Service Play Thread for Friday
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RULES:
1. Please do not post any plays from site sponsors:
Right Angle Sports
Advantage Plays
Who2BetOn (The Prez, Pacific Star, LT Profits, Mike Rose, Alex Smart, JBSports, AJ Apollo, Ken Jenkins, Jon Gold, Dr D Sports, Mike Martell)
Doc's Sports (Strike Point, Vegas Sports Informer, Robert Ferringo, Allen Eastman)
2. Please do not post any plays from site contributors:
AAA Sports
3. Please keep the thread as clean as possible by not repeating requests for plays.
4. DO NOT post e-mail addresses or request others to post their own.
Thank you!
Comments
Soccer:
Cambuur Leeuwarden/FC Omniworld over 3 (Dutch Eerste Divisie)
Clermont Foot/Troyes over 2 (France League 2)
Mainz/Hansa Rostock over 3 (German 2 Bundesliga)
Vitesse Arnhem -140 (Dutch Eredivisie)
Soccer:
Dutch Eerste Divisie:
AGOVV Apeldoorn / BV Veendam over 3
FC Zwolle / FC Emmen VV over 3
VVV Venlo / TOP/Oss over 3
France Ligue 2:
AC Ajaccio / Brest over 2
German 2 Bundesliga:
Mainz / Hansa Rostock over 3
Lakers
Basketball
3 units on Orlando -2.5
3 units on New Orleans +9
3 units on Columbia +4
Today's Free Pick is Portland -5
Premium Plays
Paul Leiner:
300* NBA Over 189 Char/Orl
50* CBB Over 138 Nev/VCU
25* CBB Princeton -5
10* CBB Illinois State +2.5
NCAA
Play Illinois State (+2.5) over Niagara* (Top NCAA Play)
Illinois State has won 5 of the last 6 games and they have also won 17 of the last 21 games coming off a win. Illinois State has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games as a road underdog.
Play Pennsylvania (-10) over Dartmouth* (Bonus NCAA Play)
Pennsylvania has won and covered the spread in 3 consecutive games and they have also won 22 of the last 23 games vs. Dartmouth. Pennsylvania has won 12 consecutive games as a favorite of 10 points or more.
NBA Hoops
Play Milwaukee (+7.5) over Cleveland (NBA Top Play)
NHL
Play Washington (-280) over Colorado* (NHL Bonus Play)
Mighty hit with Portland (-14) Thursday night.
Friday it's Penn. The profit is 215 sirignanos
VSE Power Plays
10* Take Princeton (-4.5) over Harvard (NCAA Power Play)
Harvard
3-11 ATS in all games this season
8-19 ATS in all road games over the last 3 seasons
2-8 ATS when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent
5* Take Orlando (-2) over Charlotte (NBA Bonus Play)
Orlando
10-2 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3
9-1 ATS coming off a road loss by 10 points or more
9-1 ATS coming off two or more consecutive OVER the totals
Bonus Pays
5* Take Nevada (-1) over VCU (NCAA)
5* Take Detroit (-300) over Anaheim (NHL)
Play: 15* Dallas plus over Houston
In their battle off the break, the Rockets showed they are very capable of winning without McGrady. However, Houston does set up this evening against a long time hated rival in the visiting Mavs. With Dallas improving on both ends of the floor, I love our chances with the barking dog. Recall, the UNDERDOG is 5-0 ATS in the series, while Dallas has covered 5 straight at Houston.
Dallas (32-21, 25-28 ATS) at Houston (33-21, 24-29-1 ATS)
Two Texas rivals in the thick of the playoff chase in the Southwest Division battle it out at the Toyota Center, where the Rockets host the Mavericks.
Dallas opened the second half of the season Wednesday with an easy 113-98 victory over the Nets, cashing as an eight-point favorite. The Mavs have won seven of their last nine games (6-3 ATS) and theyve scored at least 104 points in all seven of those wins and 92 or less in the two losses.
Houston also is coming off an easy win over the Nets, routing New Jersey on Tuesday 114-88 and easily covering as a 6½-point chalk. The Rockets have won five of their last seven (3-3-1 ATS) overall and five straight at the Toyota Center (3-1-1 ATS), where they put the clamps on opponent, allowing 92.3 points per game this season.
The road team has won the last five meetings (SU and ATS) between these rivals, including the firs two clashes this season. Houston went to Dallas on Oct. 30 and got a 112-102 victory as a four-point dog, but the Mavs got revenge on Nov. 19 the Mavs in a 96-86 victory in Houston as three-point pups. Dallas is 7-2 SU and ATS in the last nine meetings with the Rockets, and the straight-up winner is 10-0 ATS in this rivalry dating back to 2006 (playoffs included).
The Mavericks are on ATS runs of 10-4 as a road dog, 4-1 against the Western Conference and 6-2 as a road dog of up to 4½-points. Meanwhile the Rockets are on a plethora of ATS slides that include 7-20-1 after a spread-cover, 3-7 against the Western Conference, 0-5 on Fridays and 1-4 against Southwest Division foes.
Dallas has stayed under the total in eight of 11 against the Southwest Division and four of five as a road dog of up to 4½-points. Houston has stayed below the total in 21 of 31 as a home favorite, but the Rockets are on over streaks of 7-3 after a spread-cover, 4-0 after a straight-up win and 4-0 at home against teams with a winning road mark. In this series, the under has been the play in four of the last five in Houston.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS
Atlanta (32-22, 28-26 ATS) at Portland (33-20, 26-27 ATS)
The Hawks continue their jaunt through the Western Conference with a stop in the Rose Garden in Portland for a matchup with the Trail Blazers.
Atlanta came out of the All-Star break and lost to the Lakers 96-83 on Tuesday as an 8½-point dogs, then turned around and beat the Kings on Wednesday 105-100, but again failed to cash, this time as a 6½-point road chalk. Hawks point guard and former King Mike Bibby delivered a monster effort in Sacramento, scoring 29 points, while center Al Horford added 18 points and 18 rebounds in the victory.
Portland emerged from the All-Star break Wednesday and got a 94-90 victory over Memphis, but came nowhere near covering as 11½-poing favorites. The Blazers have won seven of 10 overall but they are just 1-5 ATS in the last six. However, at home they are 16-10 ATS this season and allow just 93.3 points per game while pouring in 101.8.
The road team has dominated this series, with the visitor winning four of the last five and cashing in each of the last nine meetings dating back to 2004. Portland is 9-1 SU in the last 10 battles against the Hawks dating back to 2003 and the Blazers have held the Hawks to 100 points or less in seven of the 10. However, Atlanta has gotten the cash in its last four visits to the Rose Garden, and the dog is 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings.
The Hawks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six against the Western Conference and 2-6 ATS in their last eight against teams with a winning record, but they are on positive ATS trends of 11-5 as a road dog, 13-5 as a dog anywhere and 5-2 against Northwest Division teams. Portland is on ATS slides of 1-5 overall, 0-4 on Fridays and 6-13 after getting one day off, but the Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven after a straight-up win and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against teams with a losing road record.
Atlanta has topped the total in eight of 10 games after a straight-up win and four of five on Fridays, but the Hawks have stayed under the total in four of five against the Western Conference. Portland is on under runs of 4-1 overall, 5-1 after a non-cover and 13-6 as a favorite of five to 10 ½-points. In this series, the over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in the Rose Garden.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA
New Orleans (32-20, 22-28-2 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (44-10, 29-25 ATS)
Two teams that have come out of the All-Star break strong meet in the Staples Center in Los Angeles, where the Hornets visit the Lakers.
New Orleans buried Orlando on Wednesday 117-85, cashing as a 1½-point home favorite. The Hornets snapped a three-game ATS slide and cashed for just the third time in their last 10 games. New Orleans has been tightening up the defense lately, allowing just 90.8 points per game and 41.1 percent shooting over the last five contests.
The Lakers have come out of the break with consecutive wins and covers, including Wednesdays 129-121 road win at Golden State as a 4½-point chalk. L.A. is on a 9-1 SU (8-2 ATS) streak since Jan. 30, scoring in triple digits in nine of those 10.
The road team has won six of the last eight meetings (7-1 ATS) in this budding rivalry, including all three matchups this season. New Orleans went to the Staples Center on Jan. 6 and got a 116-105 victory as a seven-point underdog, improving to 4-0 ATS in the Hornets last four trips to the Staples Center. The dog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 in this rivalry.
New Orleans is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 games against Pacific Division squads, but otherwise the Hornets are on negative ATS trends of 3-7 overall, 7-20 as a dog, 6-20 as a road dog, 0-4 on the road and 9-23-2 after a spread-cover. Los Angeles is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 after getting one day off and 2-6 ATS in its last eight Friday games, but the Lakers are on ATS runs of 6-1 as a favorite, 8-2 overall, 5-1 against teams with a winning record and 6-1 after a spread-cover.
The Hornets are on over streaks of 7-2 overall, 7-2-1 on the road, 5-2 as a road dog, 4-1 against Western Conference teams and 5-1-1 on the road against teams with a winning home record. The Lakers have stayed under the total in five of their last seven home games, but the over is on runs of 8-3 overall, 16-5 after a straight-up win, 6-2 as a favorite and 4-1 against Southwest Division teams. In this rivalry, the under is 5-1 in the last six overall, but the over is 6-1 in the last seven inside the Staples Center.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
NBA:
Nuggets - 2.5
NEw Orleans + 9 ( small )
NcaaB:
Princeton - 5
under Niagara 140
FADE AWAY GUYS LANG HAS LOST 9 STRAIGHT DAYS BABY THE FADE IS SO HOT HERE ARE HIS PLAYS: AND NOW -233 DIMES SINCE FEB 2
5-Dime Knicks - Analysis by 4 p.m. eastern
5-Dime Timberwolves -
5-Dime Bobcats -
FREE - VCU
L.A. Lakers -9
Game 1 - Avs/Caps over 6
Game 2 - Ducks/Wings over 5.5
They have a huge 500,000 Star Play Tonight
Thanks & Good Luck
Pick # 1 Tampa Bay Lightning (180)
20 Dime Thunder-Suns OVER
10 Dime MAGIC
5 Dime YALE
Overall record: 744-631-26
Current streak: 5 wins
Todays play: VCU +1
Carlo Campanella - Den Nuggets
30 Dime Teaser - Cleveland & New Jersey
45 Dimes on Dallas Mavericks
Free pick: Columbia - 2 Stars
Basketball (NBA)
UNDER Rockets/Mavs
Game: Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Game Time: 2/20/2009 8:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Houston and Dallas to finish UNDER the total. What a difference a couple hundred miles can make! Including a high-scoring (112-102) affair back on 10/30, the 'over' is a 3-0 the last three times that these teams faced each other at Dallas and 9-4 the last 13 meetings there. However, the games played here at Houston have been a different story. Including a low-scoring (96-86) affair in mid-November, the UNDER is 4-1 the last five series meetings here at Houston. Note that those five games averaged only 179 combined points and that NONE of them finished with greater than 194. In other words, all five games would have fallen below tonight's generous number. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at a profitable 11-3-2 the last 16 times that the Mavericks traveled to Houston. The Mavs exploded for 113 points last time out. However, that was against defensively- challenged New Jersey. In their previous game, facing a better defense (Boston) they managed only 92. In their most recent road game (at Utah) they managed a mere 87. The Rockets also faced New Jersey last game and also scored a lot (114) points. Note that they only managed 94 the previous game though and that was against Sacramento, one of the weaker defensive teams in the league. Additionally, note that the defense was very strong in both those games. The Rockets held the Nets to only 88 points and they limited the Kings to a mere 82. Including those results, the Rockets have held their last seven guests to 100 points or less. Looking back further and only four of the last 20 teams to travel here have topped the 100 point mark. All four of those teams (Lakers, Nuggets, Jazz, Warriors) rank in the top seven in the league in scoring, all of them above Dallas. The Mavs have seen the UNDER go 3-0 the last three times that they were listed as underdogs. They've also seen the UNDER go 9-4 the last 13 times that they played a road game with an over/under line in the 195 to 199.5 range. With Houston's divisional games averaging only 181.2 combined points, I feel that tonight's number is more than fair. *Blue Chip
NBA
Game: Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Bobcats Game Time: 2/20/2009 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats Reason: I'm taking the points with CHARLOTTE. The Bobcats come in playing with "double-revenge," having lost a pair of games vs. the Magic already this season. A closer look shows that Charlotte covered the spread in each of those games, most recently a 5-point overtime loss at Orlando on Tuesday. Both teams played the next day. The Magic got crushed at New Orleans. The Bobcats won and covered vs. the Pacers. While the Magic are now 0-3 ATS their last three games, the Bobcats are now 5-0 ATS their last five. The Bobcats have been getting healthier, recently getting back leading scorer Gerald Wallace. Note that Wallace had 25 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists last game, with coach Larry Brown commenting: "He was great tonight. Thank God we had him...." Conversely, the loss of Jameer Nelson has been negatively affecting some of the other Orlando stars. While Howard continues to put up big stats, Turkoglu and Lewis have struggled since Nelson went down. Since the injury, Turkoglu is averaging 14.3 points on 35.6 percent shooting, while Lewis is averaging 13.8 points and shooting 36.5 percent. The recent addition of Rafer Alston should prove to be a big help. However, there could easily be a bit of an adjustment period, as the veteran guard hasn't played here before. The Bobcats survived a monster game from Howard and still nearly beat the Magic at Orlando on Tuesday. It's true that the Magic have been an excellent road team - although it should be noted that their home record is better than their road mark. However, it's also true that the Bobcats are typically much better here at home. Indeed, they're 6-18 on the road but 16-14 at home, going a profitable 18-12 ATS. The Bobcats are also 25-15 ATS as underdogs. Additionally, they're an outstanding 10-1 ATS in divisional games. Desperately fighting to get back in the playoff picture, I look for them on those numbers this evening. *Annhilator
NBA
Game: Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Game Time: 2/20/2009 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Houston Rockets Reason: I'm laying the small number with HOUSTON. Knowing that Tracy McGrady is out for the season, many will grab the points with the Mavericks here. I believe that will prove costly for them though. The Rockets have proven to be more than capable of winning without McGrady, going 13-6 on the season when he hasn't been in the lineup. The Rockets have also been red hot at home. Indeed, they've won five straight at the Toyota Center, and 17 of their last 20 here. On the other hand, the Mavs lost their last road game by 28 points and are a mediocre 14-13 away from Dallas on the season. While Houston is outscoring teams by a 100.4 to 92.3 margin at home, Dallas is being outscored by a 99.6 to 98.9 count on the road. The Mavs did win here back in November. However, the Rockets didn't have Yao Ming in the lineup for that game. The Rockets won by double-digits at Dallas in the game Yao played with the Chinese star delivering a 30 point and 13 rebound performance. Including that impressive effort, Yao is averaging 27.3 points and 13.3 boards in his last four games vs. Dallas. Note that Yao will be in the lineup tonight and that he's coming off another double-double, hauling in 12 rebounds and contributing 22 points vs. New Jersey. Look for the "new look" Rockets, 83-32 at home the past few seasons, to come away with the important win and cover, continuing their excellent homecourt play. *Blowout GOW
Basketball (NCAA)
NIAGARA
Game: Illinois State vs. Niagara Game Time: 2/20/2009 7:00:00 PM Prediction: Niagara Reason: I'm laying the small number with NIAGARA. Illinois-State has been on quite the run lately. With five wins in six games, including three straight, the Redbirds have gotten all the way back into contention in the Missouri Valley Conference. With an 11-5 conference record, the Redbirds currently sit in third place, right behind Creighton and Northern Iowa, both at 12-4. That's precisely what makes this an extremely difficult scheduling spot for the Redbirds. Off all those important conference victories, they now have their two biggest games of the year, vs. Creighton and Northern Iowa, on deck. I feel that it will be very easy for them to look past Niagara and ahead to those games. While the Purple Eagles, #2 in the MAAC, also face the top team (Siena) from their conference in their next game, they have no chance of catching the Saints for the top spot, so that game arguably isn't as important as the Redbirds' next two games. I feel that the Purple Eagles, who have won an impressive 21 games, will be highly motivated to knock off a team from the MVC. Even Calvin Murphy, the greatest Purple Eagle of all time, is expected to be on hand for the big event. The Purple Eagles are 16-8 ATS as favorites. They're also an impressive 10-2 ATS in non-conference games. They're outscoring opponents by a 78-64 margin on this floor and I look for them to deliver another solid win and cover this evening. *BracketBuster Blowout
Rockets
Hockey
#53 - NHL - 3 units on Colorado +235
Rockets