing it in a huge rivalry game at Wrigley Field. Hes going to be nervous, while the Cubs are going to be focused because they lost Game 1. I dont expect Waters to have a deep outing and that's going to get us into the St. Louis bullpen. Nothing good happens when you get into the St. Louis bullpen.
1-Unit Play. Take #974 Tampa Bay (-170) over Chicago White Sox (7:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #974 Tampa Bay (-1.5, +110) over Chicago White Sox (7:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #968 New York Yankees (-1.5, -105) over Cleveland (1 p.m.)
Underdog Systems Plays
1-Unit Play. Take #957 San Diego (+155) over Philadelphia (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #971 Baltimore (+135) over Boston (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #955 Atlanta (+105) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m.)
Todays Total
1-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Florida at Washington (7 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Oakland at Toronto (7 p.m.)
Cubs
Rangers
I'm hearing the "Daily powers rating report" has a 5* Arizona 4* Flor 4* Hous.
Haven't confirmed it yet though.
NL Mismatch Game of the Year
FLORIDA MARLINS / WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Take FLORIDA MARLINS
Washington has been awful -- beyond awful. They are 14th in the NL in runs scored and dead last in pitching,a whopping 7.71 team ERA! The Nats are tired of Lastings Milledge, their 24-year-old center fielder, acting like a 10-year veteran who has earned a central position in their locker room when, in fact, he has accomplished little. When he doesn't show up until 30 minutes before team stretching exercises or is late to a team meeting the day before Opening Day, it sends a bad message, so they sent him to Triple AAA.He is (was) one of many problems on this team. Meanwhile, the Marlins are rolling: They outscored the Braves 21-7 in the series, a sweep on the road. Ricky Nolasco is 6-1 lifetime against the Nationals and the Marlins swept the Nats in three straight last week by a combined 26-13. They are 3-0 on the road and have the highest plus-run differential in baseball, along with the best record.
Play the Marlins.
thanks
Asian Executive 200% Guaranteed San Diego
NY Yankees -203
2-0-0 100.00% +$1000
20 DIMER - TEXAS (Harrison over Meche)....10 DIMER - BALTIMORE-BOSTON OVER (Guthrie vs. Penny)
20 DIMER - TEXAS RANGERS (Harrison over Meche)
I know Meche rates the edge over Harrison, but to me the Royals 5-4 record is a bit of a mirage, as I just don't see their hitters stacking up against the loaded Texas lineup tonight in Arlington.
Texas has been knocking the snot out of the ball in their home park, and I have a feeling their bats will easily carry the night against Kansas City.
The Rangers did go 7-2 against the Royals in the season series last year, and one of those wins was thrown by southpaw Harrison, as he went 7 innings, and allowed only 1 run to score in a win at Kauffman.
Gil Meche's 2 starts against the Rangers last season produced an 0-1 mark, 6 runs allowed in 12 innings of work.
KC's record is better than expected, but tonight they get rocked.
Take Texas!
10 DIMER - BALTIMORE-BOSTON OVER (Guthrie vs. Penny)
I have a feeling the guys inside the Green Monster are going to be busy hanging crooked digits up on the Fenway scoreboard this evening!
I am backing another OVER from the O's tonight. Baltimore's pitching leaves a lot to be desired, and the fact they have played 4 straight OVERS, and OVERS in 7 of their 9 games already this year tells me there could easily be another OVER in store tonight.
Boston has also been playing them HIGH of late, sailing OVER in 3 in a row, and 4 of their last 5, with a push in the mix.
Brad Penny is always a pitch or two away from leaving the game injured, and he is quite capable of allowing that one ugly inning that sees 5 or 6 runs come home.
Have to stick with the percentages, and play this Baltimore-Boston game OVER the total.
Today's Complimentary Selection
G-Man stands at 14-9 the last 23 days with my comp play releases.
Early action in the Bronx today, and I thought the Yankees ticket prices were high! The same can be said for the price on Joba Chamberlain this afternoon against a Cleveland team that broke through in a big way against the average Yankees bullpen yesterday in a 10-2 win in the first game played at the new ballpark in the Bronx.
More of the same today, as the Tribe is starting to heat up, winners of their last pair, and 3 of 5, while the Yanks are a middling 2-3 their last 5 ball games.
You know Joba is not likely to work past the 6th inning, as the starting experiement still sees young Mr. Chamberlain's innings still being limited, and with the way the New York bullpen hasn't been getting the job done, you simply have to take a shot at this huge underdog to get the weekend started.
Reyes may not be able to blank the Yanks, but I have a feeling the Cleveland bats will be able to bail him out.
G-Man rolling with the Indians at this great price!
2♦ CLEVELAND
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
Marlins at Nationals
Play: Marlins -121
Florida is on fire with four straight wins and eight victories in its first nine games of the season. The Marlins just swept the Braves, outscoring Atlanta by a combined score of 21-7 in three games. The Nats got their first win of the season yesterday but I don't see this abysmal squad catching fire. Ricky Nolasco shits Washington down and Hanley Ramirez bounces back from Thursday's 0-for-5 performance against the Braves.
4 Seattle
4 SD
4 Pitt
3 Pitt under
3 Toronto
3 Baltimore
3 Chisox
3 Florida
3 Florida over
3* Reds/ Astros Over From The Northcoast Line