Dr Bob
2 Star Selection
SANTA CLARA (-4) over Portland
28-Feb-09 03:00 PM Pacific Time
Santa Clara is a better team than their 14-16 record suggests and the Broncos nearly beat the Pilots up in Portland despite their poor out-side shooting. The Broncos lost that game 52-53 (as a 4 ½ point dog) while only making 5 of 21 3-point shots compared to 6 for 13 from beyond the arc for Portland. Portland is a good 3-point shooting team (41.5%), but Santa Clara has made 34.9% from 3-point range for the season and I dont expect such a randomly big discrepancy in 3-point shooting in this game. Most telling in that first meeting was how Santa Clara big man John Bryant (6-10, 305 pounds and 2nd in the nation in rebounding) dominated the Pilots skinny post tandem of Robin Smeulders and Kramer Knutson. Bryant had 15 points and 22 rebounds while Smeulders and Knutson combined to miss all 11 shots they took for a total of 1 point and 7 rebounds. Bryant has been playing like a man with NBA aspirations lately and he should dominate the paint again while Portland isnt as likely to be as fortunate in the long range shooting category as they were in the first meeting. My ratings favor Santa Clara by 4 ½ points and the Broncos apply to a solid 73-23-6 ATS last home game situation. Portland hasnt beaten a team as good as Santa Clara on the road this season (their best road win was a 3 point win at UC Davis, who I rate as 6 points worse than Santa Clara. Ill take Santa Clara in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less and for 3-Stars at -3 or less.
2-Stars at -4 or less.
3 Star Selection
Wyoming (pk) over AIR FORCE
28-Feb-09 03:00 PM Pacific Time
Air Force played an easy non-conference schedule and the Falcons brand of basketball tends to work best on teams that are not used to their style of play. Non-conference foes know how to play against Air Force and the Falcons lack of talent has been exposed in conference play, as Air Force is 0-13 straight up in the conference (2-11 ATS). Air Force is now 3-31 ATS in regular season conference games when not getting 12 points or more against a team with a win percentage of greater than .600, including 0-6 ATS this season and that includes a 59-72 loss as a 7 ½ point dog at Wyoming. There are 5 good teams in the Mountain West and Wyoming finds themselves in 6th place while struggling against those good teams (2-6 straight up and 3-5 ATS), but the Cowboys are 4-1 straight up and 5-0ATS against the other 3 teams in the MWC (TCU, Colorado State, and Air Force), with the only loss coming by 1 point as a 7 ½ point dog. Air Force hasnt come close to beating one of the 5 good teams in the conference and the Falcons are 0-5 straight up and 0-5 ATS against TCU, CSU, and Wyoming. My ratings favor Wyoming by 4 ½ points, which gives us good line value on the Cowboys today. Ill take Wyoming in a 3-Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 2-Stars at -1 ½ or -2 points.
3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars at -1 1/2 or -2.
RANGERPICKS
2-28-09
- All lines are from Caribsports
- All times listed are CST
- All selections are risking $110 to win $100.
**2008 Record 29-27-1
**2009 Record 115-95-5 (3-2 Friday)
Balance= +1,180
(----) is the rating. The higher the number the stronger the play
NBA
Check back
NCAAB
1:00 Mizzou St. +2.5 (55)
3:00 Detroit U +2 (58)
3:00 Alabama +5 (51)
5:00 Air Force +1 (55)
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Montreal as they host San Jose slated to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 79-25 for 76% winners and has made 45.7 units since 1996. Play against any team against the money line and is an extremely tired team playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the second half of the season. Here is another system that has gone 156-159 for just 49.5% winners, but has made a whopping 53.3 units exploiting false favorites with the average play a +136 DOG. Play against a favorite against the money line that is a tired team playing their 4th game in 7 days and with the game taking place in February. San Jose is just 2-7 against the money line (-11.5 Units) against good offensive teams averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season; 3-8 against the money line (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season. Sa Jose looks to be quite tired as well and it reflects on the scoreboard. Although they have won 5 of their last 6 they have scored just 4 goals in 2 of these games. They have scored just 7 goals over their last 4 games. Montreal is playing very strong offense and has averaged 4 goals per game in their last 4 games. San Jose has one of the best PP units in the game, but Montreal can more than offset that strength with their 9th best PP killing unit. Take Montreal.
Play: *2 Units. #508. Take the Chicago Bulls -1 over Houston Rockets (Saturday @ 8:30pm est). (POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: *2 Units. #508. Take the Chicago Bulls -1 over Houston Rockets (Saturday @ 8:30pm est). We had a letdown yesterday as the Timberwolves barely even show up as despite we hit the CBB 5* GOM with Rider, we failed to cash in the NBA GOM. That brings the 5* Lifetime to 31-8 Now. The news is that we will end with a winning month of February, albeit small. We are up overall +10 units in Hoops with college ball as our saving grace. Let's cash today in the Association as well as in college to close the month up double-digits units. A bit of a let down from the +66 units in January, but it's much better than losing money. I feel good as we look ahead to Saturday Night's contest with the Bulls against the Rockets. Getting the Bulls at this price is solid. Look, this team comes off an embarrassing loss to one of the duds in the league in Washington (although Washington might be game at Milwaukee today) and they will look to bounce-back at home. Do you remember the last time Chicago was at home? They took care of business against the Magic. Why can they not do that here at home? With 66% of the public favoring Houston and the line moving in favor of Chicago, this is an indicator that money is coming in on the Bulls. And, remember, the Bulls have revenge from a 7 point loss earlier this year at Houston. Houston had McGrady that game but they will not have him tonight or most of the season. Yes, Houston is a good team. But, on the road, they are a bit different as their offense defense more than they want it to on Rafer Alston. I do love the fact that Houston comes off a monster win over the Cavs on primetime TNT only to face a Bulls team that comes off a terrible loss to Washington. This is a Saturday night game. The Bulls are ticked. They have revenge. They return home with that revenge. The Rockets have the backing of 66% of the public only to come off a very public nationally televised win which means they are prime for a let down here. When the Bulls played Orlando at home, they had double-figures from 7 players and frankly, they are good enough to put up double-digits from 8 players. This game will be lower scoring than the Magic game, but will be prototypical of that game. Remember, the Bulls feature constant scoring threats with the likes of Deng, Rose, Gordon, Hinrich, Salmons, Miller, Noah and Tim Thomas. The Bulls can play folks and they will be prime for a big game against the Rockets with revenge following an ugly loss. The Bulls are 6-1 ATS following a straight up loss and the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Play: 2 Unit Play. #558. Take Purdue -9.5 over Ohio State (Saturday @ 4pm est).
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: *2 Unit Play. #558. Take Purdue -9.5 over Ohio State (Saturday @ 4pm est). We fell a few points short with our total yesterday and that brings us to 3-2 in cbb this week. All in all, it is our CBB that has helped us secure a winning month gaining +15 units as we gained an overall +10 units in the month of February. A bit of a letdown if you ask me from +66 in January. But, that's where money management comes into play and why it's great to have the Guarantee that we have with the service as I simply work until we make you money before you re-up. That's the confidence we have as we stay patient and plug ahead. Let's end the note in double-digit units of profit as we cheer on the Boilermakers at home against Ohio State. Yes, this is a lot of points and I nearly went with the hot Panthers of Georgia State to cover the big number against VCU. But, I'd rather roll with Purdue at home. This is similar to the Cavs in some ways against the Spurs in the NBA. The Cavs came off a tough TV loss only to bounce-back nicely and win the next time around in easy fashion against the Spurs on the road. Well, we have Purdue here, who come off a tough loss at Michigan and who continued to play hard the whole way. That was a must win revenge game for Michigan. For Purdue, this is a revenge game. They lost to Ohio State on the road earlier this year in OT 72-80. You don't think Purdue remembers that loss? Purdue does have Hummel back and has been able to beat the likes of Michigan State at home by 18, Penn State by 14, Michigan by 18, Iowa by 22 and Wisconsin by 13. So, is it all that impossible they don't lay the wood on Ohio State with revenge at home? This game will be televised and I think Purdue can blast them to a 15 digit or better win here. Remember, Purdue gets calls at home and I think this game will be similar to when Ohio State lost by 18 to Illinois on the road. Furthermore, whenever 60% of the public rides a public dog, usually that is a reason to question the dog to begin with. I think this game starts out somewhat tight and then Purdue has a big second half as they have done at home for the most part of this year. Purdue 70, Ohio State 55.
NBA Smash of the Month
New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
Play: NY Knicks +6
20 Units, Take the NY Knicks ATS, Take the NY Knicks as my NBA Smash of the Month since I have them covering hands down tonight on the road.
NHL Game of the Year
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators
Play: Ottawa -145
25 Units, Take Ottawa ML, Take Ottawa as my NHL Game of the Year.
NCAAB Slam Dunk of the Week
Milwaukee vs. Detroit U
Play: Detroit +2
20 Units, Take Detroit ATS, Grab the points with Detroit as my NCAAB Slam Dunk of the Week.
SEC Bookie Buster of the Year
LSU vs. Kentucky
Play:Kentucky -4.5
25 Units, Take Kentucky ATS, Take Kentucky as my SEC Bookie Buster of the Year.
The first of the rivalry selections takes us up to the ailing state of Michigan, where these 2 schools are separated by just a short bust ride. Neither team is going anywhere in the post season but in-state bragging rights are at stake for an otherwise mild rivalry with fans that have nothing better to do on a Saturday than travel up the road to watch this game. EMU is just 1-12 on the road and got off to a horrible start, not earning their first D-1 win until January 13th when they defeated Central Michigan. They also lost a lot of games by double digits...until recently. Their last 6 games have been close, mainly because sometimes coaches make changes when they figure out that certain things just aren't working when you continuously try the same thing (Detroit Pistons coaches- take note). This certainly isn't an attention grabber of a rivalry but look for EMU to at least put up a fight. They have actually won 8 of the last 10 against CMU and the 2 losses were close.
Central Michigan doesn't blow teams out within their league. Except for Northern Illinois, they haven't defeated any other MAC team by more than 10 points in the last 6 years.
Central Michigan 64, Eastern Michigan 60
Play on: EASTERN MICHIGAN
ILLINOIS ST. (+8) over CREIGHTON
This is a great mid-west rivalry matchup between the 2 best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference (MVC). Creighton was the pick to finish first but the Redbirds, with significant returning starters, were the pick to finish right behind and that looks to be the way it will end up. Four players can notch double figures for the Redbirds on any given night and although Creighton comes in with the 9 game win streak, Illinois State could have easily matched that. After starting the season 14-0 they dropped a few conference games, but keep something in mind. They lost 3 games in overtime, lost to Bradley and Northern Iowa by 4 and Wichita St. by 6. They have not been a good road team in the past, but they are this season. Wins at Drake, SIU, Evansville and Missouri State prove they can stand the propensity of the MVC's toughest gyms, and they beat Creighton by 22 points in the first meeting in early January. Five players were in double figures in that game, proving the Redbirds matchup up with Creighton well.
Anytime an NCAAB team has a reasonable chance to win outright, there's no reason not to jump in head first. The Redbirds, who have yet to lose a MVC road game by 8 points, are the pick to cover as they need this game more then Creighton and have lost just 1 game all season by more than 6 points.
Comments
Illinois St. , California and Stanford
2 Star Selection
SANTA CLARA (-4) over Portland
28-Feb-09 03:00 PM Pacific Time
Santa Clara is a better team than their 14-16 record suggests and the Broncos nearly beat the Pilots up in Portland despite their poor out-side shooting. The Broncos lost that game 52-53 (as a 4 ½ point dog) while only making 5 of 21 3-point shots compared to 6 for 13 from beyond the arc for Portland. Portland is a good 3-point shooting team (41.5%), but Santa Clara has made 34.9% from 3-point range for the season and I dont expect such a randomly big discrepancy in 3-point shooting in this game. Most telling in that first meeting was how Santa Clara big man John Bryant (6-10, 305 pounds and 2nd in the nation in rebounding) dominated the Pilots skinny post tandem of Robin Smeulders and Kramer Knutson. Bryant had 15 points and 22 rebounds while Smeulders and Knutson combined to miss all 11 shots they took for a total of 1 point and 7 rebounds. Bryant has been playing like a man with NBA aspirations lately and he should dominate the paint again while Portland isnt as likely to be as fortunate in the long range shooting category as they were in the first meeting. My ratings favor Santa Clara by 4 ½ points and the Broncos apply to a solid 73-23-6 ATS last home game situation. Portland hasnt beaten a team as good as Santa Clara on the road this season (their best road win was a 3 point win at UC Davis, who I rate as 6 points worse than Santa Clara. Ill take Santa Clara in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less and for 3-Stars at -3 or less.
2-Stars at -4 or less.
3 Star Selection
Wyoming (pk) over AIR FORCE
28-Feb-09 03:00 PM Pacific Time
Air Force played an easy non-conference schedule and the Falcons brand of basketball tends to work best on teams that are not used to their style of play. Non-conference foes know how to play against Air Force and the Falcons lack of talent has been exposed in conference play, as Air Force is 0-13 straight up in the conference (2-11 ATS). Air Force is now 3-31 ATS in regular season conference games when not getting 12 points or more against a team with a win percentage of greater than .600, including 0-6 ATS this season and that includes a 59-72 loss as a 7 ½ point dog at Wyoming. There are 5 good teams in the Mountain West and Wyoming finds themselves in 6th place while struggling against those good teams (2-6 straight up and 3-5 ATS), but the Cowboys are 4-1 straight up and 5-0ATS against the other 3 teams in the MWC (TCU, Colorado State, and Air Force), with the only loss coming by 1 point as a 7 ½ point dog. Air Force hasnt come close to beating one of the 5 good teams in the conference and the Falcons are 0-5 straight up and 0-5 ATS against TCU, CSU, and Wyoming. My ratings favor Wyoming by 4 ½ points, which gives us good line value on the Cowboys today. Ill take Wyoming in a 3-Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 2-Stars at -1 ½ or -2 points.
3-Stars at -1 or better, 2-Stars at -1 1/2 or -2.
2-28-09
- All lines are from Caribsports
- All times listed are CST
- All selections are risking $110 to win $100.
**2008 Record 29-27-1
**2009 Record 115-95-5 (3-2 Friday)
Balance= +1,180
(----) is the rating. The higher the number the stronger the play
NBA
Check back
NCAAB
1:00 Mizzou St. +2.5 (55)
3:00 Detroit U +2 (58)
3:00 Alabama +5 (51)
5:00 Air Force +1 (55)
Opinions
7:00 Tulane +3.5 (42)
were on a 17-2 run in college but have cooled lately
won there last 2 in nba but lost 5 str in college
idaho
400 CONNECTICUT
400 WASHINGTON (cbb)
300 lsu
300 alabama
Pick title: 3* Dayton -3
Pick Date: 02/28/2009
kentucky - playmaker
thats a good thing, all those clowns were wrong
Ryans 1st NHL 15* Graded Play of the Year
Money Line: 135 Montreal Canadiens
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Montreal as they host San Jose slated to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 79-25 for 76% winners and has made 45.7 units since 1996. Play against any team against the money line and is an extremely tired team playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the second half of the season. Here is another system that has gone 156-159 for just 49.5% winners, but has made a whopping 53.3 units exploiting false favorites with the average play a +136 DOG. Play against a favorite against the money line that is a tired team playing their 4th game in 7 days and with the game taking place in February. San Jose is just 2-7 against the money line (-11.5 Units) against good offensive teams averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season; 3-8 against the money line (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season. Sa Jose looks to be quite tired as well and it reflects on the scoreboard. Although they have won 5 of their last 6 they have scored just 4 goals in 2 of these games. They have scored just 7 goals over their last 4 games. Montreal is playing very strong offense and has averaged 4 goals per game in their last 4 games. San Jose has one of the best PP units in the game, but Montreal can more than offset that strength with their 9th best PP killing unit. Take Montreal.
Hockey
#60 - NHL - 3 units on Montreal +135
#71 - NHL - 3 units on Minnesota +110
Play: *2 Units. #508. Take the Chicago Bulls -1 over Houston Rockets (Saturday @ 8:30pm est). (POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: *2 Units. #508. Take the Chicago Bulls -1 over Houston Rockets (Saturday @ 8:30pm est). We had a letdown yesterday as the Timberwolves barely even show up as despite we hit the CBB 5* GOM with Rider, we failed to cash in the NBA GOM. That brings the 5* Lifetime to 31-8 Now. The news is that we will end with a winning month of February, albeit small. We are up overall +10 units in Hoops with college ball as our saving grace. Let's cash today in the Association as well as in college to close the month up double-digits units. A bit of a let down from the +66 units in January, but it's much better than losing money. I feel good as we look ahead to Saturday Night's contest with the Bulls against the Rockets. Getting the Bulls at this price is solid. Look, this team comes off an embarrassing loss to one of the duds in the league in Washington (although Washington might be game at Milwaukee today) and they will look to bounce-back at home. Do you remember the last time Chicago was at home? They took care of business against the Magic. Why can they not do that here at home? With 66% of the public favoring Houston and the line moving in favor of Chicago, this is an indicator that money is coming in on the Bulls. And, remember, the Bulls have revenge from a 7 point loss earlier this year at Houston. Houston had McGrady that game but they will not have him tonight or most of the season. Yes, Houston is a good team. But, on the road, they are a bit different as their offense defense more than they want it to on Rafer Alston. I do love the fact that Houston comes off a monster win over the Cavs on primetime TNT only to face a Bulls team that comes off a terrible loss to Washington. This is a Saturday night game. The Bulls are ticked. They have revenge. They return home with that revenge. The Rockets have the backing of 66% of the public only to come off a very public nationally televised win which means they are prime for a let down here. When the Bulls played Orlando at home, they had double-figures from 7 players and frankly, they are good enough to put up double-digits from 8 players. This game will be lower scoring than the Magic game, but will be prototypical of that game. Remember, the Bulls feature constant scoring threats with the likes of Deng, Rose, Gordon, Hinrich, Salmons, Miller, Noah and Tim Thomas. The Bulls can play folks and they will be prime for a big game against the Rockets with revenge following an ugly loss. The Bulls are 6-1 ATS following a straight up loss and the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Play: 2 Unit Play. #558. Take Purdue -9.5 over Ohio State (Saturday @ 4pm est).
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: *2 Unit Play. #558. Take Purdue -9.5 over Ohio State (Saturday @ 4pm est). We fell a few points short with our total yesterday and that brings us to 3-2 in cbb this week. All in all, it is our CBB that has helped us secure a winning month gaining +15 units as we gained an overall +10 units in the month of February. A bit of a letdown if you ask me from +66 in January. But, that's where money management comes into play and why it's great to have the Guarantee that we have with the service as I simply work until we make you money before you re-up. That's the confidence we have as we stay patient and plug ahead. Let's end the note in double-digit units of profit as we cheer on the Boilermakers at home against Ohio State. Yes, this is a lot of points and I nearly went with the hot Panthers of Georgia State to cover the big number against VCU. But, I'd rather roll with Purdue at home. This is similar to the Cavs in some ways against the Spurs in the NBA. The Cavs came off a tough TV loss only to bounce-back nicely and win the next time around in easy fashion against the Spurs on the road. Well, we have Purdue here, who come off a tough loss at Michigan and who continued to play hard the whole way. That was a must win revenge game for Michigan. For Purdue, this is a revenge game. They lost to Ohio State on the road earlier this year in OT 72-80. You don't think Purdue remembers that loss? Purdue does have Hummel back and has been able to beat the likes of Michigan State at home by 18, Penn State by 14, Michigan by 18, Iowa by 22 and Wisconsin by 13. So, is it all that impossible they don't lay the wood on Ohio State with revenge at home? This game will be televised and I think Purdue can blast them to a 15 digit or better win here. Remember, Purdue gets calls at home and I think this game will be similar to when Ohio State lost by 18 to Illinois on the road. Furthermore, whenever 60% of the public rides a public dog, usually that is a reason to question the dog to begin with. I think this game starts out somewhat tight and then Purdue has a big second half as they have done at home for the most part of this year. Purdue 70, Ohio State 55.
NBA Smash of the Month
New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
Play: NY Knicks +6
20 Units, Take the NY Knicks ATS, Take the NY Knicks as my NBA Smash of the Month since I have them covering hands down tonight on the road.
NHL Game of the Year
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators
Play: Ottawa -145
25 Units, Take Ottawa ML, Take Ottawa as my NHL Game of the Year.
NCAAB Slam Dunk of the Week
Milwaukee vs. Detroit U
Play: Detroit +2
20 Units, Take Detroit ATS, Grab the points with Detroit as my NCAAB Slam Dunk of the Week.
SEC Bookie Buster of the Year
LSU vs. Kentucky
Play:Kentucky -4.5
25 Units, Take Kentucky ATS, Take Kentucky as my SEC Bookie Buster of the Year.
big al's acc and pac 10 goy's
fargo 10* goy
marc lawrence rev goy
spreitzer conf rev goy
thanks
Spreitzer 25*- The Citadel
10 UTEP
5 northwestern
5 portland university
3 boise state
cbb. northern iowa-6' (500*)
cbb. gonzaga-9 (30*)
cbb. tcu+4(20*)
cbb. wisconsin green bay+2 (20*)
cbb. tulsa-7(10*)
cbb. kansas state-8 (10*) free play
Not seeing it
Chicago
Miami
Memphis
book it and lock it !!!!!
EASTERN MICHIGAN (+9) over CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The first of the rivalry selections takes us up to the ailing state of Michigan, where these 2 schools are separated by just a short bust ride. Neither team is going anywhere in the post season but in-state bragging rights are at stake for an otherwise mild rivalry with fans that have nothing better to do on a Saturday than travel up the road to watch this game. EMU is just 1-12 on the road and got off to a horrible start, not earning their first D-1 win until January 13th when they defeated Central Michigan. They also lost a lot of games by double digits...until recently. Their last 6 games have been close, mainly because sometimes coaches make changes when they figure out that certain things just aren't working when you continuously try the same thing (Detroit Pistons coaches- take note). This certainly isn't an attention grabber of a rivalry but look for EMU to at least put up a fight. They have actually won 8 of the last 10 against CMU and the 2 losses were close.
Central Michigan doesn't blow teams out within their league. Except for Northern Illinois, they haven't defeated any other MAC team by more than 10 points in the last 6 years.
Central Michigan 64, Eastern Michigan 60
Play on: EASTERN MICHIGAN
ILLINOIS ST. (+8) over CREIGHTON
This is a great mid-west rivalry matchup between the 2 best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference (MVC). Creighton was the pick to finish first but the Redbirds, with significant returning starters, were the pick to finish right behind and that looks to be the way it will end up. Four players can notch double figures for the Redbirds on any given night and although Creighton comes in with the 9 game win streak, Illinois State could have easily matched that. After starting the season 14-0 they dropped a few conference games, but keep something in mind. They lost 3 games in overtime, lost to Bradley and Northern Iowa by 4 and Wichita St. by 6. They have not been a good road team in the past, but they are this season. Wins at Drake, SIU, Evansville and Missouri State prove they can stand the propensity of the MVC's toughest gyms, and they beat Creighton by 22 points in the first meeting in early January. Five players were in double figures in that game, proving the Redbirds matchup up with Creighton well.
Anytime an NCAAB team has a reasonable chance to win outright, there's no reason not to jump in head first. The Redbirds, who have yet to lose a MVC road game by 8 points, are the pick to cover as they need this game more then Creighton and have lost just 1 game all season by more than 6 points.
Creighton 75, Illinois St. 74
Play on: ILLINOIS ST.