Service Play Thread for Friday
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RULES:
1. Please do not post any plays from site sponsors:
Right Angle Sports
Advantage Plays
Who2BetOn (The Prez, Pacific Star, LT Profits, Mike Rose, Alex Smart, JBSports, AJ Apollo, Ken Jenkins, Jon Gold, Dr D Sports, Mike Martell)
Doc's Sports (Strike Point, Vegas Sports Informer, Robert Ferringo, Allen Eastman)
2. Please do not post any plays from site contributors:
AAA Sports
3. Please keep the thread as clean as possible by not repeating requests for plays.
4. DO NOT post e-mail addresses or request others to post their own.
Thank you!
Comments
(725) HOUSTON ROCKETS
(726) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take "(726) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS"
You have to change styles when playing the young, athletic uptempo Warriors. Houston is a veteran team that prefers a more half court pace. Plus, they are in the second of a back to back road spot, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights. Golden State is getting healthy, on a 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS run as Center Andris Biedrins came off the bench for nine points and six rebounds in 25 minutes in his return from a sprained left ankle the last game. Jamal Crawford led the Warriors with 31 points and Kelenna Azubuike added 26 points and eight rebounds. A good situational spot for the rested home team. Play the Warriors.
(913) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
(914) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Take "(913) LOS ANGELES DODGERS"
James McDonald was very sharp in his big league cup of coffee last season, including good work in the playoffs. He has a chance to nail down a regular spot in the LA rotation with some good early efforts, and I believe he's up to the task. Jon Garland is going to have to prove to me that he's anything more than a back of the rotation innings eater at this point. The Diamondbacks have not shed their free swinging ways and struck out 24 times in the opening series with Colorado. LA was not sharp in splitting four games with the Padres, although I thought Joe Torre's mismanagement of the bullpen possibly cost them Thursday's game. It's the home opener for 'Zona, but I like McDonald and the Dodgers to spoil the party.
April 10, 2009
It's true what they say: The betting lines are ahead of the handicappers this time of year. Hondo's deficit soared into triple figures yesterday when the M's put a zippin' on the Twins to raise the accounts payable to 135 vukoviches.
Today, it's time to go to the 'dogs -- 10 units says the Phils don't make Jason the Marquis de Sad.
Mighty split with the Mets and Mariners yesterday.
Today it's the Phillies. The surplus is 205 sirignanos.
Baseball selection for Friday April 10:
Game: San Francisco Giants(Zito) vs San Diego Padres(Hill)
Selection: San Francisco -1.5 runline(+158) moneyline (-104)
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Friday
NBA Basketball
100* Play Memphis (+1.5) over Phoenix (NBA)
Phoenix is 5-13 SU in road games when the total is greater than 210
points
Phoenix is 6-10 SU & ATS vs. Southwest Division Opponents this season
Phoenix is allowing an average of 109 ppg on defense this season
Memphis is 6-0 ATS over the last 6 games
Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
50* Play Portland (+1) over LA Lakers (NBA)
30* Play St. Louis (-170) over Columbus (NHL)
4* Chicago Cubs (Harden) -145 over Milwaukee (Looper)
Range: -125 to -160
4* Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) -135 over Baltimore (Hendrickson)
Range: -115 to -155
3* Atlanta (Lowe) -1.5 runs -105 over Washington (Martis)
Range: +115 to -125
3 UNIT PLAYS
Texas/ Detroit Over 9.5: The Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, while the Over is 6-1 in Galarragas last 7 sthe arts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Last year these teams combined for 15 rpg in the 9 games played, while the last 10 games played here have averaged 12.4 rpg. Armando Galarraga had a fine year for the Tigers last year, posting a 3.73 ERA overall, but it was slighty higher at home (4.18) and he will be facing a hot Texas offense that just hit .346 and scored 29 runs in their 3 games with Cleveland. Kris Benson hasn't pitched in the Majors since 2006 and he has a career 4.34 ERA, plus in his lone stint pitching in the AL (Balt, 2006) he has a 4.82 ERA. Kris also has a career 4.88 ERA in his 61 day starts. Detroit's offense has not started that great, but they still have the potential to be one of the best in the league and should be able to get their fair share of runs off of Benson, while the hot Rangers offense will have their way with Galarraga. Look for 12+ runs in this one.
ATLANTA -1.5 (EVEN) over Washington: The Nats are one of the worst teams in the league as they really have very little hitting to go along with horrible pitching. Washington hit just .226 and posted a 9.38 ERA in their 3 games with the Marlins and they were outscored by 4.3 rpg in the series. Now this bad Nats offense must face Derek Lowe, who shut down the powerful Phils in the Braves opener. derek allowed the Phils just no ER's on 2 hits in 8 innings. The Braves have hit .279 and have scored 19 runs in their 1st 3 games and will be taking on a rookie pitcher (Sharion Martis), who had a 5.89 ERA in his 4 starts last year. Atlanta will come into this game mad after blowing a huge lead in their last game vs the Phils and they will take their frustrations out on a Nationals team team that will be lucky to win 65 games this year. Atlanta easily here.
2 UNIT PLAY
KANSAS CITY +164 over NY Yankees: The Yankees are 1-6 in Pettittes last 7 starts vs. American League Central and 1-9 in Pettittes last 10 starts on grass, while the Royals are 11-1 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Ok let us review. The Yanks lost 2 out of 3 in Baltimore, where the Orioles are not a contender of anything, while the Royals just took 2 of 3 at the White Sox, a team that is much stronger that the Orioles, yet the Royals are huge home underdogs to the Yankees today. i know a few of us here on the forum are expecting a big turnaround by the Royals, but this line shows that vegas doesn't agree. Well folks Vegas is wrong. This royals team will be heard from all year long. They have one off the better outfields in the league. thier infield is also solid and they have a very strong bullpen. The Pitching matchup does favor the Yanks as Petitte is 12-3 vs the Royals, while Ponson is 6-13 vs the Yanks, but this Royals team is young and hungry and they proved that in their trip to ChiTown. The Yanks also showed they are hurting a bit without A-Rod and they will struggle in this series just like the Baltimore series. KC in an Upset here.
1 UNIT PLAY
NY Mets -117 over FLORIDA: The Mets are 23-6 in Maines last 29 starts vs. National League East, while the Marlins are 1-7 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. National League East. John Main is 6-2 with a 2.36 ERA in March/ April over his career, plus he is 3-1 with a 2.75 ERA in 6 starts vs the Fish, including a 2-0 mark with a 3.22 ERA at Dolphin Stadium. The Marlins are 3-0 on the year, but that was vs the Nats and tonight they make a giant step up in competion. Look for Maine to out duel Sanchez, as the Mets take game 1 of this series.
MLB
5 Cubs
4 Texas
4 Texas over
4 Toronto
4 Mets over
3 Seattle
4 Dallas
3 Memphis
3 Memphis under
Tip of the Day - April 10, 2009
Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NHL
Game: 8:30PM Columbus Blue Jackets vs. St. Louis Blues
Prediction: St. Louis Blues
Current Line: -160
Over/Under: 5.5
Reason: The fans at Scottrade Center will be treated to a game between the Columbus Blue Jackets and the St. Louis Blues when they take their seats on Friday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Blues listed as 160-moneyline favorites versus the Blue Jackets, while the game's total is sitting at 5½.
The Blue Jackets clinched their first-ever post-season berth with a 4-3 shootout victory over the Blackhawks on Wednesday, as +110 underdogs. The combined score made it OVER the posted over/under (5.5).
Fedor Tyutin potted the shootout winner, while Antoine Vermette, Jason Williams, and Rick Nash scored in regulation for the Blue Jackets. Steve Mason stopped 24 shots in picking up the victory.
B.J. Crombeen netted a pair of markers, as the Blues overcame the Coyotes 5-1 on Tuesday night.
St. Louis cashed as -135 road favorites as the teams played over the 5.5-goal total set by sportsbooks.
20 DIMERS - CLEVELAND CAVS, PHOENIX SUNS, TAMPA BAY (Sonnanstine over Hendrickson)
20 DIMER - CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Philadelphia picked the wrong time to go into a funk. Sure, the Sixers are in the playoffs, but after losing 3 in a row - inlcuding a double-digit loss last night at Chicago - the 76ers may wind up as the 8th seed before the season is all said and done.
That would be bad news, as tonight's foes is the one they would wind up playing, and as well all know, playing Cleveland is no picnic for anyone, especially not the 76ers who are 0 for their last 4 straight up against the Cavs, and 0-3 against the spread in the last 3 showdowns!
Overall, Cleveland has won 8 of the last 10 meetings, with 6 covers along the way.
Yes, the Cavaliers do have a Sunday showdown at home with Boston, but with the chance they may be playing Philly in the 1st round, the G-Man doubts the Cavs will take Philadelphia lightly.
Lay the points here.
20 DIMER - PHOENIX SUNS
The Suns will be missing the playoffs for the first time since the '04 season, but this team still has pride, and this is a cheap price when you consider Phoenix has won ALL 10 of the last 10 series meetings, and they have covered in 6 of the last 8 series showdowns.
Yeah, Memphis is on a 6-game cover streak, but let's be serious at this near pick price, who would you rather side with?
I know my answer, and it is a 20 Dimer on the Suns baby!
20 DIMER - TAMPA BAY RAYS (Sonnanstine over Hendrickson)
Here is another case of a very cheap road favorite, much like the Cavs, and the Suns I just listed above.
Tampa Bay took 2 out of 3 against the Red Sox at Fenway Park, and now the sledding gets considerably easier against a Baltimore team that somehow took 2 of their opening 3 against the Yankees.
I don't think the O's will be so lucky this weekend, as Tampa thoroughly dominated them in last year's season series, going 15-3 overall against their division rival.
That 15-3 mark includes a nice 7-2 ledger at Camden Yards, one of those wins tossed by tonight's starter Andy Sonnanstine who went 8 innings while allowing just 1 run to score in a start against Baltimore last May.
Mark Hendrickson counters, and the lanky lefty was no mystery to Tampa hitters last season, allowing 8 runs in just 10 innings in a pair of July starts that saw him absorb losses in both starts!
Have to back the defending AL East champs at this reasonable price.
Today's Complimentary Selection
It is a 12-4 comp play run for the G-Man coming into Friday's NBA action!
While it may a little too late for the Bobcats, I am rolling with Charlotte to cover the road impost at Oklahoma City tonight.
Charlotte still has a playoff pulse, but they must win out, and hope for some help from above. Hey, stranger things have happened, and the fact remain the Thunder are crawling to the finish line right now, losers of 9 of their last 11 straight up.
The points haven't been much of a help for Okie City either, as they have dropped 8 of those 11 against the math.
The Bobcats just ended a 3-game slide with a win over Philadelphia the other days, and they have won the last 3 meetings against Oklahoma City, going 2-0-1 against the spread in those 3.
G-Man laying the small road chalk, and backing the Bobcats.
3♦ CHARLOTTE
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
Soccer:
Tours FC/AC Ajaccio over 2 (France Ligue 2)
20* Cincinnati (Cueto) -140 over Pittsburgh (Karstens)
5* Phoenix -2.5 over Memphis (NBA)
L.A. Lakers -1 over Portland (NBA)
4/10/09
MLB
Featured Play: Colorado Over 9.5 -110 (904)
4/10/09
NBA
Featured Play: Utah +3.5 (719)
4/10/09
NBA
Portland +1 (722)
MLB
Tampa Bay -116
NBA
Portland = PK
Detroit = U/189.5
Memphis = U/227
Cleveland = U/188.5
2* Magic -11
4* Suns/Grizzlies over 227
10 Dime Nets
10 Dime Bobcats
10 Dime Hornets
8-4 this week in NBA
Jazz +3.5
Suns -2
Rockets -10
Rockets/Warriors OVR 209
4/10/09
MLB
Black Magic: Cincinnati Over 9 -110 (906)
Friday ...
10 Dime - Indiana Pacers
10 Dime - Memphis Grizzlies
10 Dime - L.A. Lakers
FREE - Twins
Lenny Del Genio | NBA Sides Fri, 04/10/09 - 10:05 PM ?O
double-dime bet 722 POR 1.0 (-110) BetUS vs 721 LAL
Analysis:
Play on Portland at 10:05 ET. This is a huge showcase game for the Blazers For the Lakers, the game means nothing, and they played last night. Portland is unlikely to catch Northwest Division leading Denver, but is in a dogfight for the all-important fourth seed. To illustrate the importance of home cou?rt advantage for the Blazers, consider that this team is 31-7 SU at home and just 19-21 SU on the road. They have really done well, from a pointspread perspective, against the Lakers here in the Rose Garden, covering 8 of 10. They have also won seven in a row SU. That includes a 17pt win last month, which the Blazers will remember, as G Fernandez was injured late in the 3rd quarter on a hard foul. Over the last two seasons, Portland is 17-4 ATS coming off BB ATS wins. Portland is our NBA VEGAS ICON Play.
NBA:
Utah Jazz +3
MLB:
Kansas City Royals +160
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers over 9.5
Cubs -145
Rays -120
Braves -1.5 -105
Hawks -6
2-Unit Play. Take #901 Chicago Cubs (-140) over Milwaukee (4 p.m., Friday, April 10)
Underdog System Plays
1-Unit Play. Take #917 Texas (+130) over Detroit (1 p.m., Friday, April 10)
1-Unit Play. Take #904 Colorado (+120) over Philadelphia (4 p.m., Friday, April 10)
1-Unit Play. Take #924 Baltimore (+120) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Friday, April 10)
1-Unit Play. Take #922 Kansas City (+150) over N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Friday, April 10)
Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.5 Texas at Detroit (1 p.m., Friday, April 10)
1-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Toronto at Cleveland (4 p.m., Friday, April 10)
1-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Friday, April 10)
1-Unit Play. Take Over 10.0 L.A. Dodgers at Arizona (8 p.m., Friday, April 10)
utah/ playmaker.
passing baseball
1000 Units Top Play NY Yankees over Kansas City
1000 Units Top Play Charlotte minus the points over Oklahoma City
1000 Units Top Play Seattle/Oakland UNDER the total
50 Units New York plus the points over Orlando
50 Units Toronto/Cleveland OVER the total
Great Lakes sports plays?
Thanks everyone!